Newmarket 16:37 16 May 2026
Class 4 16 May 2026

Saturday 16 May BetMGM Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

BetMGM Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f

848-Hr decs

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Voting open
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Guest House Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Eddaari
Age 3 · 9-10
632-1
66
84
3
9-10
13/8 3/2 18/13
Fair form on his three starts as 2yo, on good to soft on first two occasions, before justifying 11-10 favouritism in a maiden at Newcastle (1m, AW) last month; needs improvement on this handicap debut but it should be forthcoming with this step up in trip.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
The Joker
Age 3 · 9-9
3429-3
66
88
3
9-9
10/3 7/2 10/3
Best form on return when third of six off this mark on handicap debut at Sandown (1m2f, good) but an enthusiasm to get on with it took him to the front again that day and a repeat would probably see him vulnerable once more.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Royal Poetry
Age 3 · 9-7
3-412
71
89
3
9-7
9/1 12/1 7/1
Made all in a steadily run four-runner novice at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in April on third start; second of four off this mark on handicap debut at Salisbury (1m2f, good to firm) 13 days ago was her best form but she was put firmly in her place; well bred but improvement is needed.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Alpine Culture
Age 3 · 9-5
4-33
68
87
3
9-5
15/2 5/1 15/2
Always-prominent third in maidens at Newmarket (7f, good) and Yarmouth (1m, good to firm) last month; he's shaping as if today's extra 2f will suit on handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sharp Romance
Age 3 · 9-1
41
71
87
3
9-1
8/1 6/1 15/2
Promise on debut (1m, good) and won 12-runner maiden at Kempton (1m, AW) 19 days later, knuckling down well to lead close home; that performance, plus stamina on the dam's side, points firmly to further improvement with this step up to 1m2f; 5lb claimer enlisted for handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Guest House
Age 3 · 8-5
8003-1
78
91
3
8-5
10/1 15/2 17/2
Sent handicapping at Yarmouth for his two starts this season, showing improved form to win six-runner race 16 days ago (1m, good to firm); raised 5lb but 1m2f now looks within range; respected despite rise in class.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Battosai silks
Battosai
Age 3 · 9-5
45-05
71
60
77
3
9-5
11/1 12/1 9/1
Failed to improve for the switch to handicaps when fifth of eight, beaten 12l, in a 1m2f event at Newmarket last week; down in class with blinkers fitted but he needs a big personal best.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Folk Pageant silks
Folk Pageant
Age 3 · 8-12
2-191
74
66
96
3
8-12
33/1 22/1 28/1
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Eddaari 13/8 6/4 open 2.63 6/4 open 2.63 6/4 open 2.63 11/8 open 2.50 13/8 Bet365
2 The Joker 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Coral
3 Royal Poetry 9/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Alpine Culture 15/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 Betfred
5 Sharp Romance 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 Bet365
8 Guest House 10/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
10 Battosai 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
14 Folk Pageant 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Eddaari

Speculative

Eddaari owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Simon & Ed Crisford Billy Loughnane
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

The Joker

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Jane Chapple-Hyam
✓ Value Signal

Folk Pageant

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Eddaari
52.7 13/8
2 2. The Joker
51.9 10/3
3 8. Guest House
50.5 10/1
4 4. Alpine Culture
47.2 15/2
5 5. Sharp Romance
46.4 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Guest House
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-10
13/8
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Age 3 · 9-9
10/3
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 3 · 9-5
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-1
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 3 · 8-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-5
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Guest House
Confidence: Medium

Guest House leads the field with SR 78 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-5 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Guest House, Royal Poetry, Sharp Romance, Alpine Culture, Eddaari
Each-way: Royal Poetry Danger: Sharp Romance

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade