Navan 15:32 16 May 2026
16 May 2026

Saturday 16 May Round O Handicap

Round O Handicap · 5f

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Harry's Hill Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Eclairage
Age 4 · 10-0
12554-
73
96
4
10-0
15/2 13/2 15/2
Speedster has an impressive strike rate of 4-6 on the AW; last seen in October running a fine race when a 2l fourth of 14 in Dundalk Group 3 (5f); 0-7 on turf and rated 8lb lower and rider claims 7lb; best turf runs have come on flat tracks so might be best watched on seasonal return over this stiff 5f.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Howd'yadoit
Age 3 · 9-12
1148-4
70
89
3
9-12
9/2 9/2 4/1
3yo won twice last year, a 5f Down Royal maiden (good) and the Ballyhane Stakes at Naas (6f, gd-yld); pleasing run on seasonal return and handicap debut at Naas last month (6f, good), beaten 3l into fourth of 13 after racing keenly; 1lb lower now and drops in trip; leading chance.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Alfred Tennyson
Age 4 · 9-9
-87463
76
94
4
9-9
25/1 20/1 25/1
One of two for yard; 7f Limerick maiden winner for Aidan O'Brien; best run for this yard on latest when beaten 0.75l into third of 10 at Dundalk (6f) in March off 75; 5lb higher mark now returned to turf but rider claims 10lb; could go well if gets a strong pace to aim at back at 5f.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Harry's Hill silks
Harry's Hill
Age 8 · 9-10
0709-6
76
80
84
8
9-10
11/1 14/1 11/1
Better known for his turf exploits and he's 1-8 on the AW; others preferred after finishing down the field at Navan after a break.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nezeeh
Age 5 · 9-7
69-090
80
87
5
9-7
22/1 33/1 20/1
One of two for yard; kept busy last year and four wins included one over C&D (good) in September off 77 and just 1lb higher here; subsequently won off revised mark of 84 at Bellewstown in October; badly out of form so far this year, however, and needs a revival.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Cuban Grey silks
Cuban Grey
Age 6 · 9-9
335205
75
77
86
6
9-9
9/1 12/1 17/2
Has a superior strike-rate on turf and was behind three of these on his last run here in March.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Mary Shoelaces
Age 5 · 9-4
71491-
78
85
5
9-4
12/1 11/2 12/1
Two 5f wins last year, off 63 at Newmarket (good) in August and off 67 on her final start at the Curragh (yielding) for this rider; career high mark now and record fresh suggests she'll need this run after a 212-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Lethimfly silks
Lethimfly
Age 4 · 9-8
0/30-2
74
76
84
4
9-8
11/2 10/3 11/2
5f maiden winner at two and confined to only two runs last season; however, plenty to like about his close second behind Buddy Batt here in March and he's better drawn this time should they again wish to front run.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Eclairage 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 Bet365
2 Howd'yadoit 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Alfred Tennyson 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 Coral
5 Harry's Hill 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Coral
5 Nezeeh 22/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Cuban Grey 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
8 Mary Shoelaces 12/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 Coral
9 Lethimfly 11/2 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Eclairage

Speculative

Eclairage owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/2 Daniel James Murphy Terry Casey(7)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cuban Grey

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Patrick J McKenna
✓ Value Signal

Alfred Tennyson

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Eclairage
49.6 15/2
2 6. Cuban Grey
48.8 9/1
3 5. Harry's Hill
48.2 11/1
4 2. Howd'yadoit
48.2 9/2
5 8. Mary Shoelaces
46.4 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Harry's Hill
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-12
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-8
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
15/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 6 · 9-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Harry's Hill
Confidence: Medium

Harry's Hill leads the field with SR 80 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Harry's Hill, Nezeeh, Mary Shoelaces, Cuban Grey, Alfred Tennyson
Each-way: Nezeeh Danger: Mary Shoelaces

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting