Cornaroya Rocco caught the eye with a second two starts back and returns on a quick turnaround of just 16 days with distance and going experience to call on, though he remains winless in recent starts and the weight burden of 166 lb looks the chief concern.
Form last 65-4P20
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR96RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of nineteen, Goin' faces a stiff ask under 164 lb, though he has experience of today's going and returns on a fresh enough 26-day break.
Form last 6900-55
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR92RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hatfield Hammer shaped with plenty of promise when third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, making him a live threat from a field of nineteen; the main concern is his tendency to disappoint, with a pulled up finish among his recent starts.
Form last 6P9-634
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR96RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Katherine at least returns on a sharp turnaround of 10 days and has experience of today's going, though a career-high 162 lb and a ranking of seventh of 19 give little encouragement she can find a way through.
Form last 6749604
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR92RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Steps In The Sand arrives in fair nick, racing just 20 days after a third two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 161 lb against a deep field of 19 while yet to win in her last five starts are the challenges she must overcome.
Form last 688-434
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR92RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and pulled up most recently, Memories Maker faces a stiff ask here carrying 160 lb, though he has run over today's going before and the 23-day break may have freshened him ahead of what looks a tough assignment ranked 12 of 19.
Form last 605/0-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR88RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last five starts and carrying a hefty 160 lb, Midnight Musical faces a stiff task, though she has experience of today's going and our rating of 94 suggests she holds more ability than her recent unplaced efforts fully reflect.
Form last 60-5850
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR95RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Whiskey Serenade arrives off a sixth last time out and is winless in her last five starts, with our figures ranking her fourteenth of nineteen runners; carrying 158 lb does her no favours, though she has run over today's trip and going before and comes here fresh enough at 20 days since her last outing.
Form last 6-06276
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR85RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dunany Point has run over today's trip and going before, and a third two starts back shows he can mix it at this level, though he pulled up three starts back and has been winless in recent starts — 155 lb is no easy task for a runner rated 85 officially.
Form last 69-0P37
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR88RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts, with a pulled-up effort among them, Pillartou is rated well below his official mark on these figures and ranks 16th of 19 in the field; experience on today's going is about the only positive to cling to.
Form last 6P-008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR75RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Rated 98 and ranked second of 19 rivals, Avec Espoir represents a serious threat despite being yet to win in recent starts, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour at 150 lb, though his two pulled-up efforts are the clear concern.
Form last 60P00-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR98RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 19 on our figures, Mr Macphisto makes for a tough sell, having pulled up last time and fallen the start before; he has run over today's trip and going, and 54 days off may have helped, but 150 lb is a stern ask.
Form last 6073F/P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR88RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked near the foot of our ratings, Ardgillan makes a tough case here, though he has run over today's going before and returns after a reasonable 18-day break carrying 149 lb.
Form last 67900-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR65RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last five starts and returning after a 106-day absence, Grace's Legacy carries 148 lb and is ranked well below the field on our figures, making her very hard to fancy; experience on today's going is the one slim positive.
Form last 60950-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR71RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and having pulled up on three occasions in recent form, Glenriver is hard to fancy ranked 15 of 19 on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a 20-day break carrying 144 lb.
Form last 6PPP-05
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR84RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Midleton Rare won four starts back but has pulled up and finished ninth and unplaced since, making his recent form a concern; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 34 days, but 169 lb is a stiff burden for a gelding rated 99.
Form last 641P-90
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR95RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two consecutive pulls-up and 738 days off the track make Balinaboola Steel a fascinating puzzle, yet he has run over today's distance and going and our rating of 109 ranks him first of 19; a third finish five starts back hints at ability, but he needs to bounce back sharply.
Form last 6395PP/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR109RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Unexposed and yet to score in recent starts, Magic Hands Noel returns after 223 days off carrying 147 lb, and with just four runs on the board she remains open to improvement as connections look to unlock her potential.
Form last 60000-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Steps In The Sand owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Ciaran MurphyEoin Walsh
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Goin'
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · A J Martin✓ Value Signal
Avec Espoir
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · V T O'Brien◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dunany Point (SR:76, 8/1) is the standout selection on market signals in a race where no horse dominates on SR alone. The 17% market move IN is the clearest directional signal in a field where every other named runner has drifted — some dramatically (Goin' out 25%, Katherine out 26%, Steps In The Sand out 15%). Carrying only 11-1, it has a meaningful weight advantage over Hatfield Hammer (SR:84, 11-8), Goin' (SR:82, 11-10) and Cornaroya Rocco (11-12), which partially compensates for its lower SR. GoingFit:~ suggests moderate but not poor competence on today's good ground, and with 12 days' freshness following a recent run, the yard appears to have targeted this race deliberately. In a weak 19-runner heat at €6,000 prize money, a confident market move this size on a lightly-weighted runner is the most actionable single piece of intelligence available.
Each-way alternative: Hatfield Hammer.
Main danger: Hatfield Hammer — Hatfield Hammer (SR:84, 5/1) carries the joint-top SR in the field and blinkers applied for focus; despite drifting 18%, its raw ability edge over the selection is real and Paul Nolan's 9% strike rate with an experienced amateur could see it outrun the going concerns.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 9-0P37 — the 'P' (pulled up) in recent starts is a red flag, and a best recent finish of 7th suggests this horse is struggling to complete competitively, not just lacking a win.
SR:76 is notably below the top three market rivals Hatfield Hammer (84), Steps In The Sand (83), and Goin' (82) — the weight concession to those horses is modest and may not fully bridge an 8-point S…
HG:p indicates Dunany Point's going preference is soft/heavy, yet today's ground is good — a meaningful going mismatch that could blunt any fitness advantage from the 12-day prep.
Trainer Conor David Maxwell runs at 7% strike rate from only 133 runners and jockey Kieren Buckley at 7% from 236 — the market move carries less weight when the yard and rider combination has limited…
ShortlistDunany Point, Hatfield Hammer, Goin', Steps In The Sand