Doncaster 20:45 16 May 2026
Class 6 16 May 2026

Saturday 16 May Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div II)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div II) · 7f6y

1748-Hr decs

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Voting open
  • 17 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Albeyours Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kitaab
Age 7 · 9-9
840670
50
61
7
9-9
14/1 14/1 12/1
Dual AW winner but he's generally struggled this year and was beaten 10l at Newcastle (7f, Tapeta) last month; continues to drop down the weights but he has plenty to prove and is 0-11 on turf.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Sedgemoor
Age 5 · 9-9
-14103
52
66
5
9-9
12/1 8/1 12/1
Has a patchy profile but he's won twice at Newcastle (6f, AW) this year and bounced back with a creditable third at Haydock (6f, good to firm) three weeks ago; that was an eye-catching effort from off the pace and he's respected back up in trip.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
On Key
Age 4 · 9-8
658242
51
71
4
9-8
7/1 11/2 7/1
0-18 but he's finished runner-up at Southwell (7f) in two of his last three runs, including a bold bid last Thursday; only 1lb higher than for that close call and he's a big player if he can transfer his form back to turf.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
War Memorial
Age 5 · 9-7
-00721
54
70
5
9-7
11/2 9/2 5/1
Off the mark at the 20th attempt when battling well to justify support at Musselburgh (7f, good) two weeks ago; up 4lb but he beat a clear second last time and his confidence could be boosted after that success; big player again with cheekpieces added.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Zu Run
Age 6 · 9-7
8-0856
47
73
6
9-7
9/1 FCST 17/2
His last win was at Brighton (7f, goof to firm) last May but that was off 11lb higher and he's shown signs of a revival on Tapeta recently; should get a good tow into this race and could be dangerous back on turf.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Melissa Honey silks
Melissa Honey
Age 4 · 9-5
408-64
51
52
65
4
9-5
10/1
Remains a maiden after 13 starts but she was a respectable fourth at Southwell (6f, AW) last month and should be fine back up to 7f and back on turf; on a career-low mark and holds each-way claims.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Mini Mac silks
Mini Mac
Age 4 · 9-5
-06084
51
48
67
4
9-5
12/1 22/1 11/1
His form has deteriorated since his last win last May but he took a step back in the right direction when fourth of 16 at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) nine days ago; has another career-low mark today and is not ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Albeyours
Age 5 · 9-4
75125-
56
66
5
9-4
9/2 8/1 9/2
Made the breakthrough at Leicester (7f, good to soft) last September and ended last season with two solid efforts over this trip; returns after 211 days off but she still has low mileage and needs watching in the market for in-form yard.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Tilsworth Max
Age 6 · 9-3
135335
52
64
6
9-3
40/1 28/1 33/1
Plenty of good efforts on AW during the winter, including a win at Lingfield (7f); still looks feasibly treated on that form but he didn't shine back on turf at Nottingham (8.3f, good) last month and that took his overall record to 1-28; mixed messages.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Create
Age 6 · 9-3
31-800
55
66
6
9-3
18/1 22/1 18/1
Blows hot and cold and she's struggled on Tapeta this spring in her three runs after a break; plenty to prove and probably more potent at 1m these days.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Eulalia
Age 4 · 9-3
4673-8
51
65
4
9-3
9/1 13/2 15/2
4yo who had five runs for Charlie Fellowes last year and she found improvement when a strong-finishing third in a Kempton handicap (7f) in October; looks interesting on that form but that is her standout effort and she failed to beat a rival on stable debut at Kempton (1m; tongue-tie added) in March; comes with risks attached after another break.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
No Gain silks
No Gain
Age 4 · 9-0
1-4652
54
69
4
9-0
11/2 6/1 11/2
Sole win from 14 starts came in Jersey (1m, firm) last summer; four races for this yard, back to form when only just denied in 16-runner race at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) three days ago; hung left on that occasion and rider briefly stopped riding, but this 4yo has solid claims today.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Diligent Henry
Age 5 · 9-3
0-4005
49
66
5
9-3
20/1 14/1 16/1
Dual AW winner but he's been off the boil on Polytrack and Tapeta since December; still lightly raced on turf but he needs to rediscover his spark back in this sphere.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Summer Rain
Age 4 · 9-2
37407-
51
66
4
9-2
50/1 28/1 40/1
Ten-race maiden who finished out the back on turf (1m/5f, good) in his final two runs last summer; returns for new yard (left Stan Moore) after 311 days off and has plenty to prove back up in trip; blinkers worn last time are removed.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Lion Ring
Age 8 · 9-1
151654
56
66
8
9-1
40/1 25/1 33/1
Won two classified events at Wolverhampton (5f/6f) this year but he's not made an impact in last three runs; this step back up to 7f is no problem but he needs to find more to get back on the scoresheet.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

15
Piddie's Pearl
Age 4 · 9-0
98808-
53
65
4
9-0
50/1
Has struggled at 20-1 or bigger in all five runs, including two AW handicaps (7f) in September; still early days but she needs a transformation on her return.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
Bizarre Law
Age 7 · 9-0
-00934
52
65
7
9-0
16/1 FCST 14/1
Infrequent winner but he's on a dangerous mark and has reached the frame at Nottingham (8.3f, good) and Beverley (8.4f, good to firm) in his last two starts; now drops back in trip but he should get a good pace to aim at and is not ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kitaab 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
2 Sedgemoor 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
3 On Key 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Betfred
4 War Memorial 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Betfred
5 Zu Run 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 9/1 9/1 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Melissa Honey 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 Bet365
8 Mini Mac 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 23.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Albeyours 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 Betfred
9 Tilsworth Max 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Create 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
11 Eulalia 9/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
11 No Gain 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
12 Diligent Henry 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
13 Summer Rain 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
14 Lion Ring 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
15 Piddie's Pearl 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365
16 Bizarre Law 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

On Key

Speculative

On Key owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (28) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 Scott Dixon Luke Morris
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Zu Run

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Mark Loughnane
✓ Value Signal

Summer Rain

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Craig Lidster
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +10.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. On Key
46.2 7/1
2 5. Zu Run
44.7 9/1
3 7. Melissa Honey
44.4 10/1
4 11. No Gain
43.7 11/2
5 8. Albeyours
42.7 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Albeyours
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 5 · 9-4
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-7
11/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 4 · 9-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-8
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 6 · 9-7
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 4 · 9-3
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 4 · 9-5
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Age 5 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 4 · 9-5
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 7 · 9-9
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
Age 7 · 9-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Age 6 · 9-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 9-3
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Albeyours
Confidence: Medium

Albeyours leads the field with SR 56 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Albeyours, Lion Ring, Create, War Memorial, No Gain
Each-way: Lion Ring Danger: Create

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f6y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
17 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade