Bellewstown 18:38 RESULTED
26 Aug 2026

Last Wednesday John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I) · 2m1f40y

Official Result

John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Crypto Crash (GB) Danny Mullins · David Kenneth Budds
    20/1
  2. 9/2
  3. 18/1
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Wolverhampton (AW)

14:00–17:10 · 7 races

Catterick

14:15–16:52 · 6 races

Bellewstown

15:51–19:38 · 8 races

Newbury

16:10–19:30 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

18:20–20:51 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Codger's Rock silks
Codger's Rock
Age 5 · 11-12
F7-260
98
72
92
5
11-12
20/1 20/1 18/1
Codger's Rock shaped with promise when second three starts back, and he arrives here fit on a 23-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and a hefty 166 lb is a stern test.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Garrick Painter silks
Garrick Painter
Age 6 · 11-12
9/1-06
98
84
96
6
11-12
10/1 11/2 9/1
Garrick Painter arrives with experience of today's distance and going, and that win three starts back keeps him firmly in the picture; the concern is a 61-day absence and two below-par efforts since that victory.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Direct Approach silks
Direct Approach
Age 4 · 11-11
9-635
100
79
91
4
11-11
11/1 7/1 11/1
Yet to win in his last four starts, Direct Approach at least has a third two runs back to his name and has run over today's going before, but a struggling trainer at 3% and a hefty 165 lb to carry make progress hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Tuckmill silks
Tuckmill
Age 10 · 11-10
0P70-P
96
67
106
10
11-10
20/1 FCST 16/1
Tuckmill has run over today's trip and going, and our rating puts him clear of this field, but he arrives winless in his last five starts — including two pull-ups — and connections will need to see a sharper display at the weights carrying 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Convincing silks
Convincing
Age 5 · 11-7
007-1
93
81
87
5
11-7
6/1 9/2 6/1
Convincing won last time out to advertise his current form, but his record in recent starts also features two unplaced efforts, and our rating of 87 suggests he faces a stiff ask against stronger rivals carrying 161 lb today, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Masego silks
Masego
Age 4 · 11-7
754-
96
91
89
4
11-7
9/1 6/1 9/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked seventh of 18, Masego at least brings distance and going experience to the table, though 161 lb is a notable burden and that recent run of midfield placings suggests he'll need to find more to challenge seriously here.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Let It Settle silks
Let It Settle
Age 5 · 11-2
0-0268
88
75
91
5
11-2
10/1
Let It Settle showed promise when second three starts back, but her last two runs have been disappointing eighths and sixths, and she remains winless in recent starts; she has experience over today's trip and going, though 156 lb is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Dictionary Corner silks
Dictionary Corner
Age 5 · 11-0
8-66PP
86
44
73
5
11-0
40/1 FCST 33/1
Dictionary Corner has pulled up on each of her last two starts and is winless in her last five, with our rating of 73 ranking her 16th of 18 in this field; the one positive is she has run over today's going before, but she makes little appeal.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Zarushio silks
Zarushio
Age 6 · 10-11
0000-0
83
50
74
6
10-11
40/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 14 of 18 on our figures, Zarushio faces a stiff task here; 105 days off the track adds a fitness query, and while he has run over today's trip, that weighty burden of 151 lb gives little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

10
Chesterbaylad silks
Chesterbaylad
Age 5 · 10-8
-02741
80
81
78
5
10-8
6/1 7/2 6/1
Chesterbaylad won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but his rating of 78 ranks him eleventh of eighteen and his form before that win was inconsistent, with a fourth, seventh, and second in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Lunar Landscape silks
Lunar Landscape
Age 6 · 10-8
00-604
80
75
79
6
10-8
4/1 9/2 10/3
Winless in his last five starts, Lunar Landscape at least returns on a sharp 16-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going to call on, though 148 lb and a ranking of tenth of eighteen suggest he faces a stiff ask here.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Backinabit silks
Backinabit
Age 7 · 10-5
0-P189
77
67
77
7
10-5
6/1 10/1 5/1
Consecutive ninth and eighth-place finishes make Backinabit hard to fancy at the foot of the ratings, and his record in recent starts offers little encouragement despite a win three starts back; experience over today's trip and going is the one small plus.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Crypto Crash silks
Crypto Crash
Age 5 · 10-4
0P-69F
76
59
78
5
10-4
16/1 14/1 16/1
Crypto Crash has had a turbulent time of late, falling last time out and pulling up four starts back, leaving his recent form under a cloud; he has run over today's distance and going before, but winless in his last five starts and carrying 144 lb, the tasks ahead look considerable.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

14
Avandra silks
Avandra
Age 6 · 10-1
820534
73
65
72
6
10-1
12/1 15/2 11/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 17 of 18 on our figures, Avandra is hard to fancy despite carrying a manageable 141 lb and having run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Surviving Murmansk silks
Surviving Murmansk
Age 8 · 10-0
-60260
72
61
73
8
10-0
20/1 12/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 15 of 18 on our figures, Surviving Murmansk is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before and was second three starts back — a slender thread of encouragement for connections.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Turlough Abu silks
Turlough Abu
Age 4 · 10-5
9-875
Reserve 1
80
54
80OR
4
10-5
25/1 FCST 20/1
Turlough Abu is unexposed and open to improvement, yet to win in her last four starts, but lightly raced enough that better may be forthcoming; back after 20 days and carrying 145 lb as she bids to find more form.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

17
Paymelater silks
Paymelater
Age 7 · 11-1
46-706
Reserve 2
87
60
99
7
11-1
SP FCST 20/1
Paymelater arrives here in good order on a 17-day turnaround, has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 99 marks him out as a serious contender in this field — the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

18
Owl's Delight silks
Owl's Delight
Age 7 · 10-9
F8P-60
Reserve 3
81
54
88
7
10-9
SP FCST 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a pull-up and a fall among them, Owl's Delight carries 149 lb off an official mark of 81, and while our rating of 88 suggests some unexploited potential, his recent jumping frailties are a clear concern.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Codger's Rock 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 Bet365
2 Garrick Painter 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Direct Approach 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Tuckmill 20/1 open 23.00 16/1 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 16/1 20/1 Bet365
5 Convincing 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 William Hill
6 Masego 9/1 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 Paddy Power
7 Let It Settle 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 Bet365
8 Dictionary Corner 40/1 open 51.00 33/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
9 Zarushio 40/1 open 51.00 35/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
10 Chesterbaylad 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 Paddy Power
11 Lunar Landscape 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
12 Backinabit 6/1 open 15.00 11/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 13.00 5/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 6/1 Bet365
13 Crypto Crash 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
14 Avandra 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
15 Surviving Murmansk 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
16 Turlough Abu 25/1 open 29.00 20/1 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
17 Paymelater 25/1 open 29.00 20/1 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
18 Owl's Delight 33/1 open 41.00 25/1 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Masego

Speculative

Masego owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (59). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/1 John C McConnell Alex Harvey
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Convincing

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Ciaran Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Zarushio

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Tom Dreaper
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +12.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Masego
53.4 9/1
2 5. Convincing
52.0 6/1
3 11. Lunar Landscape
51.6 4/1
4 2. Garrick Painter
51.3 10/1
5 10. Chesterbaylad
50.2 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Masego
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 6 · 10-8
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 11-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 10-8
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 7 · 10-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 11-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 11-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 11-11
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 6 · 10-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 5 · 10-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Age 5 · 11-12
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Age 10 · 11-10
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

15
Age 8 · 10-0
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Masego
Confidence: Speculative

Masego (SR:91, 13/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 10 points clear of the next-best runners Garrick Painter and Chesterbaylad — and crucially carries only 11-7, a manageable weight for the top SR. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, which is a rare and significant positive in this field where most runners show GoingFit:- or GoingFit:?. The market has nudged in 8%, suggesting some professional interest. The MarkMv:+56 is a concern on paper, but at 4 years of age with a SR 10 points clear of rivals and proven going preference, Masego represents the standout case when multiple signals are weighed together. Each-way alternative: Chesterbaylad. Main danger: Chesterbaylad — Chesterbaylad (SR:81, 11/2) has DistFit:+ confirming proven ability over this trip, posted a recent win in Form:-02741, and carries a light 10-8 — though the Mkt:out32% drift is a concern, the distance record is the strongest in the field and makes it a live each-way threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+56 is a massive class rise — by far the largest in the field — suggesting Masego has been reassessed sharply upward and is now running well above the level where it last showed its form.
  • Trainer John C McConnell strikes at only 3% from 364 runners, one of the weakest training records in the field, making it hard to trust stable confidence despite the 8% market move.
  • Form reads 754- with a dash (last run was a pull-up or no completion), meaning Masego's most recent outing was a failure to finish — a serious concern heading into a competitive 18-runner handicap.
  • Despite being priced as the highest-rated horse, Masego drifted to 13/2 while Convincing (SR:81) and Chesterbaylad (SR:81, ★★★☆☆) are both on offer at 11/2 — the market does not endorse Masego as the…
Shortlist Masego, Chesterbaylad, Convincing, Direct Approach
Each-way: Chesterbaylad Danger: Chesterbaylad

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f40y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting