Kempton (AW) 18:20 RESULTED
Class 3 26 Aug 2026

Last Wednesday Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Al Wathba (FR) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    4/7F
  2. 16/1
  3. 33/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Al Wathba silks
Al Wathba
Age 2 · 9-7
22
91
104
91OR
2
9-7
4/7 4/7 7/16
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Burningringoffire silks
Burningringoffire
Age 2 · 9-7
125
2
9-7
33/1 16/1 14/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cites silks
Cites
Age 2 · 9-7
135
2
9-7
16/1 15/2 17/2
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Gilder Roy silks
Gilder Roy
Age 2 · 9-7
128
2
9-7
25/1 10/1 20/1
SR 128 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 128 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Peak Tram silks
Peak Tram
Age 2 · 9-7
46
127
2
9-7
66/1 66/1 40/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Pure Concept silks
Pure Concept
Age 2 · 9-7
141
2
9-7
12/1 15/2 13/2
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Sommood silks
Sommood
Age 2 · 9-7
2
154
2
9-7
5/2 FCST 31/19
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Wykehurst Park silks
Wykehurst Park
Age 2 · 9-7
124
2
9-7
40/1 16/1 18/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Al Wathba 4/7 open 1.83 1/2 open 1.80 1/2 open 1.62 1/2 open 1.57 4/7 open 1.83 4/9 open 1.57 4/7 Bet365
2 Burningringoffire 33/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
3 Cites 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 16/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Gilder Roy 25/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Peak Tram 66/1 66/1 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 81.00 66/1 Bet365
6 Pure Concept 12/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 19.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Sommood 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 2.88 13/8 13/8 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
8 Wykehurst Park 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sommood

Live signal

Sommood owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Al Wathba

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/7 · Charlie Appleby
✓ Value Signal

Burningringoffire

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Richard Hughes
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Sommood
69.1 5/2
2 1. Al Wathba
62.3 4/7
3 3. Cites
60.7 16/1
4 6. Pure Concept
60.0 12/1
5 4. Gilder Roy
53.4 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Al Wathba
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-7
4/7
★★★★☆ SR 104 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-7
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 135 🐾

SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Al Wathba
Confidence: Speculative

Al Wathba (SR 104, 8/15) may sit below Sommood on the SR scale, but in a juvenile novice this early in development, market confidence is the dominant signal — and 8/15 with a further 12% market shortening from the Appleby/Buick combination is about as strong a stable signal as this level produces. Charlie Appleby runs at 31% strike rate from 214 runners, Buick books at 20% career strike rate, and the yard's juvenile novice operation on AW is consistently potent. The Form:22 line shows Al Wathba has already raced twice (unlike four of the eight runners who are debut maidens), providing racecourse experience and the 17-day turnaround suggests the yard is happy with the horse's progress. Sommood's SR-154 is eye-catching but comes off a single debut second with a 14% market drift — the money is not following that number, which materially undermines the case. Each-way alternative: Sommood. Main danger: Sommood — Sommood carries the highest SR in the field at 154 — a significant margin above Al Wathba's 104 — and the Crisford yard runs at 20% strike rate; if the debut second represented less than peak ability and the horse has strengthened in 19 days, it could overcome the market drift on raw talent alone.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Al Wathba's Form:22 means two consecutive runner-up finishes — the horse has already shown a pattern of being beaten at this level, not winning it.
  • SR:104 is the second-lowest in the field; Sommood (SR:154) represents a 50-point superiority on speed ratings, a gap that market confidence alone cannot bridge in a juvenile novice.
  • The 8/15 price implies ~65% win probability, yet Al Wathba has a 0% win conversion from two starts — the market may be overreacting to stable/jockey optics rather than actual form.
Shortlist Al Wathba, Sommood, Pure Concept
Each-way: Sommood Danger: Sommood

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade