Kettle Produce Handicap Hurdle · 2m47y
Carries top weight of 12-0 despite a Saturday Rating of 111, with recent form showing inconsistency before a latest win at 11/8.
Carrying top weight of 11-7 with patchy form (1F75-4) and a Saturday Rating of 99 limits Pure Gold's appeal at 4/1.
Carries top weight of 11-6 with a modest Saturday Rating of 100 and inconsistent form of 3549-3 limits confidence despite fair 7/2 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 98 and patchy form (3546-5) at 11-4 weight limit the case for Just Dottie at 9/2.
Rated just 86 with poor form (5700-6) and unfancied at 10/1, Tigress Lilly offers little appeal carrying 10-8.
A Saturday Rating of 72, weak form (4603-6), and 20/1 odds indicate minimal market confidence and poor recent consistency.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Pergamon | 2/1 open 2.38 | — | 15/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Pure Gold | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Ravenscraig Castle | 9/4 open 4.50 | — | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Just Dottie | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Tigress Lilly | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Interchangeable | 28/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pergamon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarries top weight of 12-0 despite a Saturday Rating of 111, with recent form showing inconsistency before a latest win at 11/8.
Carries top weight of 11-6 with a modest Saturday Rating of 100 and inconsistent form of 3549-3 limits confidence despite fair 7/2 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 98 and patchy form (3546-5) at 11-4 weight limit the case for Just Dottie at 9/2.
Carrying top weight of 11-7 with patchy form (1F75-4) and a Saturday Rating of 99 limits Pure Gold's appeal at 4/1.
Rated just 86 with poor form (5700-6) and unfancied at 10/1, Tigress Lilly offers little appeal carrying 10-8.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Pergamon (SR 111, 6/4) is the clear class-leader in this field and arrives on the back of a win (form ending -1), making his last-time-out victory the most recent positive evidence in the race. Despite carrying top-weight of 12-0, his SR 111 is 11 points clear of the next-best Ravenscraig Castle (SR 100) and 13 points clear of Pure Gold (SR 99), a meaningful edge in a modest six-runner field. Trainer Jennie Candlish's runners tend to be fit and ready when sent to smaller tracks, and the Good ground at Perth over 2m47y suits a five-year-old still developing. The market confidence at 6/4 in a small field reflects genuine form superiority rather than liquidity distortion. Each-way alternative: Ravenscraig Castle. Main danger: Ravenscraig Castle — Ravenscraig Castle (SR 100, 3/1) is the second market choice, carries a relatively manageable 11-6, and his last run was a third — the most consistent recent finish among the chasing pack — giving Iain Jardine a solid platform to improve at a track that suits patient front-runners on Good ground.