Margaret's Pearl won four starts back and our rating of 85 has her top-rated, while she has run over today's trip and going before. The concern is a 44-day absence and a run of three below-par efforts since that success.
Form last 641054
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR85RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts, Menhaal has nonetheless shown consistency at this level and has run over today's trip, though his speed figure leaves a little to be desired and he faces a stiff task under 133 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6754
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR72RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sydney Grace won on her most recent start and has run over today's trip, while our rating has her as a leading danger in this field; the main concern is a 69-day absence since that win.
Form last 661
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR75RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twice placed third in recent starts, Wondervision heads here with solid consistency and experience over today's trip, though connections will need her to find more after 86 days off; carrying 129 lb from stall two, she rates as an interesting contender on her overall profile.
Form last 633
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR81RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Green Titan has been winless in his last three starts and our figures rank him towards the foot of the field, making him difficult to fancy, though he at least tackles a distance he has run over before.
Form last 6026
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR64RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last two starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Horndean faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and a third two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; 33 days off and stall five round out a modest profile.
Form last 634
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR68RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked last on our figures, Royal Titan faces a stiff task here; he has experience of today's going and steps out from stall four carrying 127 lb, but his recent sequence of a fifth, seventh, and ninth offers little encouragement.
Form last 6975
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR62RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Nascent Star has run over today's trip and shaped with promise when runner-up last time, though he remains winless in his last four starts and a trainer in the depths of a lean spell — just one from 24 in the past fortnight — is a significant concern.
Form last 64402
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR73RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last two starts but showed promise with a third two starts back, and Lola has experience of today's trip and conditions; the 42-day break and 122 lb burden are the questions to answer.
Form last 634
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR73RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sable Island arrives here with a sizeable gap between her official mark of 62 and our rating of 83 — the strongest case that she is well treated — and she has run over today's trip and going before, yet winless in her last five starts, with recent finishes trending the wrong way, makes confidence hard to hold fully.
Form last 633765
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR83RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Green Titan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2George BougheyJack Callan
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sydney Grace
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Charlie Fellowes✓ Value Signal
Lola
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Tom Ward◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Wondervision (SR:79, 7/2, Wgt:9-3) is the highest-rated horse in this nursery field and drops two class tiers, giving it a clear ability edge over a modest field where no rival exceeds SR:76. The consistent 3-3 form line suggests a horse that has been running well without winning but has now been placed in a competitive environment where the class drop should prove decisive. Jack Channon's 14% strike rate with George Bass booking at 10% is workmanlike but the key factor is the SR advantage combined with the lightest-competitive weight in the race — 9-3 against rivals with similar or higher weights and lower ability scores. At 7/2 the market offers fair value for the standout-rated horse dropping significantly in class.
Each-way alternative: Sydney Grace.
Main danger: Nascent Star — Nascent Star (SR:72, 7/1) has steamed in 21% in the market — the strongest Mkt:in move in the field — and a recent runner-up finish in its 4402 form line shows it is moving in the right direction, making it the most credible market-backed threat despite stepping up one class tier.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Wondervision has been off 86 days — the longest layoff in the field — and has only two career runs, both thirds; fitness and race-sharpness after a near-3-month absence on AW is a genuine question.
The form line of 3-3 shows a horse that has twice been beaten; no win to its name, and now faces nursery competition where rivals like Sydney Grace (4/1, SR:76, form 61) are fresher and improving on…
Green Titan (10/3, SR:68) is the market-implied favourite despite lower SR, suggesting on-course money has found reasons to prefer a rival — and Wondervision carries no market support signal (no 'in'…
Jack Channon 14% / George Bass 10% combined stable-jockey strike rate is modest, and Bass has fewer opportunities (280 rides) than most rivals' jockeys today, reducing confidence in execution at a ci…
ShortlistWondervision, Sydney Grace, Nascent Star, Green Titan