Runner-up last time out and a winner two starts back, she's in good recent order, and has run over today's trip and going before, but the yard is out of form at 1/25, and she carries 136 lb from stall 12. Our rating of 70 ranks her seventh of eleven.
Form last 687-12
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR70RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Keldeo has made the frame once in her recent runs, a second four starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 75 ranks her second of 11. The main risk is a ninth last time out, and she remains winless in her last six starts.
Form last 6442949
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR75RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Clementines Star has been in the frame in four of her last five starts, including a win three starts back, but she was unplaced last time out and returns after 32 days. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 72 ranks her fifth of eleven, so she looks a midfield sort carrying 135 lb from stall 11.
Form last 6-32130
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Four seconds in her last four starts show she's consistent, but Black Orchid is yet to win and has finished second every time, which makes her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, yet 134 lb from stall two and our 63 rating, ranked eleventh of eleven, leave plenty to find.
Form last 62222
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR63RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Storm Esme won last time out and returns after 31 days, having run over today's trip and on this going before; she is our pick on that profile, though her fourth, eighth and fifth before that show consistency has been an issue. Drawn three, she carries 134 lb.
Form last 6085841
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR72RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Remi Mae was unplaced last time out after winning two starts back, and her thirds three and five starts back are the only other podium finishes in a patchy recent run, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, but 134 lb from stall six and a ranking of ninth of 11 on our figures leave plenty to do.
Form last 603D310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR66RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won last time out and fresh from just 19 days ago, Insuspense has run over today's trip and on this going, while our rating of 73 ranks her third of 11 and makes her a leading danger from stall five. The main risk is the 134 lb she carries, with a third two starts back and two seconds five and six starts back her only other top-three finishes in that spell.
Form last 6227531
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR73RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Yet to win in her last five, Moira Express has been consistent enough, with a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going, but a 315-day absence and a fifth last time out leave questions about her fitness.
Form last 674325-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR69RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Fantasy Obsessor was second last time out and has finished runner-up in three of her last six, yet she is still winless in that spell, and she carries 130 lb from draw 8. She has run over today's trip and going, while our 71 rating, six of 11, points to a midfield chance after 36 days off.
Form last 6252752
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR71RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Daytona Lady steps up after a third last time out just 15 days ago, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before; our top-rated runner at 76, she drops in off an official mark of 62. The risk is she is winless in her last six, with a seventh and an eighth in that spell.
Form last 6772853
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR76RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Overbudget won last time out, but that sits among a run of eighth, ninth, sixth and seventh finishes before it, which makes her hard to trust again at 128 lb. She has run over today's trip and going and is fresh from 14 days ago, though our rating of 64 ranks her tenth of eleven.
Form last 6376981
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR65RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fantasy Obsessor owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Michael ApplebyRay Dawson
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Insuspense
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · Ross Burdon✓ Value Signal
Moira Express
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Simon Whitaker◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Insuspense (SR 80, 2/1) is the clear form pick here — the highest-rated runner in the field by a meaningful margin and carrying only 9-8 despite that superiority. The market has shortened 36% since opening, the strongest steaming signal in the race, pointing to informed confidence. Course record of W1P3 at Southwell is a significant advantage on an AW specialist track, and DistFit:+ plus GoingFit:+ confirm the horse handles today's conditions. Last-time-out winner (form ending '1') stepping up one class with MarkMv:+5 is the one note of caution, but the SR advantage over the next-best runners (Storm Esme and Fantasy Obsessor both SR 73, seven points back) is wide enough to absorb that penalty.
Each-way alternative: Storm Esme.
Main danger: Fantasy Obsessor — Fantasy Obsessor (SR 73, 10/3) has steamed in 18%, holds a 4lb weight advantage over Insuspense at 9-4, carries strong Course:W1P3 form at Southwell, and is the Appleby yard's designated number one runner — if the market has underestimated the weight pull, this is the horse most capable of reversing the SR gap.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+5 means Insuspense is stepping up in class off a last-time-out win — handicappers have already taken 5lb, and this higher grade may be the ceiling that exposes limitations.
Trainer Ross Burdon strikes at only 12% from a yard of just 165 runners — small operation with limited firepower, and jockey William Carver hits only 10% — neither inspiring confidence at the sharp e…
HG:t (tongue-tie applied) flags a potential management issue; if this is a first-time application it can be unsettling, and it suggests the horse has had reasons to mask breathing or behaviour concer…
Fantasy Obsessor (SR 73, 10/3) shares the same Course:W1P3 record, is in a Appleby yard flagged Stable:1 (hot stable form), gets 4lb in hand at the weights (9-4 vs 9-8), and is still drifting only mo…