Newbury 17:00 16 May 2026
Class 2 16 May 2026

Saturday 16 May Boyle Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap

Boyle Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap · 1m

1648-Hr decs

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Voting open
  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 7 NR
AI rates Lir Speciale Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Eternal Force silks
Eternal Force
Age 4 · 9-10
2111-7
96
109
4
9-10
SP
Made it 3-3 since being gelded when winning by 3l over C&D (good to soft) last October; reappeared with respectable seventh of 21 in the Lincoln at Doncaster (1m, good to soft) and this lightly raced 4yo could build on that latest effort today; firmly in calculations.
Spotlight

Made it 3-3 since being gelded when winning by 3l over C&D (good to soft) last October; reappeared with respectable seventh of 21 in the Lincoln at Doncaster (1m, good to soft) and this lightly raced 4yo could build on that latest effort today; firmly in calculations.

1
Ebt's Guard
Age 5 · 9-12
8224-0
87
112
5
9-12
12/1 12/1 11/1
Tough and consistent sort who won the C&D Spring Cup on 2025 reappearance but couldn't get a clear run in it this time round; third in this race last year and 9lb higher today but he's an each-way contender.
AI verdict

SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Green Triangle silks
Green Triangle
Age 4 · 9-11
7-4658
87
91
95
4
9-11
25/1 18/1 20/1
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Checkandchallenge
Age 7 · 9-11
3639-0
89
115
7
9-11
12/1
7yo who's spent the vast majority of his career in Group or Listed races and this time last year he was fifth on this card in the Group 1 Lockinge; only his second handicap when, like so many others, he met traffic problems in the Spring Cup over C&D (28-1) four weeks ago; Rossa Ryan gets back on board and they are not totally dismissed.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Diego Ventura Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-9
2533-6
116
4
9-9
SP
2
Ancient Rome silks
Ancient Rome
Age 7 · 9-9
3000-0
95
90
104
7
9-9
SP
Disappointing in the main last year but has dropped down the weights and he saw very little daylight when 17th of 24, beaten about 6l, in the Spring Cup at Newbury (1m, good) on his return; might not be a forlorn hope.
AI verdict

SR 90 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Bullet Point
Age 5 · 9-11
2170-7
91
115
5
9-11
13/2 11/2 13/2
Can front-run; had 1m wins at Newmarket and York last season, with two seconds at Ascot in between including the Royal Hunt Cup; makes plenty of appeal on that evidence but needs to bounce back from an underwhelming reappearance when second favourite at Newmarket two weeks ago.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Hard Endeavor
Age 4 · 9-8
3315-
88
108
4
9-8
28/1 33/1 28/1
Showed plenty of ability on all four starts (AW/good) as 3yo, winning a 1m novice, but he seems to have been hit hard by the handicapper following his fifth of seven last November in a 9.5f Listed race on Deauville AW.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
High Degree Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-5
21546-
105
4
9-5
SP
Narrowly landed skinny odds in a Ffos Las maiden (1m, good) last July and although out of the first three in three big-field handicaps (1m/1m2f) subsequently, he was far from disgraced; gelded since last seen seven months ago but looks the type with more to offer this year.
5
Botanical Non-Runner
Age 6 · 9-10
585-49
114
6
9-10
SP
6
Blue Rc
Age 4 · 9-8
22-122
99
118
4
9-8
7/1 13/2 7/1
Has improved his rating almost every time, on last two outings taking second in strong 1m handicaps at Newcastle (AW) and Thirsk (good to firm); came from almost last when closing to half a length in 13-runner race last time and looks well capable of a prominent finish here despite 2lb rise.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Shout Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-2
714-90
117
4
9-2
SP
Progressive 3yo last season (on various ground), winning a big-field 1m handicap at Ascot in September; reappeared with encouraging run in the Lincoln at Doncaster and he's not written off, but he was somewhat underwhelming in the Spring Cup at Newbury last time when favourite.
6
Talis Evolvere silks
Talis Evolvere
Age 6 · 9-6
125280
87
95
102
6
9-6
33/1 40/1 33/1
Five-time AW scorer who is only 1-19 on turf; admittedly faced a stiffer task in Class 2 event returned to grass last time and this looks more suitable; mark is workable.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Shah Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-4
2221/
97
102
4
9-4
SP
Runner-up in 2024 on first three 2yo starts (7f/1m, good to firm/good to soft) before easily making all in 7f AW novice; off since, with gelding/wind ops in the meantime; it's a hefty absence to defy but he has potential off his opening mark if retaining his ability; the betting will be interesting.
8
Classic
Age 6 · 9-2
2128-2
99
114
6
9-2
9/1 8/1 9/1
Third in last year's Spring Cup over C&D and fourth in this race; next three starts were good as well and he was better than ever for reappearance second of 24 in the Spring Cup four weeks ago; up just 1lb, a leading player.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Midnight Gun Non-Runner
Age 5 · 9-8
6724-9
TBA
114
5
9-8
SP
10
Indalo
Age 5 · 9-2
41412-
101
115
5
9-2
7/1 13/2 6/1
Progressive most starts in 2025 and a strong finish took him to within a nose of victory against an all-the-way winner in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket (1m1f, good to firm) on final outing; raised 4lb after that big-race performance but should still be of major interest if tuned up for this return.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Stem silks
Stem
Age 4 · 9-3
3022-9
89
111
4
9-3
SP
Second on handicap debut at Ascot last September (1m2f, soft; no match for handicap blot) before close second of 15 at Newbury (1m, good to soft) a fortnight later, behind Eternal Force who was on the middle leg of a hat-trick; not beaten far when ninth of 24 in the Spring Cup at Newbury (1m, good) on his reappearance and this unexposed 4yo could take a step forward today.
Spotlight

Second on handicap debut at Ascot last September (1m2f, soft; no match for handicap blot) before close second of 15 at Newbury (1m, good to soft) a fortnight later, behind Eternal Force who was on the middle leg of a hat-trick; not beaten far when ninth of 24 in the Spring Cup at Newbury (1m, good) on his reappearance and this unexposed 4yo could take a step forward today.

11
Mezcala
Age 4 · 9-0
2127-1
102
116
4
9-0
11/4 4/1 11/4
Outstayed over 1m1f on final start last term, which was also his only race on good to firm; progressive at 1m otherwise and laughed at his 21 rivals in the Spring Mile at Doncaster (good to soft) on reappearance seven weeks ago; up 8lb but that win came with huge authority and he's still low mileage.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Spanish Voice
Age 4 · 8-13
1-1871
101
115
4
8-13
7/1 13/2 7/1
Six races overall and his only two on turf resulted in one front-running win at Newmarket last April (1m2f, good) and another two weeks ago (1m, good to firm); being dropped back in trip worked a treat last time and, although hit with a 9lb rise, better still may well be forthcoming.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Man Of La Mancha
Age 4 · 8-10
2411-4
100
115
4
8-10
12/1 10/1 12/1
Won three of his seven handicaps (1m-1m1f) last term, including the last two; just fourth of 13 to Spanish Voice when favourite at Newmarket on reappearance but that was respectable; player on peak 2025 effort.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Lir Speciale
Age 7 · 8-6
511-33
104
111
7
8-6
20/1 12/1 20/1
Ended his 2025 campaign with a heavy-ground 7f double at Doncaster; better form this season when third of 22 to Mezcala in the Spring Mile at same track (good to soft) and close third at Chester (7.6f, good) ten days ago, but he's edging back up the weights.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

18
Maybe Not Non-Runner
Age 4 · 8-3
21214-
116
4
8-3
SP
Three wins last June-September (7f-1m) along with 1l second of 18 in a fillies' handicap here (7f, good to firm), and she's better than she showed at Newmarket (1m, good) on her final outing last season; this lightly raced 4yo is in excellent hands to continue to progress and she's one to consider.
Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Eternal Force
1 Ebt's Guard 12/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
1 Green Triangle 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 28/1 Coral
2 Checkandchallenge 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
2 Diego Ventura
2 Ancient Rome
3 Bullet Point 13/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 Coral
5 Hard Endeavor 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365
5 High Degree
5 Botanical
6 Blue Rc 7/1 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 William Hill
6 Shout
6 Talis Evolvere 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 Coral
8 Shah
8 Classic 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Midnight Gun
10 Indalo 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
10 Stem
11 Mezcala 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 Coral
12 Spanish Voice 7/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 Coral
13 Man Of La Mancha 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
16 Lir Speciale 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Coral
18 Maybe Not

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Indalo

Speculative

Indalo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 Roger Varian Ray Dawson
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Stem

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · Richard Hannon
✓ Value Signal

Lir Speciale

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Brian Ellison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Indalo
59.1 7/1
2 10. Stem
58.7 N/A
3 12. Spanish Voice
57.6 7/1
4 11. Mezcala
56.9 11/4
5 6. Blue Rc
55.1 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lir Speciale
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 4 · 9-0
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-11
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-2
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 8-13
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Age 7 · 9-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 4 · 8-10
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 7 · 8-6
20/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lir Speciale
Confidence: Medium

Lir Speciale leads the field with SR 104 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-6 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Lir Speciale, Mezcala, Indalo, Spanish Voice, Man Of La Mancha
Each-way: Mezcala Danger: Indalo

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade