Matchbook Handicap Stakes · 1m3f99y
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Trojan Truth | 7/1 open 4.50 | 15/2 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 Betfred |
| 2 Pershalla | 6/1 open 9.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Saliko | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Guinness Lad | 4/1 open 7.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Highland Harvey | 3/1 open 4.33 | 11/4 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Mix De Gris | 25/1 open 17.00 | 30/1 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Judge Frank | 28/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Risk Averse Rebel | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Mister Pretentious | 50/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Highland Harvey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Guinness Lad (SR:59, 5/1, Wgt:9-4) combines the most compelling multi-signal case in this field. His GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on good-to-firm, his Course:W1P3 record at Windsor is directly relevant on what is a specialist track, and his market has shortened 18% — meaningful money on a 5/1 shot. Carrying 9-4 gives him a 1lb edge over the top-weights and 7lb over Risk Averse Rebel (SR:62), partially offsetting that SR gap. His form string 652138 shows a last-run win, and Neil Mulholland at 12% strike rate with a 585-runner sample is a solid professional operation — not a yard to ignore when they steam a horse in. The MarkMv:+3 is a modest step up in mark but well within range given the recent win. Each-way alternative: Highland Harvey. Main danger: Risk Averse Rebel — Risk Averse Rebel (SR:62, 3/1, Wgt:8-11) carries the field's highest SR with a significant weight advantage of 7lb over the top-weights, and dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) on a consistent recent form string of 345332 makes him the most straightforward threat to Guinness Lad.