Southwell (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
Class 4 6 Oct 2026

Tuesday 6 October bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) · 0m7f14y

1 cub picking Leading: Rosiliane (100%) Join the pack
Official Result

bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rosiliane (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Thomas Coleman
    100/30
  2. Second Jahami (GB)
    9/4
  3. 28/1
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Southwell (AW)

16:55–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 1 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Zorya silks
Zorya Non-Runner
Age 2 · 8-13
—
—
—
—
2
8-13
—
—
SP
—
1
Black Gin silks
Black Gin
Age 2 · 9-2
74
—
123
—
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 FCST 40/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Jahami silks
Jahami
Age 2 · 9-2
3
—
155
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
2/1 FCST 7/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Lady's Grace silks
Lady's Grace
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
152
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
5/2 7/4 2/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Lady Aethelflaed silks
Lady Aethelflaed
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
140
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 11/1
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Port Eleonora silks
Port Eleonora
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
124
—
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 40/1 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Thespian Queen silks
Thespian Queen
Age 2 · 9-2
26
—
151
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
11/2 4/1 5/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Wishful Thinker silks
Wishful Thinker
Age 2 · 9-2
0
—
125
—
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 33/1 16/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Light Of Aurora silks
Light Of Aurora
Age 2 · 8-13
—
—
124
—
2
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 22/1 40/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Miss Clarice silks
Miss Clarice
Age 2 · 8-13
—
—
124
—
2
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
50/1 20/1 40/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Price Tag silks
Price Tag
Age 2 · 8-13
—
—
124
—
2
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 28/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Rosiliane silks
Rosiliane
Age 2 · 8-13
46
—
148
—
2
8-13
★★★☆☆
1
7/2 5/1 10/3
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Talora silks
Talora
Age 2 · 8-13
—
—
125
—
2
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 FCST 50/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
True Heart silks
True Heart
Age 2 · 8-13
7
—
125
—
2
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 FCST 33/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Zorya — — — — — — —
1 Black Gin 80/1 open 41.00 50/1 40/1 40/1 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
2 Jahami 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 2.75 7/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 Ladbrokes
3 Lady's Grace 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 9/4 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 Bet365
4 Lady Aethelflaed 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Paddy Power
5 Port Eleonora 100/1 open 51.00 70/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
6 Thespian Queen 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 6/1 Coral
7 Wishful Thinker 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 51.00 16/1 open 41.00 16/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 41.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Light Of Aurora 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Miss Clarice 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 66/1 William Hill
10 Price Tag 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Rosiliane 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 4/1 Paddy Power
12 Talora 100/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365
13 True Heart 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lady's Grace

High conviction

Lady's Grace owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jahami

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Price Tag

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Faye Bramley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Lady's Grace
72.0 5/2
2 2. Jahami
71.1 2/1
3 6. Thespian Queen
68.1 11/2
4 11. Rosiliane
67.9 7/2
5 4. Lady Aethelflaed
64.4 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Jahami
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Rosiliane is carrying 100% of the Cub vote right now.
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
1

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-2
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
Age 2 · 8-13
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾 1

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 140 🐾 —

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jahami
Confidence: Medium

Jahami (SR 155, 13/8) is the standout on ability, carrying the highest Saturday Rating in the field by 3 points over Lady's Grace (SR 152), and crucially the market has shortened 8% since opening — rare positive money in a field where most runners are drifting badly. The form figure of '3' on debut represents a solid foundation: a placed run stepping up a class (ClassMv:↑1) shows the trainer Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 1,427 runners — a powerful yard) has genuine confidence in this filly at 7f on AW. With all rivals carrying either no form or inferior SR, and weight equal at 9-2, there is no credible weight-adjusted argument to prefer any rival. Each-way alternative: Lady's Grace. Main danger: Lady's Grace — Lady's Grace (SR 152, 9/4) is trained by the Gosdens at a 24% strike rate — the strongest training operation in the field — and arrives on a clean slate that could mask significant home gallop ability, making her a genuine threat to Jahami's market lead.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jahami's sole form figure is a single third-place debut finish — we have no evidence she handles Southwell's Fibresand specifically, which rides very differently to most AW surfaces and can expose ho…
  • Lady's Grace (SR 152, 9/4) is trained by the formidable John & Thady Gosden yard (24% strike rate) and debuts here — a powerful operation with strong AW juvenile form; a debut winner for them would n…
  • Jahami's jockey Ray Dawson has a 14% strike rate but is notably less experienced on Southwell Fibresand than Robert Havlin, who rides Lady's Grace for the Gosden yard and has significantly more Fibre…
  • Jahami's only run was a third, meaning she has never actually won a race — at 13/8 on a Fibresand track she hasn't encountered, the price offers thin margin for error if she replicates or falls short…
Shortlist Jahami, Lady's Grace, Thespian Queen, Rosiliane
Each-way: Lady's Grace Danger: Lady's Grace

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade