Thirsk 15:37 16 May 2026
Class 4 16 May 2026

Saturday 16 May Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap

Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap · 5f

1648-Hr decs

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  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Brazilian Belle Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Changeofmind silks
Changeofmind
Age 6 · 9-9
9395-0
75
76
85
6
9-9
18/1 FCST 16/1
Won his first two starts but beaten 17 times since; down the field at Thirsk on last week's reappearance but drops in grade today and the slower ground should suit.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Muker
Age 8 · 9-11
0539-8
73
91
8
9-11
12/1 18/1 9/1
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Al Hussar silks
Al Hussar
Age 4 · 9-9
3-3432
80
76
89
4
9-9
15/2 11/2 15/2
Raced around 5f; creditable in-frame efforts on all four outings this year, notably when neck second of 17 at Thirsk (good) last Saturday; nudged up another 3lb but it shouldn't prevent a prominent showing if proving as effective at the new trip.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Counsel
Age 8 · 9-10
14-716
73
90
8
9-10
33/1 18/1 33/1
Won on AW in December (6f) and March (5f) but ran poorly at Wolverhampton four weeks ago; 0-13 on turf and others have more compelling profiles.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Castan
Age 6 · 9-8
-22814
77
88
6
9-8
12/1 15/2 12/1
25-1 winner of a division of this race 12 months ago; arrives in form following a success at Southwell and a creditable fourth of eight at Ripon; should be in the thick of things again.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Right And Exact
Age 4 · 9-7
122-8
74
85
4
9-7
17/2 9/1 8/1
Unexposed after just four runs; consistent form in 5f novices last term and made an encouraging reappearance/handicap debut at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) five weeks ago, fading having had the worst of the draw; remains open to improvement and high on the list.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Law Of Average silks
Law Of Average
Age 5 · 9-5
6979-1
76
75
89
5
9-5
SP FCST 12/1
Progressive 3yo but his form headed south last year; back to winning ways when making all at Bath (5f, firm) four weeks ago; his head carriage has always been a bit ungainly but he's tough to pass when on song; major player despite the 4lb rise.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Pixie Diva
Age 4 · 9-6
7-6128
76
92
4
9-6
4/1 13/2 7/2
Only eighth of 17 when favourite at Ascot two weeks ago, although far from disgraced; still relatively lightly raced and just 1lb higher than for 5f Newcastle win in March; not ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Emerald Harmony
Age 5 · 9-6
23-273
77
91
5
9-6
11/1 8/1 17/2
Twice a 5f winner in Ireland for Johnny Murtagh, and she has made a solid start for her new yard, close third of seven at Beverley on latest outing; bubbling under and one of the likelier candidates.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Curious Rover
Age 5 · 9-5
098-74
69
89
5
9-5
9/1 12/1 17/2
Second to Castan in a division of this race in 2025; led for a long way when fourth of eight at Musselburgh 17 days ago; 6lb below his last winning mark; has plenty in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Call To Action
Age 5 · 9-5
0041-2
78
93
5
9-5
17/2 10/1 17/2
Lightly raced 5yo; ended 2025 with a win and he showed himself better than ever when a close second of eight at Pontefract (5f, good) on reappearance; still of interest despite a 2lb rise in the weights.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Equity Law
Age 5 · 9-4
88-633
75
91
5
9-4
11/2
Back to his last winning mark and arrives after a close third of ten over C&D two weeks ago; runner-up in a division of this race last year; in the mix once more.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Brazilian Belle
Age 4 · 9-2
7-3116
84
90
4
9-2
18/1 16/1 18/1
In good form on the AW early this year, winning over 5f at Southwell and Wolverhampton, but she was well held behind Castan back at Southwell last time and could be vulnerable off her current mark.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Tees Aggregates
Age 4 · 9-0
17-594
72
90
4
9-0
22/1 12/1 18/1
Doesn't always look the easiest of rides and he reared at the start and was slowly away prior to finishing fourth of six at Bath last Thursday; failed to beat a rival the time before; others look safer.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
South Parade
Age 5 · 9-0
079-00
78
88
5
9-0
28/1 28/1 22/1
On a dangerous mark but she doesn't look in much form, last of 17 at Musselburgh on latest outing; needs to rediscover her spark.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

22
Tiriac silks
Tiriac
Age 6 · 9-4
31-978
75
77
92
6
9-4
20/1 22/1 18/1
Slowly away and never a threat on all three starts this year, the latest last weekend; being dropped another 2lb can only help but he isn't obviously in good enough form to add to his 2024 success in this.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Changeofmind 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
1 Muker 12/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Al Hussar 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
2 Counsel 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
3 Castan 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Right And Exact 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Law Of Average 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
5 Pixie Diva 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 4/1 Bet365
8 Emerald Harmony 11/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Curious Rover 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
11 Call To Action 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
13 Equity Law 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 11/2 Bet365
14 Brazilian Belle 18/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Coral
15 Tees Aggregates 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
16 South Parade 28/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 28/1 Bet365
22 Tiriac 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pixie Diva

Speculative

Pixie Diva owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 George Scott Callum Rodriguez
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Al Hussar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Grant Tuer
✓ Value Signal

South Parade

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Pixie Diva
53.4 4/1
2 2. Al Hussar
52.6 15/2
3 13. Equity Law
52.4 11/2
4 11. Call To Action
50.8 17/2
5 4. Right And Exact
50.2 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Brazilian Belle
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-6
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 5 · 9-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 9-5
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-5
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 5 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 9-11
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 6 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 9-9
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

22
Age 6 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Brazilian Belle
Confidence: Medium

Brazilian Belle leads the field with SR 84 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Brazilian Belle, Call To Action, South Parade, Castan, Tiriac
Each-way: Call To Action Danger: South Parade

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade