Downpatrick 14:33 RESULTED
9 Aug 2026

Sunday 9 August Randox Rated Hurdle

Randox Rated Hurdle · 2m1f165y

Official Result

Randox Rated Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Malbay Madness (IRE) P J O'Hanlon · Dermot A McLoughlin
    2/1
  2. 16/1
  3. 4/5F
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Cap Bernat silks
Cap Bernat Non-Runner
Age 13 · 10-13
42/05-
13
10-13
SP
1
Chanceawetmorning silks
Chanceawetmorning
Age 6 · 11-9
1-1319
125
122
115
6
11-9
6/4 3/1 3/2
Chanceawetmorning brings strong recent form — a winner one start back and further wins three and four starts back — and has experience of today's trip and going; the main concern is a trainer operating at just 5% over the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Cosmos d'Ainay silks
Cosmos d'Ainay
Age 6 · 11-7
/193-1
123
130
120
6
11-7
SP 8/11 5/6
Cosmos d'Ainay is the one to beat here, winning last time out and again four starts back, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; a cool 30-day turnaround is ideal, though the trainer's current 5% strike rate is worth noting under 161 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Malbay Madness silks
Malbay Madness
Age 6 · 11-5
73-118
121
124
116
6
11-5
2/1 7/2 2/1
Malbay Madness won back-to-back races before finishing eighth last time out, and with experience over today's trip and going he remains a lively threat — the key question is whether that latest below-par effort represents a blip or something more concerning.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Trasna Na Pairce silks
Trasna Na Pairce
Age 7 · 11-5
0-5274
121
109
116
7
11-5
3/1 13/2 3/1
Trasna Na Pairce ran a solid second three starts back and returns fit on 18 days' rest, with experience of today's distance and going working in his favour; yet to win in recent starts, and the 159 lb burden is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Shinnhill silks
Shinnhill
Age 9 · 10-13
71/7-P
103
69
104
9
10-13
10/1 20/1 10/1
Pulled up last time and off the track for 86 days, Shinnhill is hard to fancy on current evidence, ranked last on our figures; he has run over today's trip and going before, and that win three starts back is his sole recent bright spot.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tribal Moon silks
Tribal Moon
Age 5 · 10-13
0-730
103
77
105
5
10-13
25/1 33/1 25/1
Winless in his last four starts, with only a third two runs back to show for recent efforts, Tribal Moon faces a stiff task carrying 153 lb; he has run over today's going before, which offers some small comfort, but he remains hard to fancy ranked fifth of six on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Cap Bernat
1 Chanceawetmorning 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.00 6/4 open 4.00 6/4 open 4.00 6/4 open 4.00 6/4 Bet365
2 Cosmos d'Ainay 10/11 open 1.80 10/11 open 1.73 5/6 open 1.73 10/11 open 1.73 5/6 open 1.73 10/11 Bet365
3 Malbay Madness 2/1 open 5.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 Bet365
4 Trasna Na Pairce 3/1 open 8.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 Bet365
6 Shinnhill 10/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Tribal Moon 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Malbay Madness

Live signal

Malbay Madness owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Dermot A McLoughlin P J O'Hanlon
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Chanceawetmorning

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/4 · Gordon Elliott
✓ Value Signal

Tribal Moon

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Noel C Kelly
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Malbay Madness
67.4 2/1
2 1. Chanceawetmorning
63.4 6/4
3 2. Cosmos d'Ainay
62.4 -
4 4. Trasna Na Pairce
58.7 3/1
5 6. Shinnhill
45.6 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cosmos d'Ainay
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-9
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 122 🐾

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-5
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 124 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 7 · 11-5
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 9 · 10-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cosmos d'Ainay
Confidence: Medium

Cosmos d'Ainay (SR 130, 10/11) is the clear class-leader in this six-runner field, carrying 2lb less than stablemate Chanceawetmorning despite a superior SR of 130 vs 122. The form string /193-1 shows a last-time-out win 30 days ago, and GoingFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness on today's good ground — a meaningful advantage in a field where several rivals have untested distance/going profiles. Jack Kennedy (20% career strike rate, 610 runners) is the clear #1 jockey booking from the Elliott yard over Josh Williamson (11%), which is the definitive signal that Elliott is running this horse to win rather than Chanceawetmorning. The 8% market drift from the morning line is a mild concern, but the price remains tight at 10/11 and the weight edge combined with Kennedy's booking overrides that reservation. Each-way alternative: Malbay Madness. Main danger: Malbay Madness — Malbay Madness (SR 124, 4/1) has both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed — the only rival who ticks both boxes — and recent form 73-118 shows back-to-back wins before the last run, making it the one horse with proven course-distance credentials to take on the favourite.

Shortlist Cosmos d'Ainay, Malbay Madness, Chanceawetmorning
Each-way: Malbay Madness Danger: Malbay Madness

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f165y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting