Downpatrick 15:08 RESULTED
9 Aug 2026

Sunday 9 August Lily O'Hare Memorial Handicap Hurdle

Lily O'Hare Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m1f165y

Official Result

Lily O'Hare Memorial Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Parkgarve (IRE) P J O'Hanlon · Ian Patrick Donoghue
    9/2
  2. 7/1
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kalsman silks
Kalsman
Age 8 · 12-0
61-903
99
77
95
8
12-0
14/1 FCST 12/1
Kalsman was third last time out but a winner four starts back, and he does bring experience over today's trip and going. Fifty-seven days off the track raises a fitness query, and his 168 lb burden is a significant ask for a horse ranked fifth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Pralognan silks
Pralognan
Age 7 · 11-13
5/135-
98
87
99
7
11-13
9/2 7/1 9/2
Pralognan won three starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a clear danger — the chief concern is that 255 days off the track leaves his fitness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tropical Twist silks
Tropical Twist
Age 5 · 12-1
FP-541
93
86
97
5
12-1
5/2
Tropical Twist arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving her solid claims here; the chief concern is a trainer firing at just 5% in recent weeks.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Augusta George silks
Augusta George
Age 8 · 11-5
826/0-
90
66
106
8
11-5
SP 18/1 25/1
A second three starts back highlights Augusta George's class, and he has experience over today's trip and going — our rating of 106 makes him the one to beat in this field. Yet to score in recent starts and a 226-day absence are the only reservations.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.

5
Parkgarve silks
Parkgarve
Age 6 · 11-5
0-8654
90
81
94
6
11-5
6/1
Winless in his last five starts, Parkgarve does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 23 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the concern is a top weight of 159 lb, which gives his rivals a handy pull.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Barrogstown Girl silks
Barrogstown Girl
Age 6 · 11-4
06-820
89
78
88
6
11-4
SP 4/1 6/1
Winless in her last five starts, Barrogstown Girl does bring distance and going experience to the table, but a run just two days ago raises obvious freshness concerns; second two starts back offers a glimmer, though her overall profile here leaves her with plenty to prove carrying 158 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Leitzel silks
Leitzel
Age 6 · 11-4
3000-0
89
61
96
6
11-4
25/1 16/1 25/1
Leitzel showed a flash of ability when finishing third five starts back, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions — but winless in her last five starts and returning after 97 days off, there are questions about whether that form has been maintained.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Fine Print silks
Fine Print
Age 5 · 10-13
078-40
84
72
88
5
10-13
22/1 12/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts, with an unplaced effort 28 days ago the latest in a patchy sequence, Fine Print faces a stiff task here. He has run over today's trip and going, but a trainer without a strike in 25 recent attempts and a ranking of ninth of twelve make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Granlahan silks
Granlahan
Age 4 · 10-9
833U36
83
78
90
4
10-9
11/2 5/1 11/2
Consistent enough in places — third two starts back and third four starts back — but yet to win in recent starts and that sixth last time out is a concern; has run over today's trip and going, and 149 lb is no featherweight assignment for a gelding rated 83 officially.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Gortmore Lady silks
Gortmore Lady
Age 6 · 10-8
7P-B93
79
72
85
6
10-8
4/1
Winless in her last five starts — including a pull-up and a brought-down — Gortmore Lady faces a stiff task carrying 148 lb, and her trainer is without a winner in 22 attempts over the past fortnight; experience over today's trip and going offers slim consolation.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Mount Hotham silks
Mount Hotham
Age 7 · 10-6
00-906
77
59
75
7
10-6
10/1 20/1 9/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Mount Hotham faces a stiff ask here; experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour, but his recent string of poor efforts makes him hard to fancy at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
La Rocca Lass silks
La Rocca Lass
Age 6 · 10-2
0000-0
73
53
84
6
10-2
SP 33/1 40/1
Winless in her last five starts and back out just two days after her latest unplaced effort, La Rocca Lass faces a stiff task ranked 11 of 12 on our figures; experience on today's going is about the best that can be said for her.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kalsman 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
2 Pralognan 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Tropical Twist 5/2 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Coral
4 Augusta George 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Ladbrokes
5 Parkgarve 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 Bet365
6 Barrogstown Girl 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
7 Leitzel 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Fine Print 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 Coral
9 Granlahan 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Coral
10 Gortmore Lady 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
11 Mount Hotham 10/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 10/1 Bet365
12 La Rocca Lass 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tropical Twist

Speculative

Tropical Twist owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pralognan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · A J Martin
✓ Value Signal

Fine Print

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · John C McConnell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Tropical Twist
55.9 5/2
2 2. Pralognan
53.1 9/2
3 10. Gortmore Lady
51.4 4/1
4 5. Parkgarve
51.2 6/1
5 9. Granlahan
50.0 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pralognan
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 12-1
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 10-8
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 11-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 10-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 11-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 7 · 10-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pralognan
Confidence: Medium

Pralognan (SR 87, 5/1) is the top-rated horse in this field and has been backed aggressively — a 27% market move in represents meaningful confidence in a €6,000 Downpatrick handicap hurdle. The MarkMv:+30 is noted, but the strong steaming money suggests connections believe the horse is well ahead of its official mark after 255 days off, likely returning fresh and ready to peak. GoingFit:~ on good ground is acceptable, and the DistFit:? simply reflects limited data rather than a proven negative. Trainer A J Martin has a disciplined runner deployment record, and Daniel King (9% overall) provides a competent partnership at a track that rewards confident, positive riding. Each-way alternative: Tropical Twist. Main danger: Tropical Twist — Tropical Twist (SR 86, 3/1) is trained by Gordon Elliott with Jack Kennedy aboard — a top-class pairing — carries confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, ran just 2 days ago suggesting high freshness management from a yard that targets races with precision, and is the joint second-highest SR in the field carrying only 12-1.

Shortlist Pralognan, Tropical Twist, Granlahan, Gortmore Lady
Each-way: Tropical Twist Danger: Tropical Twist

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f165y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting