Bellewstown 15:51 RESULTED
26 Aug 2026

Last Wednesday Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Hurdle

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Hurdle · 2m4f110y

Official Result

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rocky's Howya (IRE) Eoin Staples · Declan Queally
    5/1
  2. 8/1
  3. 14/1
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Wolverhampton (AW)

14:00–17:10 · 7 races

Catterick

14:15–16:52 · 6 races

Bellewstown

15:51–19:38 · 8 races

Newbury

16:10–19:30 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

18:20–20:51 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jackson Lamb silks
Jackson Lamb
Age 7 · 12-0
0-P752
118
92
118
7
12-0
7/1 17/2 11/2
Shaped with promise when second last time out, and Jackson Lamb returns on a quick 18-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; winless in his last five starts, but that recent placed effort under 168 lb gives genuine cause for optimism.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Tassarolo silks
Tassarolo
Age 5 · 11-8
1210-4
117
99
114
5
11-8
7/1 13/2 7/1
Tassarolo boasts two wins in his last five starts, including a victory three starts back, and returns just 11 days later with experience of today's distance and going in his favour; the main risk is that he was unplaced two starts back and could only manage fourth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Rich Belief silks
Rich Belief
Age 9 · 11-4
87/133
113
111
123
9
11-4
7/1 9/2 7/1
Rich Belief arrives on the back of back-to-back thirds, retaining solid form, and he was a winner three starts back; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 123 ranks him narrowly top of this field, though 158 lb is the chief burden he must overcome.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Allo Al Khawaneej silks
Allo Al Khawaneej
Age 6 · 11-0
387-40
108
91
110
6
11-0
12/1 10/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, Allo Al Khawaneej at least has experience over today's trip and going to call on, and 30 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the concern is a recent unplaced effort and a stiff 154 lb to shoulder.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bryson silks
Bryson
Age 6 · 11-0
6-U267
96
68
100
6
11-0
20/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, Bryson is hard to fancy, though a second three starts back and a return to familiar going at least offer slim encouragement ahead of this assignment off 154 lb.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Rocky's Howya silks
Rocky's Howya
Age 10 · 10-12
P-1010
116
118
118
10
10-12
4/1 3/1 4/1
Rocky's Howya has won twice in his last five starts and arrives on a fresh 24-day break having shown he handles today's distance and going; the concern is that unplaced efforts either side of his most recent victory suggest some inconsistency to navigate.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Eastern Wind silks
Eastern Wind
Age 7 · 10-10
4090-9
102
80
104
7
10-10
14/1 22/1 12/1
Winless in her last five starts, with a pair of ninths and unplaced efforts the chief concern, Eastern Wind at least returns on a quick enough turnaround at 21 days and has experience of today's going, though 150 lb is a stiff ask for a mare yet to find her best form.
AI verdict

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Movie King silks
Movie King
Age 9 · 10-10
3/38-0
82
60
93
9
10-10
80/1 50/1 66/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Movie King faces a stiff ask here; a pair of thirds three and four starts back offers slim encouragement, but a return to unplaced last time and a hefty 150 lb to shoulder make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

9
Mephisto silks
Mephisto
Age 9 · 10-8
-47006
108
89
106
9
10-8
14/1 FCST 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, Mephisto at least returns on a quick turnaround of 13 days and has run over today's trip and going before, though a career-high 148 lb and a ranking of eighth of 14 on our figures make it hard to fancy him strongly here.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Howdoyalikeherhome silks
Howdoyalikeherhome
Age 7 · 10-6
-48F04
112
99
113
7
10-6
10/1 17/2 10/1
Winless in his last five starts, Howdoyalikeherhome has experience of today's distance and going but a fall in recent form and a trainer firing at just 3% over the past fortnight are significant concerns, even if 20 days off the track suggests he returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Long Gone silks
Long Gone
Age 8 · 10-6
1P-6P0
108
92
108
8
10-6
9/1 5/1 8/1
Long Gone won five starts ago but has since pulled up twice and finished unplaced in her latest, making her recent profile deeply inconsistent; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 16 days between runs leaves fitness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Malbas silks
Malbas
Age 10 · 10-6
98-090
97
71
104
10
10-6
40/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of fourteen on our ratings, Malbas does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 33 days between runs suggests he returns fresh; the weight burden of 146 lb and a string of unplaced efforts are harder to look past.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Oh So Charming silks
Oh So Charming
Age 6 · 10-6
-52501
98
101
99
6
10-6
4/1 10/3 7/2
Oh So Charming won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked twelfth of fourteen on our figures, his recent record also includes an unplaced effort two starts back and a fifth three starts back, making him hard to fancy at this level.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

14
Beacon Bypass silks
Beacon Bypass
Age 4 · 10-2
-0908P
84
54
81
4
10-2
150/1 50/1 150/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Beacon Bypass was pulled up just seven days ago and that swift turnaround adds to the concern; he has run over today's going before, and 142 lb is no help either.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jackson Lamb 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 7/1 Bet365
2 Tassarolo 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 15/2 Paddy Power
3 Rich Belief 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Paddy Power
4 Allo Al Khawaneej 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Paddy Power
5 Bryson 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 Bet365
6 Rocky's Howya 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
7 Eastern Wind 14/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Movie King 80/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
9 Mephisto 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Howdoyalikeherhome 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Paddy Power
11 Long Gone 9/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 Bet365
12 Malbas 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
13 Oh So Charming 4/1 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
14 Beacon Bypass 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rocky's Howya

Live signal

Rocky's Howya owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Declan Queally Eoin Staples(5)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rich Belief

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Karl Thornton
✓ Value Signal

Malbas

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Edward Buckley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Rocky's Howya
62.4 4/1
2 3. Rich Belief
60.3 7/1
3 13. Oh So Charming
58.3 4/1
4 1. Jackson Lamb
56.2 7/1
5 10. Howdoyalikeherhome
54.3 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Rocky's Howya
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 10 · 10-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 6 · 10-6
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 101 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-8
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-4
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 8 · 10-6
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 7 · 10-6
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 10-10
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Age 9 · 10-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 11-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rocky's Howya
Confidence: Speculative

Rocky's Howya (SR:118, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this modest claiming hurdle, carrying a manageable 10-12 and trained by Declan Queally who strikes at 17% from 218 runners — comfortably the most potent yard in the field. The form string P-1010 shows two wins in recent starts, confirming the horse remains competitive at this level. Queally has two runners here, and Rocky's Howya is identified as the yard's #1 — reinforced by the more experienced claiming jockey booking (Eoin Staples, 15% strike rate). The 7/2 price is fair rather than prohibitive for a horse whose SR of 118 eclipses the next-best (Oh So Charming 101) by a significant margin in a field where most runners sit in the 60-99 range. Each-way alternative: Oh So Charming. Main danger: Oh So Charming — Oh So Charming (SR:101, 9/2) is the stablemate from the same powerful Queally yard, ran to a win last time out (-52501 form), and at a lighter weight of 10-6 could prove the yard's fresher, more progressive option at a bigger price — though the 12% market drift is a concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string P-1010 means Rocky's Howya has alternated wins and defeats — the '0' most recently suggests he's currently in a losing cycle, not a winning one.
  • Age 10 with headgear history 'tv' (visor/tongue-tie) suggests a horse that needs plenty of gear management; stable companion Oh So Charming (SR:101, age 6, fresh win -52501) is younger and on an upwa…
  • MarkMv:= (flat market move) contrasts with Oh So Charming drifting out 12% — but the yard's #1 designation is questioned by the fact Queally's second runner Oh So Charming is only 17 SR points behind…
  • Bellewstown is a tight, undulating track that can expose older horses; Rocky's Howya's HG code 'tv' shows no specific Bellewstown turf form, while rivals like Rich Belief (HG:t) and Tassarolo (HG:t)…
Shortlist Rocky's Howya, Oh So Charming, Rich Belief, Tassarolo
Each-way: Oh So Charming Danger: Oh So Charming

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting