Dissenter has slipped to a sixth last time out and a seventh before that, though she won four starts back and returns after 22 days with experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 135 lb from draw 12, she looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 67 ranking her eighth of 15.
Form last 651576
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR67RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a win last time out, Holliesthedollie has run over today's trip and going, but she was unplaced two starts back and eighth three runs ago, so consistency is a question. Carrying 135 lb from draw 8 after 38 days off, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 68 ranking her seventh of 15.
Form last 674801
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Passerine finished second last time out, with a fifth and a fourth before that, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our top-rated runner at 83 returns after 147 days off from stall 11, but she is yet to win in her last three starts.
Form last 6452
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR83RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Alfey Moon has been fourth in each of his last two starts and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 73 ranks him second of 15 and makes him a leading threat off 135 lb from draw 9. The one concern is a 115-day absence, so fitness is the question.
Form last 6044
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR73RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five and beaten into eighth last time, Lady of Hay is hard to fancy, though a third three starts back shows some ability, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 135 lb from stall four, she is ranked 11 of 15 on our figures.
Form last 667358
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR64RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Fifth last time out and a fifth two starts back, Blue Sign is yet to win in her last five, but she's fresh enough after 20 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 72 sits well clear of her official 64, though 134 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 640855
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR72RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Fourth last time out and 28 days fresh, Moriarty Moon is edging the right way after a run of sixth, seventh and sixth finishes, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 70 ranks him fourth of 15, but he is yet to win in his last five starts.
Form last 667654
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR70RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Goodwood Meteor is winless in his last three, finishing seventh last time out, a sixth two starts back and a ninth three runs ago, and he returns after 55 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, but 133 lb from stall seven looks a lot for a gelding yet to score.
Form last 6967
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR65RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bossy Angel is winless in her last five, finishing ninth last time out and no better than a fifth in that spell, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going before and is fresh after 28 days, but 130 lb from stall 14 is a big ask, and our figures rank her 14th of 15.
Form last 698559
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR53RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Honeymoon Bear is consistent, with a fourth last time out, a fourth two starts back and another fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. She is yet to win in her last four starts though, and our rating of 68 only ranks her sixth of 15 from draw 5.
Form last 67444
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR68RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dream On Kent was a fifth last time out 22 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he's winless in his last six with a pair of seconds five and six starts back now some way behind him. Our rating of 67 puts him ninth of 15, so he looks a midfield type from draw 3.
Form last 6226985
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR67RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six, Secret Rival is hard to fancy, though a third last time out, 19 days ago, is her best finish in that spell and she has run over this trip and on this going before. Ranked 12th of 15 on our figures, she carries 127 lb from stall 1.
Form last 6867753
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR63RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ma Fille de Reve ran second last time out, 22 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, but she is winless in her last four starts, with a fifth and two sixths before that. Our rating of 69 is well above her official 53, though she carries 123 lb from draw 10.
Form last 66652
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR69RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
So Tempting is winless in her last six, with a fifth last time out and a second four starts back her best finishes, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after seven days, but our rating ranks her 13th of 15.
Form last 6662585
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR55RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Blue Fox is winless in his last three, unplaced last time, then a fifth and a sixth before that, and he's hard to fancy on that evidence. He has run over today's trip and is fresh from a run 12 days ago, but our figures rank him last of 15.
Form last 6650
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR46RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ma Fille de Reve owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Declan CarrollZak Wheatley
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Dissenter
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/2 · Marcus Tregoning✓ Value Signal
Blue Sign
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ma Fille de Reve holds the field's highest SR at 69 — a clear 9-point gap over the next-best Passerine (SR 60) — and carries the lightest competitive weight at 8-11, giving her a significant lb advantage over the heavier-weighted rivals. The market has emphatically endorsed her, shortening 36% since opening to 5/2 favourite, which is substantial backing in a 15-runner Class 6 nursery. Her form of 6-6-5-2 shows progressive improvement on her last outing, and dropping to Class 6 means she faces the weakest opposition of her career. The concern is her GoingFit:- on good-to-firm and DistFit:- at 6f, but her SR advantage is large enough and the class drop clear enough to overcome those reservations.
Each-way alternative: Goodwood Meteor.
Main danger: Goodwood Meteor — Goodwood Meteor (SR 53, 10/1) has steamed in 19% in the market despite a DistFit:- flag, suggesting Tregoning's yard has seen something at home, and as the trainer's likely #1 runner (carrying less weight at 9-7 versus stablemate Dissenter who has drifted badly), the market move demands respect in a wide-open Class 6.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:- on today's good-to-firm ground — her form of 6-6-5-2 was not achieved on this surface, and the fast conditions at Leicester in October could expose an untested stamina/action concern at 6f.
DistFit:- at 6f — no confirmed form at this trip, raising a real question whether she truly gets the distance or fades late in a 15-runner sprint nursery with early pace pressures.
Trainer Declan Carroll runs at just 11% and jockey Zak Wheatley at only 10% strike rate — in a competitive 15-runner field, this combination lacks the firepower of rivals such as Rossa Ryan (18%) or…
At 5/2 in a wide-open 15-runner Class 6 nursery, she is a short price to overcome both an unproven going and distance combination simultaneously; Secret Rival and Dream On Kent are shorter-priced by…
ShortlistMa Fille de Reve, Passerine, Goodwood Meteor, Dream On Kent