Tronido has experience of today's distance and going, and her win in recent starts shows she can find the line, with a handy draw at stall two adding interest; the risk is that she has been out of the frame in her last two runs.
Form last 6581407
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR74RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed third last time out and a runner-up three starts back, Veil Of Clouds brings solid each-way form into this and her trainer is in red-hot form at 41% over the past fortnight — the risk is she remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 65253
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR72RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Egotistical posted a fine win three starts back and, rated 80 to head this field of five, she appeals as the one to beat for a trainer firing at 27% over the past fortnight; the 52-day break and a return to today's trip and going give her every chance from stall five.
Form last 6-23174
★AI Rating★★★★☆
87SR80RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Unexposed and open to improvement, Dark Brunette has finished second twice in recent starts and, yet to win, steps back up having been off 74 days; lightly raced with more to offer as she drops into stall one carrying 135 lb.
Form last 672-20
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bessie Wallis showed she knows how to win, landing the spoils five starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going keeps her firmly in the picture from stall 3 carrying 130 lb; the main concern is a run of four consecutive unplaced efforts since that victory.
Form last 616-554
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Egotistical owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Roger VarianRoss Coakley
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Veil Of Clouds
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/11 · Simon & Ed Crisford✓ Value Signal
Bessie Wallis
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Michael Attwater◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Egotistical (SR:87, 11/8) is the class standout in this five-runner field by a clear margin — 9 points above the next-best Veil Of Clouds and 17+ above the remainder. The decisive signal is the market move: a 26% shortening to joint-favourite from Roger Varian's yard (19% strike rate, 657 runners — a high-volume, high-quality operation) is not noise, it is intent. The horse holds a confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's 6f trip on Good ground, and is running off a mark 1lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-1), meaning the handicapper has handed it a marginal favour. Form reading right-to-left shows 4-7-1-3-2 — the recent 1 then 3-2 sequence is the form of a horse in consistent, competitive shape at this class level.
Each-way alternative: Veil Of Clouds.
Main danger: Veil Of Clouds — Veil Of Clouds (SR:78, 11/8) holds a confirmed DistFit:+ at this trip from a 20%-strike-rate yard, carries the same weight as Egotistical, and at joint-favourite pricing the market clearly respects it — the 7% drift is modest and may simply reflect money arriving for Egotistical rather than genuine negative information about this runner.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
Ross Coakley has a 3% strike rate from 74 rides — a notably cold jockey stat at a track where retained rider quality often matters in small fields.
52-day absence is a material concern; Lingfield AW 6f on Good is a sharp track where race-fitness can be exposed in a five-runner sprint with no cover to hide behind.
Form reading 4 then 7 then 1 then 3 then 2 shows the last two runs are a regression from that winning effort — finishing 3rd and 2nd suggests the horse is being held off in the final furlong.
ShortlistEgotistical, Veil Of Clouds, Dark Brunette