Downpatrick 15:43 RESULTED
9 Aug 2026

Sunday 9 August Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle

Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m5f180y

Official Result

Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Gangster Granny (IRE) Sean Flanagan · C A McBratney
    6/1
  2. 15/2
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Shannon Bank silks
Shannon Bank Non-Runner
Age 7 · 10-12
2P-717
104
104OR
7
10-12
SP FCST 10/1
1
Cobra Queen silks
Cobra Queen
Age 7 · 11-12
14-P83
118
98
127
7
11-12
15/2 FCST 7/1
Cobra Queen bounced back to form with a third last time out after a couple of disappointing efforts, and she has experience over today's trip and going. Carrying 166 lb is a notable ask, but as the top-rated runner she appeals most.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Samba Train silks
Samba Train
Age 5 · 11-12
614-1U
118
104
120
5
11-12
11/4 9/4 11/4
Samba Train won two of her last five starts, with a victory two runs back highlighting her strong claims here, and she has experience of today's distance and going — the only question mark is that unseating last time out.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Billie Frechette silks
Billie Frechette
Age 5 · 11-11
22-430
117
102
122
5
11-11
11/1 16/1 10/1
Twice a runner-up in recent starts and third two starts back, Billie Frechette arrives fit on just 11 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 122 marks her out as a genuine danger at the weights — though she remains winless and will need to convert that consistent placing form into a win.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Theflyingbee silks
Theflyingbee
Age 9 · 11-11
5533-2
117
98
126
9
11-11
8/1 15/2 8/1
Theflyingbee has been consistently placed, finishing second last time out and third in each of the two starts before that, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions — our rating of 126 marks her as a serious threat. The concern is 87 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Camlin Park silks
Camlin Park
Age 6 · 11-5
01PP-7
111
88
110
6
11-5
16/1 16/1 14/1
Camlin Park won one start back from two pulled-up efforts and a seventh, so her form is patchy at best, and a trainer without a winner in 25 recent attempts is a concern; she has going experience in her favour, though 159 lb is a significant burden.
AI verdict

SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
Poetic Twist silks
Poetic Twist
Age 5 · 11-3
22-212
109
110
114
5
11-3
5/1 9/2 5/1
Poetic Twist won two starts back and has placed in four of her other last five outings, showing admirable consistency, but a 55-day break, a struggling trainer at 5% and a hefty 157 lb to carry are real negatives to weigh against her.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Gangster Granny silks
Gangster Granny
Age 5 · 11-0
0-1521
106
105
109
5
11-0
13/2 6/1 13/2
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Gangster Granny is hard to fancy at the weights, carrying 154 lb, though she arrives in decent heart — a winner last time out and a second two starts back — and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Joya Del Mar silks
Joya Del Mar
Age 8 · 11-0
-01613
106
107
109
8
11-0
9/1 10/1 17/2
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Joya Del Mar brings solid recent form and has run over today's trip and going before, but she carries 154 lb and our rating ranks her eighth of eleven — a live each-way contender rather than a clear standout.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Oh Janey silks
Oh Janey
Age 6 · 10-12
416-65
104
96
112
6
10-12
11/1 14/1 11/1
A winner four starts back, but Oh Janey has posted three consecutive finishes out of the frame since, and 152 lb is a stiff burden to reverse that slide; she has run over today's trip and going before, at least lending some comfort.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Miss Lia silks
Miss Lia
Age 6 · 10-1
2P2-06
93
87
98
6
10-1
11/1 11/1 10/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Miss Lia faces a stiff ask here; a 57-day absence and 141 lb add to her concerns, though she has run over today's trip and going before, and a second three starts back offers a faint crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Steps In The Sand silks
Steps In The Sand
Age 7 · 10-0
88-434
91
78
102
7
10-0
SP 17/2 9/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Steps In The Sand faces a stiff task; a trainer without a return from 22 runners in the past fortnight is a further concern, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Shannon Bank 10/1 10/1 Bet365
1 Cobra Queen 15/2 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 15/2 Bet365
2 Samba Train 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
3 Billie Frechette 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Theflyingbee 8/1 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
5 Camlin Park 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Poetic Twist 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
7 Gangster Granny 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
8 Joya Del Mar 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Oh Janey 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
11 Miss Lia 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
12 Steps In The Sand 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Poetic Twist

Live signal

Poetic Twist owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Samba Train

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · E Bolger
✓ Value Signal

Camlin Park

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · John C McConnell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Poetic Twist
60.6 5/1
2 2. Samba Train
59.6 11/4
3 8. Joya Del Mar
58.0 9/1
4 1. Cobra Queen
57.7 15/2
5 3. Billie Frechette
55.8 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Poetic Twist
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-12
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 11-3
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 11-0
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 11-12
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 9 · 11-11
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 11-0
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-11
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 10-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 10-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 11-5
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Poetic Twist
Confidence: Medium

Poetic Twist (SR 110, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable 11-3 — a 9lb weight advantage over joint topweights Cobra Queen and Samba Train. The form string 22-212 shows consistent placing at a competitive level under Gordon Elliott (15%, 1709 runners), and Jack Kennedy's 20% strike rate from 610 rides is the strongest jockey booking on the card. The slight market drift of 9% is noted but not alarming given Elliott's record of running horses fit and the weight/SR edge here is substantial enough to override it. GoingFit is unknown (?) rather than negative, so there's no confirmed aversion to good ground. Each-way alternative: Gangster Granny. Main danger: Samba Train — Samba Train (SR 104, 5/2) is the market favourite with Mark Walsh booked and a last-time-out win on recent form 614-1U, and while the 7% drift and the unseated rider on the penultimate run give pause, the youth (5yo), recency (11 days), and market confidence make it the most likely alternative winner.

Shortlist Poetic Twist, Samba Train, Gangster Granny, Joya Del Mar
Each-way: Gangster Granny Danger: Samba Train

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m5f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting