Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes(for Horses In Band D Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race) · 0m7f216y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lord Percy | 9/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Son of Light | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Taranis | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tough Decision | 11/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 True Impact | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Curious Minx | 12/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Farouche | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Parisienne Love | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 9 Queens Bandit | 5/2 open 2.63 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 5/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Queens Bandit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lord Percy (SR 151, 2/1) leads the experienced runners on ability and has the market's backing, with a notable 8% inward move since opening — money is coming for this horse. The Ed Dunlop yard operates at a solid 12% strike rate with 1117 career runners, and dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1) into a Class 4 maiden is a meaningful positive signal. Jockey Finley Marsh at 14% career strike rate is a competent booking. Queens Bandit (SR 155) holds the highest SR in the field and ran a promising third last time, but has drifted 8% in the market and runs for Charlie Clover whose 21% strike rate flatters a small sample of 177 runners — the drift is a meaningful caution that tips the balance towards Lord Percy. Each-way alternative: Queens Bandit. Main danger: Queens Bandit — Queens Bandit holds the field's highest SR at 155 and returns from just 18 days off a promising third, and if the 8% drift is merely market noise rather than a genuine concern, her superior ability rating could assert itself over 7f216y.