Shaped with promise when second last time out, and Jackson Lamb returns on a quick 18-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; winless in his last five starts, but that recent placed effort under 168 lb gives genuine cause for optimism.
Form last 60-P752
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR118RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tassarolo boasts two wins in his last five starts, including a victory three starts back, and returns just 11 days later with experience of today's distance and going in his favour; the main risk is that he was unplaced two starts back and could only manage fourth last time out.
Form last 61210-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR114RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rich Belief arrives on the back of back-to-back thirds, retaining solid form, and he was a winner three starts back; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 123 ranks him narrowly top of this field, though 158 lb is the chief burden he must overcome.
Form last 687/133
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR123RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Allo Al Khawaneej at least has experience over today's trip and going to call on, and 30 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the concern is a recent unplaced effort and a stiff 154 lb to shoulder.
Form last 6387-40
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR110RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, Bryson is hard to fancy, though a second three starts back and a return to familiar going at least offer slim encouragement ahead of this assignment off 154 lb.
Form last 66-U267
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR100RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Rocky's Howya has won twice in his last five starts and arrives on a fresh 24-day break having shown he handles today's distance and going; the concern is that unplaced efforts either side of his most recent victory suggest some inconsistency to navigate.
Form last 6P-1010
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
118SR118RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, with a pair of ninths and unplaced efforts the chief concern, Eastern Wind at least returns on a quick enough turnaround at 21 days and has experience of today's going, though 150 lb is a stiff ask for a mare yet to find her best form.
Form last 64090-9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
80SR104RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Movie King faces a stiff ask here; a pair of thirds three and four starts back offers slim encouragement, but a return to unplaced last time and a hefty 150 lb to shoulder make him hard to fancy.
Form last 63/38-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR93RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Mephisto at least returns on a quick turnaround of 13 days and has run over today's trip and going before, though a career-high 148 lb and a ranking of eighth of 14 on our figures make it hard to fancy him strongly here.
Form last 6-47006
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR106RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Howdoyalikeherhome has experience of today's distance and going but a fall in recent form and a trainer firing at just 3% over the past fortnight are significant concerns, even if 20 days off the track suggests he returns fresh.
Form last 6-48F04
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR113RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Long Gone won five starts ago but has since pulled up twice and finished unplaced in her latest, making her recent profile deeply inconsistent; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 16 days between runs leaves fitness an open question.
Form last 61P-6P0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR108RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of fourteen on our ratings, Malbas does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 33 days between runs suggests he returns fresh; the weight burden of 146 lb and a string of unplaced efforts are harder to look past.
Form last 698-090
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR104RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Oh So Charming won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked twelfth of fourteen on our figures, his recent record also includes an unplaced effort two starts back and a fifth three starts back, making him hard to fancy at this level.
Form last 6-52501
★AI Rating★★★★☆
101SR99RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Beacon Bypass was pulled up just seven days ago and that swift turnaround adds to the concern; he has run over today's going before, and 142 lb is no help either.
Form last 6-0908P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR81RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rocky's Howya owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Declan QueallyEoin Staples(5)
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Rich Belief
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Karl Thornton✓ Value Signal
Malbas
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Edward Buckley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rocky's Howya (SR:118, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this modest claiming hurdle, carrying a manageable 10-12 and trained by Declan Queally who strikes at 17% from 218 runners — comfortably the most potent yard in the field. The form string P-1010 shows two wins in recent starts, confirming the horse remains competitive at this level. Queally has two runners here, and Rocky's Howya is identified as the yard's #1 — reinforced by the more experienced claiming jockey booking (Eoin Staples, 15% strike rate). The 7/2 price is fair rather than prohibitive for a horse whose SR of 118 eclipses the next-best (Oh So Charming 101) by a significant margin in a field where most runners sit in the 60-99 range.
Each-way alternative: Oh So Charming.
Main danger: Oh So Charming — Oh So Charming (SR:101, 9/2) is the stablemate from the same powerful Queally yard, ran to a win last time out (-52501 form), and at a lighter weight of 10-6 could prove the yard's fresher, more progressive option at a bigger price — though the 12% market drift is a concern.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string P-1010 means Rocky's Howya has alternated wins and defeats — the '0' most recently suggests he's currently in a losing cycle, not a winning one.
Age 10 with headgear history 'tv' (visor/tongue-tie) suggests a horse that needs plenty of gear management; stable companion Oh So Charming (SR:101, age 6, fresh win -52501) is younger and on an upwa…
MarkMv:= (flat market move) contrasts with Oh So Charming drifting out 12% — but the yard's #1 designation is questioned by the fact Queally's second runner Oh So Charming is only 17 SR points behind…
Bellewstown is a tight, undulating track that can expose older horses; Rocky's Howya's HG code 'tv' shows no specific Bellewstown turf form, while rivals like Rich Belief (HG:t) and Tassarolo (HG:t)…
ShortlistRocky's Howya, Oh So Charming, Rich Belief, Tassarolo