Cobra Queen bounced back to form with a third last time out after a couple of disappointing efforts, and she has experience over today's trip and going. Carrying 166 lb is a notable ask, but as the top-rated runner she appeals most.
Form last 614-P83
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR127RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Samba Train won two of her last five starts, with a victory two runs back highlighting her strong claims here, and she has experience of today's distance and going — the only question mark is that unseating last time out.
Form last 6614-1U
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR120RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Twice a runner-up in recent starts and third two starts back, Billie Frechette arrives fit on just 11 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 122 marks her out as a genuine danger at the weights — though she remains winless and will need to convert that consistent placing form into a win.
Form last 622-430
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
102SR122RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Theflyingbee has been consistently placed, finishing second last time out and third in each of the two starts before that, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions — our rating of 126 marks her as a serious threat. The concern is 87 days off the track.
Form last 65533-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR126RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Camlin Park won one start back from two pulled-up efforts and a seventh, so her form is patchy at best, and a trainer without a winner in 25 recent attempts is a concern; she has going experience in her favour, though 159 lb is a significant burden.
Form last 601PP-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
88SR110RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Poetic Twist won two starts back and has placed in four of her other last five outings, showing admirable consistency, but a 55-day break, a struggling trainer at 5% and a hefty 157 lb to carry are real negatives to weigh against her.
Form last 622-212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR114RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Gangster Granny is hard to fancy at the weights, carrying 154 lb, though she arrives in decent heart — a winner last time out and a second two starts back — and has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 60-1521
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR109RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Joya Del Mar brings solid recent form and has run over today's trip and going before, but she carries 154 lb and our rating ranks her eighth of eleven — a live each-way contender rather than a clear standout.
Form last 6-01613
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR109RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A winner four starts back, but Oh Janey has posted three consecutive finishes out of the frame since, and 152 lb is a stiff burden to reverse that slide; she has run over today's trip and going before, at least lending some comfort.
Form last 6416-65
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR112RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Miss Lia faces a stiff ask here; a 57-day absence and 141 lb add to her concerns, though she has run over today's trip and going before, and a second three starts back offers a faint crumb of comfort.
Form last 62P2-06
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR98RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Steps In The Sand faces a stiff task; a trainer without a return from 22 runners in the past fortnight is a further concern, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 688-434
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR102RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Poetic Twist owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Gordon ElliottJack Kennedy
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Samba Train
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · E Bolger✓ Value Signal
Camlin Park
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
16/1 · John C McConnell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Poetic Twist (SR 110, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable 11-3 — a 9lb weight advantage over joint topweights Cobra Queen and Samba Train. The form string 22-212 shows consistent placing at a competitive level under Gordon Elliott (15%, 1709 runners), and Jack Kennedy's 20% strike rate from 610 rides is the strongest jockey booking on the card. The slight market drift of 9% is noted but not alarming given Elliott's record of running horses fit and the weight/SR edge here is substantial enough to override it. GoingFit is unknown (?) rather than negative, so there's no confirmed aversion to good ground.
Each-way alternative: Gangster Granny.
Main danger: Samba Train — Samba Train (SR 104, 5/2) is the market favourite with Mark Walsh booked and a last-time-out win on recent form 614-1U, and while the 7% drift and the unseated rider on the penultimate run give pause, the youth (5yo), recency (11 days), and market confidence make it the most likely alternative winner.
ShortlistPoetic Twist, Samba Train, Gangster Granny, Joya Del Mar