Tees Aggregates brings distance and going experience to this assignment and steps up on his official mark with our rating putting him second among the eleven, making him a genuine threat; the worry is that he has been unplaced last time out and has found the winner's enclosure only once in his last six starts.
Form last 6533170
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Emperor's Son won two starts back but has been unplaced on his latest outing, and 44 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a mark of 70 with 140 lb from stall 11 leaves him with plenty to find against stronger rivals.
Form last 6369410
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR73RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a win two starts back but has thrown in a pair of nineths either side of it, and three days between runs is a quick turnaround; he has run over today's trip and going, and 139 lb from stall four makes this no gimme.
Form last 6637919
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR71RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Miss Brazen shaped well when third three starts back and went one better with a win four starts back, and she brings distance-and-going experience to this. The 62-day absence is the main query.
Form last 68-1365
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR75RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Betweenthesticks has run over today's trip and going and shaped with promise last time, finishing third two starts back and second three starts back, yet he remains winless in his last six starts and that inability to convert is the chief concern at 138 lb from stall 7.
Form last 6296234
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Canaria Queen showed she retains ability with a second two starts back, but eighth last time out is a concern; she has run over today's trip and going, carries 138 lb from stall two, and an official mark of 68 leaves little margin for error in this company.
Form last 6215528
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR69RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaumadier shaped well when second three starts back and arrives fresh on 21 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going and our rating of 74 nudging above his official mark — the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts and has found two fifth-place finishes in his most recent outings.
Form last 6743255
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR74RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Staniel Cay shaped with promise when third last time out, and he has a win two starts back to underpin his claims, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; a 96-day break is the one query.
Form last 64-5413
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR74RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Invincible Crown has managed just one win in his last six starts, finishing fourth twice in a row coming into this, and our figures rank him tenth of eleven in the field. He has run over today's trip and going before, and 14 days between runs suggests he is fresh enough.
Form last 6742144
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR64RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Irish Dancer has shown flashes — a winner, a second, and two thirds in recent starts — but an eighth two starts back and his ranking of ninth of eleven on our figures make him hard to fancy at the weights, despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6182383
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR66RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cheerleader is winless in her last five starts, with a third last time out her only recent encouragement, and a ranking of 11th on our figures makes her hard to fancy; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 21 days between runs suggests she is at least fresh.
Form last 628-943
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR62RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tees Aggregates owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Adrian NichollsJack Garritty
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Our Absent Friends
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Tristan Davidson✓ Value Signal
Invincible Crown
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Ruth Carr◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Staniel Cay (SR:75, 4/1) is the top-rated horse in this Class 5 sprint by a clear margin — 5 points clear of the next best — and carries a very manageable 9-8, the fourth-lightest weight in the field. The form string 4-5413 shows a last-run third followed by a win, suggesting a horse building toward peak condition, and trainer Grant Tuer (14% strike rate, 93 runners) and jockey Oisin Orr (14% strike rate, 706 runners) represent the strongest combined connections stats in the race. At 4/1 with no adverse market drift, the money is broadly comfortable here, and at age 3 stepping into a Class 5 handicap off a competitive mark, there is natural progression still to come.
Each-way alternative: Our Absent Friends.
Main danger: Our Absent Friends — Our Absent Friends (SR:70, 11/2) has steamed 18% in the market, holds a course record of W1P2, David Allan is a respected northern jockey, and trainer Tristan Davidson posts a solid 18% strike rate — those converging signals on a horse only 3 days off its last run suggest connections are confident despite the poor GoingFit flag.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
Staniel Cay has not run for 96 days — the longest layoff in the field by a significant margin, raising fitness questions for a sprint where sharpness is paramount.
Handicapper has raised the mark by +6 points since last run, the joint-largest rise in the field, eating into the rating advantage the analyst cites.
Our Absent Friends (11/2) has been running just 3 days ago and is drifting in the market by 18% — a course winner (W1P2) with recent race fitness could outpace a rusty Staniel Cay off the mark.