Fidelity Energy Green Future Novice Stakes · 6f
Strong Saturday Rating of 157 and competitive 15/8 odds justify 4/5 stars despite modest form figures of 24.
Long odds of 25/1 and unknown form leave Coatimundi with a Saturday Rating of 127 but little market confidence.
Long odds of 28/1 and unknown form leave Hackpen Hill's 127 Saturday Rating unvalidated by the market.
Strong Saturday Rating of 155 combined with competitive 4/1 odds and 9-2 weight justifies four stars despite single form entry.
Magi Melchior's solid Saturday Rating of 138 is undermined by 16/1 outsider odds and unknown form, limiting confidence to 3/5.
Long-shot odds of 40/1 and a Saturday Rating of 127 signal limited market confidence in this 9-2 weighted outsider.
Rated 145 with a 10/1 market position and 9-2 weight suggests mid-tier potential without form to confirm favouritism.
A Saturday Rating of 151 at 5/1 odds with 9-2 weight positions Pride Of Toledo as a mid-tier contender lacking market confidence.
Long odds of 40/1 and unknown form leave Secano with little market confidence despite carrying 9-2.
Shakwaa's mid-tier 150 Saturday Rating and 6/1 odds signal market doubt despite competitive 9-2 weight.
Strong Saturday Rating of 150 and competitive 9-2 weight justify 4 stars despite 6/1 odds and single form figure.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Alaskan Bear | 5/6 open 2.88 | — | 10/11 open 2.75 | 10/11 open 2.75 | 10/11 open 2.75 | 10/11 open 2.75 | 10/11 Coral |
| 2 Coatimundi | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Hackpen Hill | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Jimtrott | 3/1 open 5.00 | — | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 William Hill |
| 5 Magi Melchior | 25/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Noahs Gold | 125/1 open 41.00 | — | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Off The Peg | 16/1 open 11.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Pride Of Toledo | 5/1 | — | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Secano | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Shakwaa | 11/1 open 7.00 | — | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Tumishi | 13/2 open 7.00 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jimtrott owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 157 and competitive 15/8 odds justify 4/5 stars despite modest form figures of 24.
Strong Saturday Rating of 155 combined with competitive 4/1 odds and 9-2 weight justifies four stars despite single form entry.
A Saturday Rating of 151 at 5/1 odds with 9-2 weight positions Pride Of Toledo as a mid-tier contender lacking market confidence.
Shakwaa's mid-tier 150 Saturday Rating and 6/1 odds signal market doubt despite competitive 9-2 weight.
Rated 145 with a 10/1 market position and 9-2 weight suggests mid-tier potential without form to confirm favouritism.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alaskan Bear (SR 157, 13/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries market confidence that reflects genuine ability — 13/8 in an 11-runner novice field is a meaningful vote of confidence. The form figure of '24' shows two runs under the belt, giving the Davison yard a clear picture of where this horse is, and the SR of 157 — top-class territory on the SR scale — points to a horse operating well above the typical novice ceiling. All runners carry 9-2, so there is no weight disadvantage to offset the SR edge. On Good to Firm ground over 6f at Newbury, a precocious, experienced 2yo with established form lines holds a structural edge over the large group of debutants in this field. Each-way alternative: Jimtrott. Main danger: Pride Of Toledo — Pride Of Toledo (SR 151, 5/1) is a Clive Cox debutant at a yard that regularly produces well-prepared first-time-out winners on fast ground at Newbury, and a SR of 151 — competitive handicap-class territory — suggests a horse with the physical profile to win on debut at this level.