Bellewstown 17:10 RESULTED
2 Jul 2026

Thursday 2 July Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden · 7f211y

Official Result

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner Celtic Moon (FR) Ben Coen · J P Murtagh
    2/1J
  2. 3/1
  3. 2/1J
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17:10–20:23 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cloughleagh Bridge silks
Cloughleagh Bridge
Age 2 · 9-3
5
125
2
9-3
33/1 FCST 28/1
Beaten well on debut at Leopardstown, but it was a first run on soft ground over a shorter trip, and stepping forward markedly from that experience is a reasonable expectation. Her profile makes her a live threat; the main risk is rivals with more experience behind them.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 125 shows ability, but 33/1 odds and a single fifth-place form suggest limited market confidence.

2
Ippy silks
Ippy
Age 2 · 9-3
131
2
9-3
20/1
A Kodi Bear filly on debut, hooded, with pedigree pointing to today's trip and beyond — a half-sister to Lady Of Inishfree, smart at a mile, and the dam very useful at a mile and a half. First-time-out uncertainty limits confidence.
AI verdict

Long-shot odds of 20/1 and a Saturday Rating of 131 reflect weak market confidence in Ippy's chances.

3
Lucy's Promise silks
Lucy's Promise
Age 2 · 9-3
0
125
2
9-3
50/1 FCST 40/1
Beaten decisively on her only start in an auction race at Fairyhouse, and a significant step forward is required to figure here. The hood applied for the first time is about the only positive angle, with the trainer out of form and her ranking bottom of our figures for this field.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 125 is undermined by 66/1 odds, single run form of 0, and no market support.

4
Violet Be Humble silks
Violet Be Humble
Age 2 · 9-3
125
2
9-3
22/1 FCST 20/1
A Cotai Glory filly on debut, with her dam placed at six furlongs at two, giving the family a short-side bias. There is little to go on without a run behind her and she is hard to recommend at face value; needs the market to say otherwise.
AI verdict

Long odds of 25/1 and unknown form leave Violet Be Humble a 125-rated outsider with little market confidence.

5
Caoch The Piper silks
Caoch The Piper
Age 2 · 9-1
60
125
2
9-1
50/1 40/1 50/1
Trailing throughout when out of the picture in an auction race at Down Royal most recently, and has failed to make an impression in her last two starts. Pedigree suggests the step up to around a mile could help, but significant improvement is needed to feature here.
AI verdict

Long-shot odds of 40/1 and poor form figure of 60 make Caoch The Piper an unlikely contender despite a Saturday Rating of 125.

6
Party In Vegas silks
Party In Vegas
Age 2 · 9-1
152
2
9-1
7/2 3/1 10/3
A 35,000gns Lucky Vega breeze-up purchase on debut, with her dam showing useful form at seven furlongs and the stable having landed two of the last five runnings of this race — a genuine angle. The only caveat is first-time-out uncertainty.
AI verdict

Saturday Rating of 152 combined with competitive 10/3 odds and solid 9-1 weight marks Party In Vegas as a strong non-favourite contender.

7
Sister Nancy silks
Sister Nancy
Age 2 · 9-1
4
134
2
9-1
14/1 FCST 12/1
Beaten thirteen lengths into fourth on her only start at Listowel, and now faces a step up of two furlongs in trip that may stretch her further. The experience of that debut outing is useful but there is plenty to prove on both counts.
AI verdict

A single fourth-place form figure and 18/1 odds signal the market holds little confidence in Sister Nancy's winning chances.

8
Cashel Queen silks
Cashel Queen
Age 2 · 8-13
3
156
2
8-13
13/8 5/4 3/2
Shaped promisingly on debut at Leopardstown when third, beaten five lengths on soft ground over 7f, with the step up to a mile expected to bring out more from her. She handles the conditions and stands as the clear top-rated runner in this field.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 6/4 odds support her form figure of 3 at 8-13.

9
Celtic Moon silks
Celtic Moon
Age 2 · 8-13
4
155
2
8-13
7/4 3/2 7/4
Showed inexperience on her Leopardstown debut when fourth, beaten just over five lengths on soft, but enough ability was on show to mark her as a genuine danger. The mile trip looks to suit and her trainer is in form; the risk is the selection may confirm the form.
AI verdict

Saturday Rating of 155 combined with competitive 7/4 odds and consistent form makes Celtic Moon a strong but not dominant contender.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cloughleagh Bridge 33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365
2 Ippy 20/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 Coral
3 Lucy's Promise 50/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
4 Violet Be Humble 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 22/1 Bet365
5 Caoch The Piper 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365
6 Party In Vegas 7/2 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 7/2 Bet365
7 Sister Nancy 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
8 Cashel Queen 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.25 6/4 13/8 Bet365
9 Celtic Moon 7/4 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 7/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cashel Queen

High conviction

Cashel Queen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Gavin Ryan
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Party In Vegas

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Ippy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · John S O'Donoghue
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Cashel Queen
73.2 13/8
2 6. Party In Vegas
72.2 7/2
3 9. Celtic Moon
68.7 7/4
4 7. Sister Nancy
62.8 14/1
5 2. Ippy
58.3 20/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cashel Queen
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 2 · 8-13
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 6/4 odds support her form figure of 3 at 8-13.

9
Age 2 · 8-13
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Saturday Rating of 155 combined with competitive 7/4 odds and consistent form makes Celtic Moon a strong but not dominant contender.

6
Age 2 · 9-1
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Saturday Rating of 152 combined with competitive 10/3 odds and solid 9-1 weight marks Party In Vegas as a strong non-favourite contender.

7
Age 2 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 134 🐾

A single fourth-place form figure and 18/1 odds signal the market holds little confidence in Sister Nancy's winning chances.

2
Age 2 · 9-3
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 131 🐾

Long-shot odds of 20/1 and a Saturday Rating of 131 reflect weak market confidence in Ippy's chances.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cashel Queen
Confidence: Medium

Cashel Queen (SR 156, 6/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries only 8-13 — the joint-lightest weight alongside Celtic Moon — giving her a meaningful lbs advantage over Party In Vegas (SR 152) who carries 9-1. Her form figure of 3 on debut shows she has already run competitively in a maiden context, suggesting she has the experience edge over the two debutantes above her in the market. Donnacha Aidan O'Brien is a formidable operator with juveniles and market confidence at 6/4 reflects stable intent. The 7f211y trip on Good ground suits a filly bred for this kind of test, and her SR of 156 is comfortably the best in the field on ratings. Each-way alternative: Party In Vegas. Main danger: Celtic Moon — Celtic Moon (SR 155, 7/4) is effectively level on both weight and SR with Cashel Queen and is the market favourite, with JP Murtagh's powerful yard fully capable of producing a well-prepared debutante-type that has been held back for a suitable opportunity — if she outworks Cashel Queen in the closing stages, her 7/4 price reflects genuine ability.

Shortlist Cashel Queen, Celtic Moon, Party In Vegas
Each-way: Party In Vegas Danger: Celtic Moon

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f211y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting