Sub Thirteen arrives here in decent nick — second two starts back and third three starts back show he can go close — and he has experience over today's trip and conditions, carrying 135 lb from stall four; yet to win in recent starts, but our rating just has him top of this field.
Form last 6208324
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR58RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bridget's Baby won last time out and was runner-up two starts back, but that return from 69 days off and inconsistent earlier form — a seventh and sixth before that — temper confidence, and at 134 lb from stall one she faces a stern test.
Form last 606-721
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
62SR52RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dusk Damsel shaped with promise when second five starts back and returns here on a quick nine-day turnaround with distance and going experience firmly in hand, her rating of 54 marking her as a leading danger; the concern is a run of unplaced efforts in recent starts since that placed effort.
Form last 6720594
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR54RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Rajeteriat shaped with real promise when third last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims here off 131 lb from stall 7; the main risk is that he remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 62-3073
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR54RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in recent starts, Fancy Dancer nonetheless shaped with promise two starts back when runner-up, and she has run over today's distance and going, while 130 lb from stall 3 gives connections a straightforward conditions angle; the main concern is her unplaced latest effort.
Form last 6578520
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
59SR54RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sixcor has been sixth in each of his last two starts and, with a win one back four runs ago, his recent consistency is a concern at this level; he does have experience of today's distance and going, but ranked sixth of seven on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
Form last 6531466
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR49RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Nad Alshiba Snow faces a stiff task here, though she has distance and going experience to call on and draws from stall two carrying 126 lb just four days after her latest fifth.
Form last 6435055
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR46RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sub Thirteen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/4Jeremy ScottOlivia Tubb(3)
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bridget's Baby
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Tony Carroll✓ Value Signal
Dusk Damsel
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · J S Moore◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fancy Dancer (SR:59, 4/1) drops two class tiers and runs off a mark 13lb lower than last win — the most significant positive mark move in the field. The 42% market steam from 4/1 opening is the standout market signal here, suggesting informed money is backing the class drop to tell. Course:W1P3 at Wolverhampton is a critical edge on a track where familiarity matters on AW, and GoingFit:~ is better than DistFit:- but the 5f21y trip is the same surface where this horse has placed four times at this course. Sub Thirteen's 14% market support is noted but DistFit:- and GoingFit:- on a dropping mark are offset by Fancy Dancer's superior course record and bigger class drop.
Each-way alternative: Sub Thirteen.
Main danger: Sub Thirteen — Sub Thirteen (SR:63, 7/4) is the SR leader in the field and has shortened 14% in the market, running off a mark 5lb lower than last win with a class drop — the raw ability edge could overcome the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- negatives in a Class 6 sprint.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 578520 shows a '0' (last run, 11 days ago) — pulled up or last beaten far; whatever went wrong has not had time to be resolved with only 11 days between runs.
Jockey Alfie Redman (7lb claimer) strikes at just 7% from 57 rides — below-average for AW handicaps where pilot quality at the business end matters significantly.
Trainer Hayley Burton runs at 8% strike rate from 111 runners, a modest yard — the class drop may reflect connections parking the horse rather than a confident prep for a win.
At 4/1 Fancy Dancer is only the third-shortest price despite having the lowest weight; market leaders Sub Thirteen (7/4) and Bridget's Baby (2/1) command far shorter odds, suggesting the tissue still…
ShortlistFancy Dancer, Sub Thirteen, Bridget's Baby