Traveling Man arrives on the back of a win last time out, though a sixth three starts back and a ninth in recent starts temper enthusiasm; he has run over today's trip and our rating of 72 offers mild support, but 135 lb is no light burden.
Form last 693631
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Relentless Hero won three starts back and returns on a quick 18-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour, but he has to bounce back from a pair of below-par efforts since that victory and 134 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 6-54185
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR72RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Cosmo Brown catches the eye on the back of a third last time out, and his rating of 74 gives him a clear edge over most rivals here; yet to win in recent starts, the main concern is whether he can convert that consistency into something more decisive off 134 lb.
Form last 688363
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR74RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a win in his last six starts but has mixed form either side of it, and 39 days off adds a fitness query; rated 70 on our figures and the 133 lb burden is no help to his cause.
Form last 6429571
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR70RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistently placed in recent starts, Hot Silk arrives here just 16 days after finishing second, has run over today's trip, and our rating of 73 suggests she is ahead of the handicapper; the risk is that she remains yet to win in her last five starts.
Form last 6-44432
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR73RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third last time out and a second three starts back, Semper Femina arrives here in decent nick after a 35-day break, with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; a trainer in lean form is the one reservation about this top-rated filly.
Form last 6297273
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR75RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a win two starts back but has been well held either side of it, and 63 days off the track adds an unknown fitness element; he rates a shade above his official mark of 64 and holds a useful edge on our rating, though the weight of 129 lb is no help.
Form last 6679618
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts, with back-to-back eighths his most recent efforts, Far Far Out is hard to fancy here — though he has run over today's trip and returns after 58 days, which at least suggests connections feel he is ready.
Form last 6588
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR63RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Evening Fades has been placed just once in that sequence — a second last time out — but has otherwise struggled to get into the mix, and our figures rank her towards the foot of this field.
Form last 64-6442
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and returning after a 197-day absence, Lord Mayor faces a stiff ask ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, though he has experience of today's trip and conditions, and three consecutive thirds suggest he can at least hit the frame.
Form last 6093-33
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR68RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tinsel won three starts back but has been off the mark since, finishing fourth and then ninth in his two most recent outings, so he arrives on a downward curve. He has run over today's trip and going, and 30 days fresh at 127 lb leaves him with something to prove.
Form last 6061-49
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR68RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and her recent form reads 5th, 6th, 6th in her last three starts, making her hard to fancy despite two wins in her last six; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 18 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
Form last 6151665
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR57RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Traveling Man owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8Charlie FellowesPaddy Bradley
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Hot Silk
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · James Fanshawe✓ Value Signal
Cospicua
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · James Tate◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Traveling Man (SR 77, 15/8) is the clear SR leader in this field by 3 points over Hot Silk and commands the strongest market confidence — a 28% inward move to 15/8 is a significant steamer that the money is backing firmly. His form string 93631 shows a latest win, demonstrating he arrives in peak order, and at 9-9 he is not overly burdened given his SR advantage. Charlie Fellowes operates at 10% strike rate which is modest, but the combination of top SR, recent winning form, and aggressive market support outweighs that concern in a Class 5 AW handicap against a field where the majority carry DistFit:? and GoingFit:? unknowns.
Each-way alternative: Hot Silk.
Main danger: Hot Silk — Hot Silk (SR 74, 5/2) has shortened 20% in the market, holds course form (W0P1 at Kempton), and the first-time cheekpieces (HG:p) for Fanshawe — a 18% strike rate trainer — is a classic headgear trigger that regularly unlocks improvement on AW surfaces.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 93631 reads right-to-left as a latest win, but the three runs before that were a 6th, 3rd and 9th — inconsistent profile that suggests the win may have been a one-off rather than a horse…
Only 6 days since last run is an unusually tight turnaround; if that run took something out of him, quick reappearance on AW at Kempton could find him flat or below peak physical condition.
Jockey Paddy Bradley strikes at just 11% and trainer Charlie Fellowes at 10% — the combination is among the weakest in this field, with rivals including Haggas/Fallon (21%/19%) and Fanshawe/Vigors co…
Hot Silk (SR 74) is only 3 points behind on a tighter weight (9-6 vs 9-9) and has course form (W0P1 at Kempton AW), giving a rival with relevant surface experience a meaningful weight-adjusted edge a…
ShortlistTraveling Man, Hot Silk, Cosmo Brown, Evening Fades