Wexford 14:05 16 May 2026
16 May 2026

Saturday 16 May Forth Mountain Trails Mares Handicap Hurdle

Forth Mountain Trails Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m4f

1548-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Last Note Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Born Bright
Age 7 · 11-12
F4114-
31
115
7
11-12
18/1 14/1 18/1
Dual hurdles winner was in good form over fences last summer, winning twice; has won after a break before, so she's in the mix on return.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Two Pair
Age 6 · 11-9
/2551-
91
113
6
11-9
11/2
Built on promising bumper and hurdle runs to score at Bellewstown last time after four months off (2m1f, yielding); kept on well that day; player on handicap debut for local trainer.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Joshua's Daylami
Age 7 · 11-8
45188/
77
112
7
11-8
16/1 11/1 14/1
Won a weak 2m7f heavy ground Punchestown maiden in February last year; struggled on handicap debut at Cork when last seen; best watched on return from over a year off.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Roxhill Roise
Age 8 · 11-8
/807P-
45
111
8
11-8
25/1 16/1 22/1
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Crystal Gold
Age 5 · 11-7
/3U45-
85
114
5
11-7
10/1 8/1 9/1
Definite ability in both completed maiden hurdles at Punchestown (2m4f, soft to heavy) when third of 24 and when fourth of 17 at Clonmel (2m1f, heavy); below her best at Cork back from a break and tongue tie goes on now.
AI verdict

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
One Night Standard
Age 7 · 11-5
/8347-
80
112
7
11-5
22/1 12/1 20/1
Dual hurdles winner for Gavin Cromwell; had been running some okay races over fences in her final runs for her former yard; back down to last winning mark now back over timber.
AI verdict

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Lily Milan silks
Lily Milan
Age 7 · 11-1
44586-
87
94
101
7
11-1
SP FCST 18/1
Point-to-point winner showed signs of ability in bumpers but her maiden hurdle runs below that, most recently seemingly not getting home in 2m3f Cork mares' maiden last month; back up in trip here for handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Kimy
Age 6 · 11-2
30093-
92
115
6
11-2
8/1 15/2 7/1
Record of 1-24 is off-putting; returned to scene of her win when breaking a poor run of form at Tramore (2m1f, good to yielding), finishing third of 16; ran on well that day, but she needs to repeat it.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Game And Glory silks
Game And Glory
Age 10 · 11-2
9P4FP-
87
78
101
10
11-2
SP FCST 50/1
Dual hurdles winner but was pulled up on her last visit to the track in a chase and pulled up last time over hurdles at Thurles.
AI verdict

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Malikanna
Age 5 · 11-2
70F92-
87
113
5
11-2
3/1 11/2 3/1
Left moderate bumper and maiden form behind when second at Limerick (2m, soft), outpaced before keeping on well; on that evidence, this step up in trip can help; 5lb rise is perhaps harsh, but she's a player.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Fair Damsel
Age 8 · 11-0
30/60-
74
114
8
11-0
50/1 40/1 50/1
A tailed off finish in a Tramore handicap last time was not the greatest stable debut; best watched for the moment.
AI verdict

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Simple Things
Age 4 · 10-13
37862-
94
116
4
10-13
9/2 7/2 9/2
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Morell River
Age 6 · 10-12
/4518-
97
115
6
10-12
17/2 16/1 15/2
Off the mark off 6lb lower over C&D in October (2m4f, yielding); struggled on heavy ground at Gowran (2m4f) the following month; improved with racing last season, so may need this but not dismissed.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Miss Lia
Age 6 · 10-10
522P2-
96
115
6
10-10
10/1 15/2 9/1
Easy winner of a Tramore maiden hurdle in 2024 (2m5f, good to yielding); some good runs in defeat last season, with multiple runner-up finishes up to 2m7f on different ground types (including over C&D); bounced back from a poor run at Fairyhouse when filling the second spot once again at Downpatrick (2m6f, yielding to soft) in March.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Last Note
Age 6 · 10-9
63295-
101
113
6
10-9
11/1
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Born Bright 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Two Pair 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 11/2 6/1 Coral
3 Joshua's Daylami 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Roxhill Roise 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Crystal Gold 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
6 One Night Standard 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Lily Milan 20/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 20/1 Bet365
7 Kimy 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 15/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
7 Game And Glory 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
8 Malikanna 3/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 Coral
9 Fair Damsel 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Simple Things 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
12 Morell River 17/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 17/2 Bet365
13 Miss Lia 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
14 Last Note 11/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Simple Things

Speculative

Simple Things owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 J P Dempsey Michael Kenneally(5)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Malikanna

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Padraig Roche
✓ Value Signal

Fair Damsel

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Cian Collins
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Simple Things
56.0 9/2
2 8. Malikanna
54.5 3/1
3 12. Morell River
53.7 17/2
4 2. Two Pair
53.5 11/2
5 14. Last Note
53.5 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Last Note
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 5 · 11-2
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 10-13
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 11-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 10-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 11-7
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Age 6 · 10-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 6 · 10-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 11-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 7 · 11-12
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 31 🐾

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Last Note
Confidence: Medium

Last Note leads the field with SR 101 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Last Note, Morell River, Miss Lia, Lily Milan, Simple Things
Each-way: Morell River Danger: Miss Lia

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Wexford Track and setting