Events At Nottingham Racecourse Training Series Apprentice Handicap · 5f8y
Winchurch carries top weight of 9-12 despite a mixed form of 341614, limiting confidence despite a solid 85 Saturday Rating.
Inconsistent form (159279) and a high weight of 9-12 undermine Sam's Hope's modest Saturday Rating of 71 at 8/1.
Muker's poor form (9-8006), high weight of 9-10, and weak 12/1 odds signal little winning chance.
Beaumadier's inconsistent form of 514743 and a modest Saturday Rating of 76 limit confidence despite fair 10/3 odds.
Miss Brazen's mid-range Saturday Rating of 74, unfavoured market position at 13/2, and inconsistent form of 8-1365 justify a modest 3-star rating.
Solid Saturday Rating of 77 and fair 11/4 odds are offset by top weight 9-5 and uninspiring recent form 7433-4.
Poor form of -70398 and long odds of 16/1 indicate weak market confidence despite a manageable 9-3 weight.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Winchurch | 11/4 open 3.50 | — | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Sam's Hope | 15/2 open 9.00 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Muker | 9/1 open 13.00 | — | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Beaumadier | 5/1 open 4.33 | — | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 5 Miss Brazen | 5/1 open 7.50 | — | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Spirit Of Applause | 11/4 | — | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Hurt You Never | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Winchurch owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalWinchurch carries top weight of 9-12 despite a mixed form of 341614, limiting confidence despite a solid 85 Saturday Rating.
Solid Saturday Rating of 77 and fair 11/4 odds are offset by top weight 9-5 and uninspiring recent form 7433-4.
Beaumadier's inconsistent form of 514743 and a modest Saturday Rating of 76 limit confidence despite fair 10/3 odds.
Miss Brazen's mid-range Saturday Rating of 74, unfavoured market position at 13/2, and inconsistent form of 8-1365 justify a modest 3-star rating.
Inconsistent form (159279) and a high weight of 9-12 undermine Sam's Hope's modest Saturday Rating of 71 at 8/1.
Muker's poor form (9-8006), high weight of 9-10, and weak 12/1 odds signal little winning chance.
Poor form of -70398 and long odds of 16/1 indicate weak market confidence despite a manageable 9-3 weight.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Spirit Of Applause (SR 77, 11/4) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-5, giving it a meaningful pounds edge over joint-top-weights Winchurch and Sam's Hope at 9-12. Its SR of 77 leads the field meaningfully and its recent form string 7433-4 shows consistent proximity to the frame across its last campaign, including a return run last time. Good to Firm at 5f suits a hold-up sprinter of this profile, and Tim Easterby's yard operates well with straightforward sprint handicappers at this level. The market has it co-favourite at 11/4 — same price as Winchurch — despite a 7lb weight advantage, making Spirit Of Applause the better value proposition at identical odds. Each-way alternative: Beaumadier. Main danger: Winchurch — Winchurch (SR 85, 11/4) holds the highest SR in the field and recent form 341614 shows it is consistently placed, so despite the top-weight burden of 9-12, raw ability could compensate on Good to Firm ground where weight is less punishing.