Alkaadhem gelding from a pedigree that offers some encouragement — dam showed ability from a mile to 14f and a half-sibling has proved useful over longer trips. The stable rarely makes an impact with newcomers, however, so he is best treated as a watching brief on debut.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long-odds 33/1 outsider with unknown form and a moderate 123 Saturday Rating offers little confidence in this maiden hurdle.
Flat-bred gelding effective over 10-12f on the level but jumping errors proved his undoing at Listowel most recently, where he finished well adrift while showing signs of immaturity; more likely to find his niche in a handicap context in time than make a big impact in a race of this nature.
Form last 698
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
129SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Calzaghi's 40/1 odds and weak form figures of 98 undermine his 129 Saturday Rating, signalling limited market confidence.
Never in contention on debut at Ballinrobe, well beaten throughout and failing to land a blow; a clear second string for the yard here and seemingly in need of more time and experience before he can be expected to compete meaningfully in maiden hurdle company.
Form last 69
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
129SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long shot at 20/1 with a form figure of 9 and Saturday Rating of 129 makes Capri Gear a weak market proposition.
Beaten some way off the pace in his three starts to date, though he made small forward strides at this course most recently; the step up in trip on offer today is a positive angle on paper, but he needs to find considerably more to trouble the better-fancied runners.
Form last 60-88
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 33/1 and a poor form reading of 0-88 undermine Denham Rock's competitive claims despite a 123 Saturday Rating.
Point winner who has produced strong hurdles form at this track, finishing third in a race where a stronger gallop would have suited him better; effective at 2m5f on soft and likely to progress over longer trips as his career develops, adding first-time tongue-tie on return from a break.
Form last 619/43-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
147SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor form figures (19/43-) and a 13/2 market position limit confidence despite a solid 147 Saturday Rating.
Experienced in bumpers and has shown enough promise over hurdles to rate as a genuine contender; beaten 6l at Tramore most recently in a fair effort and effective at this trip on both good and yielding going, with inconsistency in his recent record the main caveat.
Form last 6743-85
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
128SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 22/1, poor recent form (743-85), and a 128 Saturday Rating confirm Goodmancon as an outsider with little winning chance.
Highly promising on hurdles debut at Listowel, reaching the frame 4l third despite jumping poorly throughout; handles this trip on good ground and first-time tongue-tie should help sharpen his technique having learnt a great deal from that initial run — the clear one to beat on merit.
Form last 62-33
★AI Rating★★★★☆
156SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Saturday Rating of 156 combined with consistent form (2-33) and fair 11/4 odds justify strong 4-star confidence despite carrying top weight 11-12.
Well held at Killarney most recently despite being given every opportunity, though inconsistency has been a feature of his bumper campaign; back after a short break and adaptable to any going at 2m, suggesting the move to hurdles could help him find a more reliable gear.
Form last 6U523-6
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 33/1 and inconsistent form reading U523-6 limit confidence despite a competitive Saturday Rating of 123.
Failed to complete at Ballindenisk most recently and showed little in his point-to-point career, so there is plenty to prove before he can be trusted; first-time tongue-tie is a sign connections are seeking a remedy, but he remains very much a work in progress at this stage.
Form last 6F-P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
117SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Odds of 50/1 and poor form of F-P make No Mon No Fun a 117-rated longshot carrying 11-12 with little winning chance.
Showed some potential at Clonmel on his hurdles debut, fading only in the closing stages as though a longer test would suit; today's step up in distance is a clear positive angle, though two pulled-up starts in his recent record leave some doubt about his jumping under pressure.
Form last 66P-5P5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
129SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Unfancied at 20/1 with poor form figures of 6P-5P5 and a Saturday Rating of 129 leave Riverstown Boy with little appeal.
Poor form in bumpers has been persistent, most recently finishing well beaten at Listowel, and nothing so far suggests a prompt change of gear now hurdling; a sizeable improvement in his performances is a prerequisite for any involvement here.
Form last 600/7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rusty Finure's 150/1 odds, Saturday Rating of 123, and poor form of 00/7 offer little confidence for market support.
Well held at Wexford most recently when faster ground and the extra distance failed to suit, but a placed bumper effort shows he is not without ability; effective at 2m2f on heavy and the move to hurdles looks a sensible direction, with more expected from him in this sphere.
Form last 66/2-5
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
141SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A solid Saturday Rating of 141 is undermined by weak 6/2-5 form and a 12/1 outsider market position.
Debut Mahler gelding out of a dam that placed over hurdles, though his half-sibling failed to make much of an impression over extreme distances; no obvious edge in the market and best treated as a watching brief until he has shown something in a first run.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long-shot odds of 66/1 and unknown form undermine the promising Saturday Rating of 123, limiting confidence to 2/5 stars.
A big player at Downpatrick on his second start, travelling with purpose and beaten only 4l in a manner suggesting the longer the trip the better; handles good ground and our figures rate him second here — more scope in the locker and a genuine threat, with today's distance possibly stretching just short of his ideal.
Form last 6d4
★AI Rating★★★★☆
149SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 149 combined with competitive 7/2 market odds and 11-7 weight justify strong selection despite d4 form.
Made her debut at this course and, while a 35l fourth, she at least stayed on to complete the 2.5m trip; she may improve a fraction from that initial experience, but faces a stiff ask to get competitive from this position on such limited evidence.
Form last 64
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A single fourth-place form figure and 33/1 odds signal little market confidence despite a 127 Saturday Rating.
Landed a French bumper and has been building on that foundation with her current yard, finishing 3l second at Punchestown most recently when stepped up in distance — her most encouraging outing under rules; effective on good and cut ground over a range of trips and a genuine danger, with a slight drop in distance the only uncertainty.
Form last 60/38-2
★AI Rating★★★★☆
112SR—RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 112 with a consistent form figure of 2 and competitive 7/4 market support makes Latopix a strong each-way proposition.
Well beaten on her sole start in a maiden point at Dawstown and showed little of note throughout; the switch to hurdles after a short break offers a clean slate, but there is scant evidence she can make an impression on rivals of this quality.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 33/1, a single form figure of 6, and a Saturday Rating of 127 suggest limited winning prospects.
Beaten 11l at Downpatrick latest in a run where a stronger test appeared to be the answer, and she usually settles in the rear waiting for the gallop to quicken; effective at 2m2f and may improve for a longer trip, though a mixed jumping record adds to the risk.
Form last 640-F4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 33/1, poor form figures of 40-F4, and a modest Saturday Rating of 127 suggest limited winning prospects.
Debut mare by Lucky Speed with pedigree interest — a half-sister showed ability over longer distances and another half-sibling has gone well over points and hurdles; on known evidence, though, she is best observed rather than backed until she has demonstrated something on a first public start.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 66/1 and no known form make Gc Star Speed a 127-rated outsider with little market confidence.
Beaten a long way at Punchestown most recently having made no impact throughout, and while his debut form carries some credentials at a high level, a big jump in performance is needed; looks better suited to lower-grade handicap company in time and hard to be confident about in this field.
Form last 6F-F0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Odds of 66/1, a falling-heavy form of F-F0, and a Saturday Rating of 123 signal very limited winning prospects.
Well beaten on his hurdles debut at Clonmel while making repeated jumping errors throughout; likely to need considerably more time before realising any potential over hurdles and remains a significant risk in this company at the present stage of his career.
Form last 6P7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Odds of 150/1 and a form reading of P7 signal a horse the market has firmly dismissed as a serious contender.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jack Owen Jack owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1C ByrnesDanny Mullins
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Freddie's Back
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · E McNamara✓ Value Signal
Goodmancon
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · P J Breen◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Jack Owen Jack (SR 156, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 7 SR points clear of Open Approach and 9 clear of Freddie's Back — and his form string of 2-33 shows consistent placing at hurdles, suggesting he is well-suited to this trip and discipline. The 11/4 market position reflects genuine confidence from bookmakers, and a C Byrnes yard that has two other runners in the race suggests the stable fancies this track on the day. Carrying level weights at 11-12 means no penalties offset the SR advantage. His most recent runs (3-3) show consistency rather than brilliance, but in a 21-runner maiden with most rivals well below 130 SR, placing form at a higher level translates directly to a winning chance here.
Each-way alternative: Open Approach.
Main danger: Open Approach — Open Approach (SR 149, 7/2) is trained by Gordon Elliott, carries a 5lb weight advantage at 11-7, and the 'd4' form string suggests recent flat-related activity that could translate to a fresh and well-prepared hurdling debut at a yard that regularly produces sharp debut jumpers.
ShortlistJack Owen Jack, Open Approach, Freddie's Back, Siege Of Carthage