Devious Devan landed a win in his last six starts and returns on a quick 20-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour; the concern is that three of his last five outings have produced finishes of seventh or worse.
Form last 6801757
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR64RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Fozzy Osbourne does offer a third two runs back amid otherwise modest efforts, and he has run over today's distance and going before; carrying 139 lb from stall five, he remains one to keep an eye on rather than trust fully.
Form last 695635
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR59RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Bounced back to win two starts back, but seventh last time out leaves him needing to find that form again; has run over today's trip and going, though 138 lb is a stiff burden from stall 11.
Form last 6314417
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR58RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Galactic Glow is winless in his last six starts yet has been placed five times in that spell, including second last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before; the 138 lb burden may test his resolve, though he strips fit on 32 days' rest.
Form last 6232262
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR61RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Desert Charm won two of her last five starts and ran second last time out, so she arrives in solid nick after just 15 days, with experience of today's trip and going in her favour; the 137 lb burden from stall 12 is the obvious query.
Form last 66-3112
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR58RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Redhot Whisper has been consistently placed — third two starts back and runner-up last time out — and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating marking him out as the one they all have to beat; the concern is he's yet to win in recent starts and a 55-day absence tests his readiness.
Form last 6-90332
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR68RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, The Bureau Club nonetheless catches the eye on conditions — she has run over today's trip and going before, and 19 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh. Carrying 135 lb from stall seven, our figures rate her notably clear of her official mark.
Form last 6446774
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR68RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Ajrad showed his best recent form with a third last time out, bouncing back from two modest efforts, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the risk is that he remains winless in his last six starts and carries a stiff 135 lb from stall 13.
Form last 6865653
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR62RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Scarfo is hard to fancy at these weights carrying 131 lb, yet his recent consistency — second two starts back, second last time out — gives him something to cling to, and he has experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6791322
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR53RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, A Rose Adaay heads here with a string of thirds and fifths to her name — consistency without the killer punch. She has run over today's trip and going, and 16 days between runs suggests she's fresh, but ranked ninth of twelve on our figures she faces a stiff task.
Form last 6-53533
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR53RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, with three consecutive fourths doing little to inspire confidence, Weston Court ranks 11th of 12 on our figures despite a second four starts back offering a flicker of form; distance and going experience at least gives him a fair shot at running his race.
Form last 6652444
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR49RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last five starts with a sequence of unplaced and mid-field efforts, Beau Chevalier is hard to fancy ranked last on our figures, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns from 47 days off with a relatively light 120 lb from stall three.
Form last 60-9580
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR43RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Desert Charm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Mike MurphyCallum Shepherd
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ajrad
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Rod Millman✓ Value Signal
Beau Chevalier
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
100/1 · Ed de Giles◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Desert Charm (SR 65, 7/2) is the clear ability leader in this Class 6 field — a full 10 SR points clear of the next-best — and carries just 9-11, a favourable weight relative to that SR advantage. The form string 6-3112 shows a horse that has rapidly improved across this season, winning twice in recent starts, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles today's mile on good-to-firm ground. Course:W1P1 at Chepstow adds further confidence, and Callum Shepherd's 14% strike rate from 346 runners is solid. The MarkMv:+5 is the one caution — running off a mark 5lb higher than at his last win — but in a Class 6 field this weak, the SR dominance overrides that concern.
Each-way alternative: Ajrad.
Main danger: Ajrad — Ajrad (SR 54, 11/2) carries Course:W2P5 at Chepstow, DistFit:+, GoingFit:+, and crucially MarkMv:-7 — running off a mark 7lb lower than his last win — which is a meaningful handicapper's edge in a weak Class 6 contest, even if the market has drifted slightly.