Cancelled arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, making her a strong threat at the weights; the worry is whether she can back it up on just 11 days' rest.
Form last 6-43541
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR85RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, Venetian Sky has been knocking on the door with a pair of fourth-place finishes and a third in that sequence, but her ranking at the foot of these five on our figures makes her hard to fancy, despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 60-3445
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR73RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third two starts back and again four starts back, Kaori has run over today's trip and going and arrives here in decent nick just 18 days after her last outing — though she remains winless in recent starts, and that elusive breakthrough is the main question mark against her.
Form last 633-635
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR77RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tamzan arrives here fit and in form, with a win two starts back and third last time out showing she's operating consistently at this level — she's run over today's trip and going, and off 26 days looks ready to go. The main worry is that our rating ranks her fourth of five runners.
Form last 6-43413
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR76RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Venetian Sky owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1William HaggasCieren Fallon
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Tamzan
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Marcus Tregoning✓ Value Signal
Spiritoftheblues
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
9/2 · David O'Meara◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Venetian Sky (SR:81, 2/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-7, giving her a meaningful 10lb advantage over top-weight Cancelled (10-3) despite matching her on SR. William Haggas (21% career strike rate, 1,055 runners) is comfortably the highest-quality trainer in this race and Cieren Fallon's 20% strike rate adds further professional confidence — this is a formidable booking. The market has shortened 9% since opening, suggesting informed money is moving her way, and the class drop of one tier (ClassMv:↓1) means she faces an easier task than her most recent outing. The 3yo fillies' allowance she inherits relative to the older Cancelled is a further structural advantage on good to firm ground.
Each-way alternative: Tamzan.
Main danger: Tamzan — Tamzan (SR:86, highest in the field, GoingFit:+, DistFit:~) is dropping in class (ClassMv:↓1), has shown course form (W0P1 at Leicester), and the market has moved in 8% — her superior SR and confirmed ground suitability make her the most likely horse to beat Venetian Sky.