Doncaster 20:15 16 May 2026
Class 6 16 May 2026

Saturday 16 May Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I) · 7f6y

1848-Hr decs

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  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Moonhall Lass Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Typeface
Age 4 · 9-9
27227-
53
72
4
9-9
7/2 4/1 10/3
Made it 2-4 on turf with an emphatic win at Ffos Las (1m, good) last August; ended last year with a major blip at Newcastle but that was after two seconds at that track; regular tongue-tie is missing on his return but he still looks on a workable mark and should get a good pace to aim at on this drop to 7f; one to keep an eye on.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Oselton silks
Oselton
Age 4 · 9-9
148-92
55
53
66
4
9-9
12/1 18/1 12/1
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Rocket Rod
Age 9 · 9-9
02D4/00
29
9
9-9
18/1 14/1 16/1
Triple AW winner who is 1-13 on turf; well treated on old form but he's returned from almost two years off with two heavy defeats at Newcastle (7f/1m) this spring; hasn't worn headgear since 2021 and he needs a major revival with cheekpieces reapplied.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Back From Dubai silks
Back From Dubai
Age 9 · 9-6
-58831
52
55
67
9
9-6
22/1 FCST 18/1
9yo who returned to form when third at Southwell (1m, AW) last month and built on it to win at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) nine days ago; he should be fine on today's better ground and is respected up just 3lb.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Fifty Sent
Age 7 · 9-7
6-1194
57
66
7
9-7
SP 14/1 11/1
Returned to form when winning two classified events at Southwell (1m) in March but he's been well held back in handicaps in his last two runs; didn't run badly at Nottingham (8.3f, good) last month but that took his turf record to 1-18 and he has work to do back at this trip.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Heretic
Age 7 · 9-6
304387
52
68
7
9-6
11/1 14/1 10/1
All 27 runs have been on AW; back-to-back wins at Southwell (1m) last October but he's been up and down since and was beaten 12l at Southwell two weeks ago; now makes his belated turf debut and comes with risks attached.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Bullington Bry silks
Bullington Bry
Age 4 · 9-6
345747
52
48
69
4
9-6
10/1 17/2 9/1
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Trais Fluors
Age 12 · 9-5
754885
47
67
12
9-5
16/1 18/1 14/1
13-time winner but last five have been at Newcastle and his last turf win was almost three years ago; on a dangerous mark and he wasn't beaten far at Ayr (7f, good to firm) 11 days ago but this is a much deeper race and others are more persuasive.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Lowestoft silks
Lowestoft
Age 4 · 9-0
786-69
46
43
57
4
9-0
SP FCST 33/1
No closer than sixth in five starts over 6f-1m on the AW for Christine Dunnett; makes his stable debut (still owned by his former trainer) in a first-time tongue-tie after four months off; hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Al Baahy
Age 7 · 9-4
158785
51
68
7
9-4
40/1 28/1 40/1
Prominent racer who won classified events at Wolverhampton (9.4f) and Lingfield (1m2f) in January but he's found things tough back in handicaps in his last three runs; has something to prove again and his sole turf win was in May 2023.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Moonhall Lass silks
Moonhall Lass
Age 4 · 9-2
6-0311
58
57
77
4
9-2
15/8 3/2 7/4
0-22 in Ireland but form figures of 311 since joining James Owen and 2-2 since returned to turf back in cheekpieces; an 8lb rise will make life tougher but she's shortlisted having been taken out on account of rain-softened ground last weekend.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Shark Two One
Age 8 · 9-3
3337-5
56
68
8
9-3
16/1 14/1 16/1
All five wins have been on turf, the last three over this trip; only 2lb higher than for his latest success (June 2025) and he reappeared with a promising effort over 6f at Leicester (good to firm) last month; looks interesting on this step back up in trip and he's versatile ground-wise.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Dion Baker
Age 7 · 9-2
86-574
49
72
7
9-2
9/1 8/1 17/2
0-30 on AW but he's won four times on turf (7f); struggled during the winter but he returned to this scene with a respectable effort at Yarmouth (6f, good) last month; should benefit from that run and he's in the mix on this step back up in trip; cheekpieces reapplied.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Carida silks
Carida
Age 4 · 9-0
56-970
46
49
64
4
9-0
40/1 33/1 28/1
Unexposed; finished last of 13 after a break at Doncaster last time (7f, good to soft) after some modest AW efforts in the winter; not sure to be suited by this step up in trip.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Starshot
Age 6 · 9-1
424034
53
66
6
9-1
16/1 14/1 16/1
Just one win from 43 starts but he's reached the frame on AW at Southwell (1m/7f) in his last two runs; usually comes from off the pace and has claims if he transfers his recent form back to turf.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

15
Thanks Dad
Age 6 · 9-1
41900-
57
68
6
9-1
28/1 25/1 28/1
Both wins have been gained at Southwell (6f/7f) but he was out of sorts there in his final three runs last year; on lower mark back on turf but he's 0-8 in this sphere and has something to prove after five months off.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Flying Star
Age 6 · 9-0
8757-7
52
67
6
9-0
11/1 22/1 10/1
13-race maiden who has form figures of 044487577 in handicaps; has dropped down the weights but slow starts have been a recurring theme and she never got involved on Redcar reappearance (7f, good to firm) last month; down the list.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

17
Ziva's Star
Age 4 · 9-0
030-77
52
56
4
9-0
50/1 33/1 40/1
0-19 but the odd run has hinted at better and she's only been beaten around 3l in two runs here (5f/6f, good to firm) this season; looks worth another try at this trip and she could get involved.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
2 Typeface 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Oselton 12/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 Coral
3 Rocket Rod 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
4 Back From Dubai 22/1 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 18/1 22/1 Bet365
5 Fifty Sent 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Heretic 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Bullington Bry 10/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Betfred
8 Trais Fluors 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Lowestoft 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
9 Al Baahy 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Betfred
12 Moonhall Lass 15/8 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 Betfred
12 Shark Two One 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
13 Dion Baker 9/1 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
13 Carida 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
14 Starshot 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Betfred
15 Thanks Dad 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Betfred
16 Flying Star 11/1 open 29.00 10/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 Bet365
17 Ziva's Star 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Moonhall Lass

Speculative

Moonhall Lass owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 James Owen Paddy Bradley
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Typeface

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Ian Williams
✓ Value Signal

Ziva's Star

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Simon Whitaker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 12. Moonhall Lass
50.1 15/8
2 2. Typeface
45.2 7/2
3 5. Fifty Sent
43.7 -
4 7. Heretic
42.1 11/1
5 16. Flying Star
41.5 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Moonhall Lass
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

12
Age 4 · 9-2
15/8
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Age 4 · 9-9
7/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Age 7 · 9-2
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 4 · 9-6
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 7 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 6 · 9-0
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 4 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 12 · 9-5
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Age 8 · 9-3
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Age 6 · 9-1
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 9 · 9-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 29 🐾

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Moonhall Lass
Confidence: Medium

Moonhall Lass leads the field with SR 57 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-12 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Moonhall Lass, Fifty Sent, Thanks Dad, Shark Two One, Back From Dubai
Each-way: Fifty Sent Danger: Thanks Dad

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f6y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade