Fidelius shaped with real promise when second last time out, has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 94 puts him firmly in the picture from stall six; the concern is a trainer operating at just 5% in the last fortnight.
Form last 6125602
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR94RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Marching Mac won on his most recent start and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions, making him an appealing fit here; a 75-day absence is worth noting, but that recent win gives him solid claims from stall eight off 139 lb.
Form last 6-40431
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR89RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Canon's House shaped with plenty of promise when third three starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; ranked top of the field on our ratings, the concern is a trainer currently in the grip of a cold spell.
Form last 6506347
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR95RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Novamay won three starts back and returns on a quick turnaround of just 15 days, bringing experience of today's distance and going and an 89 rating that marks her out as a live threat from stall three; the risk is that her two most recent efforts were a sixth and an eighth.
Form last 6-95168
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR89RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out after winning two starts back, Secret Mistral brings solid recent form and has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 136 lb from stall seven and a speed rating below her official mark suggest she faces a stiff task to go one better.
Form last 638-213
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR85RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Angel Numbers was unplaced last time out, which is hard to ignore, and she ranks eighth of ten on our figures; however, she was a winner two starts back and three starts back, showing she retains ability, and she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6774110
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR83RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A second four starts back shows she has ability, but three subsequent efforts — two unplaced runs the latest — raise questions; she has run over today's trip and going, carries 132 lb from stall 4, and a rating of 86 suggests some residual class to call on.
Form last 6172600
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR86RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, with an unplaced effort 11 days ago and a trainer in notably poor form at 3%, Vince L'Amour is hard to fancy from stall ten carrying 126 lb; experience over today's trip and going is at least something in his favour.
Form last 6679020
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR80RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Opened his recent account with a win last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but his form is inconsistent — ninth two starts back — and 126 lb from stall 9 adds to the challenge for a horse rated just 67 officially.
Form last 6379191
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR86RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and representing a trainer in poor form at just 3%, Canaria Queen faces a stiff ask here, though she has experience of today's trip and conditions, was second last time out, and stall one is hers from 123 lb.
Form last 6155282
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR77RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Canon's House owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Michael & David EasterbyBilly Garritty
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Our Absent Friends
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Tristan Davidson✓ Value Signal
Vince L'Amour
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
16/1 · Tim Easterby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Canon's House (SR 90, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and has been backed in dramatically — 45% market move is the strongest steam in this race by some distance. Dropping a class (↓1) and running off a mark 2lb below his last win (MarkMv:-2) puts him in a favourable position on the handicap. Billy Garritty (10% strike rate) is a competent booking, and Good going suits (GoingFit:+). The recent form string 506347 reads poorly in isolation, but the class drop and significant market confidence suggest something has clicked in the build-up — connections clearly expect a forward showing.
Each-way alternative: Secret Mistral.
Main danger: Our Absent Friends — Our Absent Friends (SR 85) has excellent course form (W2P3), carries only 9-0, and a MarkMv:-2 at a yard with a 19% strike rate — the slight drift of 8% is the only concern, but Jason Hart (14%) is a strong retention.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 506347 shows six consecutive runs without a win — last victory is now distant, and a -2 mark adjustment barely compensates for a horse that has been beaten an average of 10+ lengths in re…
Raced just 5 days ago, which is an unusually quick turnaround; horses running back this fast often show residual fatigue, particularly if they exerted themselves in that last effort.
Our Absent Friends (SR:85) has won twice and placed three times at Catterick specifically, and Jason Hart (14% SR) is a sharply superior jockey booking to Garritty (10%) on a proven course specialist…
Novamay also moved in 42% in the market — almost as strong as Canon's House — yet carries less weight and has course form (W0P1), making the steam on Canon's House less decisive as a differentiator.