Ranked second of ten on our ratings and carrying 140 lb from stall eight, Folkene has run over today's distance and going before, yet she arrives winless in her last five starts and a trainer in the depths of a 0-from-21 run offers little confidence behind her.
Form last 697-640
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Beaten into seventh last time out, Evocative Spark has won three times in his last six starts but his recent efforts are inconsistent, and ranked eighth of ten on our figures he faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6117147
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR69RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom but one on our figures and carrying a hefty 139 lb from stall seven, Classy Clarets faces a stiff ask on ratings, yet his recent four wins in his last six starts — including four consecutive victories — give him a genuine form case worth respecting.
Form last 6451111
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR62RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed in five of his last six starts, including a win four starts back, Runninsonofagun arrives fit on a nine-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour, though our rating of 70 and a middling rank of sixth suggest he faces a stiff ask against the top end of this field.
Form last 6351322
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR70RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Landed a win two starts back but was only second last time out, and that sixth three starts back is a blot on an otherwise honest profile; Carolus Magnus has run over today's trip and going, and at 137 lb from stall five he faces a stiff task off a mark of 67.
Form last 60-2612
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR69RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Black Storm has been knocking consistently at the door, third last time out and third two starts back, and his experience over today's trip and ground counts in his favour from stall two, with our rating marking him the pick of the field — the concern is that he remains winless in recent starts and must finally convert.
Form last 6442533
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR75RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, No Return has nonetheless shown consistency in placing around the midfield, with back-to-back fifths most recently; he has experience over today's trip and going, but 136 lb from stall 10 adds to the task after 44 days off.
Form last 6784455
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR71RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Willolarupi has run over today's distance and going before and shaped with promise when third two starts back, and at 135 lb from stall one our rating of 71 marks him out as a leading threat; the concern is he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
Form last 66553-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Vince Le Prince shaped with promise when second two starts back and third four starts back in recent form, and he returns here on a quick turnaround of just nine days with experience of today's distance and going in his favour; winless in his last six, he nonetheless catches the eye at 135 lb from stall four.
Form last 6753020
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Emerald Army won last time out but that single bright spot is his only success in six starts, and he ranks bottom of this field on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite the quick turnaround and experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6228661
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR59RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Black Storm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Katie ScottOisin Orr
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Runninsonofagun
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Tristan Davidson✓ Value Signal
Willolarupi
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Declan Carroll◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Black Storm (SR:80, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and has steamed in 49% in the market — the strongest market move in the race. Carrying 9-10, Black Storm has a meaningful weight advantage over Runninsonofagun (SR:78, 9-12) and is proven at this distance (DistFit:+). The going is Good and while GoingFit is only moderate (~), the market money suggests connections are unconcerned. Trainer Katie Scott's 7% strike rate is modest but the booking of Oisin Orr (14% career SR, 706 rides) is a positive signal, and the form string 442533 shows consistent competitiveness at this level — the horse is not being avoided on form grounds, and the market is clearly not either.
Each-way alternative: Runninsonofagun.
Main danger: Runninsonofagun — Runninsonofagun (SR:78, 7/2) is the second-highest rated horse in the field, has shortened 15% in the market, holds DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the best going credentials in the race — and trainer Tristan Davidson operates at an 18% strike rate, the strongest yard stat on the card.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 442533 shows Black Storm has not won in 6 consecutive starts — a horse drifting toward non-winning form despite being highest-rated suggests a ceiling at this level.
HG flag 'b' (blinkers) indicates a horse that may need headgear to compete, yet recent finishes of 3,3,5 suggest even with blinkers the wins are not coming.
Trainer Katie Scott's 7% strike rate is the second-lowest among competitive trainers in this field — materially below Tristan Davidson (18%) who saddles the second-favourite Runninsonofagun.
Runninsonofagun (SR:78, 9 days since last run, 15% market move in) is fresh, trained by the top strike-rate handler in the race, and only 2lbs behind — the weight advantage cited is marginal not deci…
ShortlistBlack Storm, Runninsonofagun, Classy Clarets, Vince Le Prince