Harry's Pop has been a model of consistency in recent starts, finishing fourth three times in his last five and returning here fit on a 14-day turnaround, with experience over today's trip and a handy draw from stall 5 supporting his claims; the concern is he remains winless and must convert that placed-level form into something more decisive.
Form last 674044
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR65RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent in defeat but never far from the frame, Aura Of Melania brings distance and going experience into this and a third last time out gives her plenty to build on, though the trainer's current cold spell — winless in 21 attempts over the past fortnight — is a note of caution.
Form last 664453
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR67RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Eevee Star has run over today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 38% in the last fortnight gives her strong support from stall seven at 133 lb, but she is winless in her last four starts and will need to find more to threaten at the finish.
Form last 63558
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR65RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cheeky Chesca has shown she can compete at this level, finishing second on two occasions in recent starts, and she has experience over today's trip and going; drawn in stall one carrying 131 lb, the main concern is her three most recent outings have been below those earlier showings.
Form last 6223779
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR64RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts, with finishes of sixth, ninth and seventh, Soldier's Echo is hard to fancy from stall three off 129 lb, and a trainer striking at just 4% compounds the concern — though she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6796
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR56RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, with a best recent effort of fourth coming five starts back, Invicta Rose has distance experience to call on and returns after a 26-day break, though her rating of 57 leaves her with plenty to find from stall two.
Form last 647656
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR57RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts, So Tempting at least returns to a trip she has run over before and showed some promise when second last time out, though two sixth-place finishes in between temper expectations; 123 lb from stall eight is the neutral hand she's been dealt.
Form last 68662
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR64RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts, with finishes of seventh, fifth and sixth, Athos is the bottom-ranked runner on our figures and hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a trainer striking at 29% over the past fortnight offers a rare crumb of comfort.
Form last 6657
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR54RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
So Tempting owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Tom WardP J McDonald
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Aura Of Melania
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Roger Fell✓ Value Signal
Invicta Rose
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
12/1 · Ollie Sangster◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Harry's Pop (SR:64, 9/2) carries 9-9 — a 14lb pull on So Tempting (SR:66, 8-11) when adjusted for weight, effectively neutralising So Tempting's marginal SR edge. Sam James (14% career strike rate) is the sharper jockey booking in this field and the class drop (↓1) into a Class 6 nursery is well-timed. The DistFit:- flag is a concern shared across most of this field, so it is not a differentiator, and 9/2 represents fair value in a competitive but low-grade heat where no runner stands clearly apart. The form figure of 44 in recent runs is modest but not dishonourable at this level.
Each-way alternative: Aura Of Melania.
Main danger: Eevee Star — Eevee Star (SR:56, 10/1) has steamed in 11% in the market — the only runner shortening — and Edward Bethell's 16% trainer strike rate is the best in the field, suggesting stable confidence is genuine.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Harry's Pop's last three runs show a deteriorating sequence (4, 0, 4) with the '0' indicating a non-completion or last-place effort — the form figure 74044 is trending the wrong way into this race.
Trainer Dylan Cunha strikes at only 10% with just 321 runners, a notably thin record for a yard asking a 2yo to win off a 14-day turnaround in a nursery.
Aura Of Melania (SR:65, 4/1) is only 1 SR point below Harry's Pop, receives 2lb in weight, has recorded a recent placed run (3rd), and is at a shorter price — the weight-pull argument over So Temptin…
The DistFit:- flag on a 2yo at Catterick's sharp, undulating track is a genuine concern for a horse whose form figures show no win and no place in its last three starts.
ShortlistHarry's Pop, Aura Of Melania, Eevee Star, Soldier's Echo