Carry The Flag won two starts back and brings solid experience over today's trip and conditions, with 131 lb and stall one the main questions from draw 1; if he bounces back from a modest latest effort, he looks a genuine danger.
Form last 6212917
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR111RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Celeron has won two of his last three starts, most recently striking 22 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 131 lb from stall eight, that weight is worth noting, but his current form makes him our pick here.
Form last 6101
★AI Rating★★★★☆
121SR107RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Folsom Blues arrives in fair recent form — a winner two starts back and second last time out — and has run over today's trip, but our rating of 88 ranks him bottom of the field, making him hard to fancy at the weights carrying 131 lb.
Form last 6312
★AI Rating★★★★☆
103SR88RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
King Of Cloughan arrives here in decent nick — second last time out after winning two starts back — and has experience of today's trip and conditions. Carrying 131 lb from stall three, he's competitive at a rating of 102 but faces a stiff task ranked fifth of eight.
Form last 64212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR103RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fourth last time out and without a win in his last two starts, The Scallionator is hard to fancy ranked bottom on our figures; a win three starts back and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement, but the 131 lb burden adds further to his task.
Form last 642104
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR99RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tribeca shaped with real promise when runner-up last time out, and a winner three starts back, he arrives fit on 22 days' rest with experience over today's trip and going — the unplaced effort sandwiched between those runs is the one query to resolve.
Form last 6102
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR105RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sun Goddess arrives in fine nick — a winner last time out and again three starts back, with experience over today's trip and going — though the 43-day absence is the one question mark over her readiness.
Form last 62121
★AI Rating★★★★☆
121SR108RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Third last time out, and she has winning form in recent starts, but an eighth two starts back blots the copybook. She has run over today's trip and going, and returns fit on 15 days' rest, though 128 lb and a ranking of sixth of eight suggest plenty to find.
Form last 611483
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR101RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sun Goddess owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/4A P O'BrienRyan Moore
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Celeron
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · M D O'Callaghan✓ Value Signal
Carry The Flag
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · A P O'Brien◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sun Goddess (SR 121, 6/5) is the dominant selection. She matches Celeron on SR — both at 121, the clear top of the field — but benefits from a 3lb weight advantage (9-2 vs 9-5) which matters in a sprint Group 1 on good to firm ground. Her form of 2121 is the most consistent in the field, showing an alternating pattern that reflects genuine top-level competitiveness rather than a one-off fluke, and she is proven at 6f (DistFit:+). Crucially, she carries Ryan Moore (27% strike rate, 485 runners), the most accomplished booking in the field by a wide margin, and A P O'Brien's yard is firing at 22%. The stable's second string, Carry The Flag (SR 82, Mkt:out103%), has been comprehensively opposed by the market confirming Sun Goddess is the yard's number-one with full yard support behind her.
Each-way alternative: Celeron.
Main danger: Celeron — Celeron (SR 121, 9/4) matches Sun Goddess on SR and has steamed 10% in the market with Oisin Murphy booked — a 101 form line over 6f showing a last-time-out win makes this a live threat if Sun Goddess's longer absence (43 days) leaves her even fractionally short of peak.
ShortlistSun Goddess, Celeron, Folsom Blues, King Of Cloughan