Ray Mon Dough has finished sixth in two of his last three starts, and though a runner-up two starts back offers some encouragement, he ranks fifth of six on our figures and his speed rating gives little cause for optimism at these weights.
Form last 61-626
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR89RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Art Lover ran a cracking race last time out, finishing second, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions — his main danger is that two indifferent runs before that return to form may hint at inconsistency.
Form last 62187-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR91RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts but **Evening Blues** shaped with real promise when second two runs back, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions — his rating of 101 puts him clear of these, and at 137 lb from stall four he looks the one to beat.
Form last 62-5720
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR101RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sea Cookie arrives on the back of back-to-back wins two and three starts back, has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 90 puts him ahead of his official mark — the unplaced effort last time out is the one thing to overcome.
Form last 622-110
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR90RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Nuevo Slovo brings distance-and-going experience and a useful ratings edge over his mark, and that win in his last five starts shows the ability is there — the concern is a sequence of unplaced efforts since, and 69 days off will need to be shaken off quickly.
Form last 6167-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR90RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Percy's Star has won in recent starts — a winner two starts back — but sixth last time out leaves him hard to fancy as the lowest-rated runner in the field; he has run over today's trip and going before, which at least counts in his favour.
Form last 652416
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR80RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Evening Blues owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Stephen HanlonBen Robinson
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sea Cookie
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Tom Clover✓ Value Signal
Nuevo Slovo
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Simon Pearce◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sea Cookie carries the lowest weight in the field at 9-8, holds the highest SR at 97, and crucially is the only runner with confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) on today's Good to Firm ground over 6f — a rare double confirmation that matters enormously in a field where everyone else is unproven or poor on the going. The form string 22-110 shows two recent wins before a 0 last time, and dropping two class tiers gives connections every incentive to bounce back. Tom Clover's 14% yard strike rate is solid, and Neil Callan at 14% career SR is a competent booking. The 10/3 price is slightly adrift of the market-favourite Art Lover but represents fair value given the weight and going advantages.
Each-way alternative: Ray Mon Dough.
Main danger: Ray Mon Dough — Ray Mon Dough has steamed in 14% in the market, Hector Crouch (17% career SR) is a strong booking, and the class drop of one tier combined with a tongue-tie addition signals a yard that expects an immediate bounce-back from the 626 recent sequence.