Ran a solid third two starts back and is fit on a 16-day turnaround, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; the unplaced effort last time out is the main concern.
Form last 6671830
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Daytona Lady rates highest in the field on 72 and brings both distance and going experience to the table, drawn in stall 8 and fit from a run just 11 days ago; the main risk is that she has been winless in her last six starts, with recent finishes trending towards the rear.
Form last 6342677
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR72RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Good Karma has placed in two of his last three starts, including a win three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going; 136 lb is the query, though he steps in from stall four on a fair mark of 62.
Form last 6274123
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR66RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Miss Rainbow arrives on the back of a win 13 days ago, has run over today's trip and going, and carries our second-highest rating into this — the weight of 136 lb from stall nine is the one factor she must overcome.
Form last 6103341
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR70RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Quercus landed a win five starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while 33 days between runs leaves him fresh enough to build on that. A string of mid-pack finishes since tempers enthusiasm, but he merits respect from stall two carrying 136 lb.
Form last 610-565
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR66RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third two starts back gives One Of Our Own a recent placed effort to cling to, but sixth last time out is a concern; she has run over today's distance and going before, carries 133 lb from stall five, and her rating of 66 suggests she holds a shade more ability than her official mark implies.
Form last 6441636
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR66RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Barmyblade has winning form in recent starts — a winner two starts back and a winner four starts back — but fourth last time out and an outsider on our figures, ranked eighth of nine, make him hard to fancy; he does at least bring distance and going experience to the table.
Form last 6821014
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR62RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Edmond Halley faces a stiff task from stall seven carrying 131 lb, though the in-form trainer and experience over today's trip and going offer slim crumbs of comfort.
Form last 6-00753
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR59RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Papa Don't Preach faces a stiff ask here, though he does arrive on a quick 15-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going, and his draw in stall one is a neutral factor worth noting.
Form last 6553932
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR64RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Edmond Halley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Edward BethellOisin Orr
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Barmyblade
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
8/1 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
One Of Our Own
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
14/1 · Rebecca Menzies◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Good Karma (SR:73, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 9-10, giving it a clear ability edge. Crucially, it is the only runner combining DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — proven to handle both this trip and good ground — while its recent form string 274123 shows a win last time out at the same class level (ClassMv:=). The market has shortened 8% since opening, confirming money is coming for it, and a prior place at Catterick (Course:W0P1) adds course familiarity. The trainer's 8% strike rate from a small yard is modest, but the jockey booking and market confidence back the selection.
Each-way alternative: Miss Rainbow.
Main danger: Miss Rainbow — Miss Rainbow (SR:72, 11/2) is the second-highest rated runner, shares DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, has strong course form (W1P3 at Catterick), and her recent form 103341 includes a last-time-out win — the drift of 10% is concerning but may simply reflect market preference for Good Karma rather than a fundamental negative.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Jockey Ethan Tindall has a modest 9% strike rate from just 114 rides — significantly weaker than rivals' jockeys such as McDonald (15%) and Orr (14%) who partner more fancied handlers today.
Trainer John David Riches operates from a tiny yard (only 25 runners recorded) with an 8% strike rate — very limited evidence base, and small yards at Catterick often lack the tactical intel of more…
Miss Rainbow (SR:72, Course:W1P3) has a superior Catterick course record of one win and three places, races off the same weight, and is only 1 SR point behind — the market backing for Good Karma look…
Barmyblade (SR:67) is shortening faster (-13% since opening vs Good Karma's -8%), has a Catterick course win, and carries 5lb less — sharper market move from a stronger trainer/jockey combo (Easterby…
ShortlistGood Karma, Miss Rainbow, Barmyblade, Edmond Halley