Nottingham 14:30 RESULTED
Class 3 2 Jul 2026

Thursday 2 July EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f18y

Official Result

EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ash Tree (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Jane Chapple-Hyam
    3/1
  2. Second Nicely (IRE)
    9/1
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ash Tree silks
Ash Tree
Age 2 · 9-2
153
2
9-2
9/4 11/4 2/1
A 240,000-euro Blue Point filly who is a full sister to Archer Royal, a smart performer over 8f; merits close attention on her debut and, while there is no previous form to judge her by, the profile alone marks her out as a serious contender.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 153 combined with competitive 10/3 odds and solid 9-2 weight assignment justifies four-star market confidence.

2
Bearly Blue silks
Bearly Blue
Age 2 · 9-2
72
153
2
9-2
9/2 9/2 4/1
Runner-up beaten 4 lengths at Goodwood last time having moved forward from her debut, but today's faster ground is a potential concern given she has shown her best on soft; ranks fifth on our figures and the switch to firmer conditions is a question worth noting.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 153 and competitive 9/2 odds support her 4-star rating despite unspectacular 72 form figures.

3
Chiwara silks
Chiwara
Age 2 · 9-2
2
155
2
9-2
3/1 FCST 11/4
Shaped with encouragement on debut at Ripon, finishing second beaten 2 lengths over 6f on good ground; already handles the conditions and trip, and a filly with just the one run looks open to further progress second time out — a strong danger in this heat.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 155 and solid form figure back a 3/1 market contender carrying 9-2.

4
Fairy Well silks
Fairy Well
Age 2 · 9-2
145
2
9-2
12/1 10/1 12/1
A 180,000gns Dark Angel filly out of a dam that was a very smart performer over 6f as a juvenile, and a full-sister to the useful Rum Therapy over this trip; ranks last on our figures on debut, but the strong pedigree makes her one to keep in mind.
AI verdict

Mid-tier Saturday Rating of 145 and 10/1 odds suggest market scepticism despite competitive weight of 9-2.

5
Grey Tamam silks
Grey Tamam
Age 2 · 9-2
154
2
9-2
9/2 9/4 7/2
A 140,000-euro Churchill purchase from the breeze-ups who arrives with real appeal on debut for a yard firing at 32% in recent weeks; her dam excelled over 8f and this filly has the profile to make an immediate impression — commands the most respect in this field.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 9/4 market odds at 9-2 weight signal strong winning credentials despite unknown form.

6
Nicely silks
Nicely
Age 2 · 9-2
146
2
9-2
10/1 9/1 10/1
A £95,000 Persian Force purchase from the breeze-ups who has much in her favour as a first-time runner; her dam was a very useful performer over 7f and she is a half-sister to Kazakh, giving her a strong speed pedigree — a filly to take seriously on first appearance.
AI verdict

Mid-tier Saturday Rating of 146 at 9/1 odds signals market uncertainty, limiting confidence to a moderate 3-star assessment.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ash Tree 9/4 open 4.33 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 Bet365
2 Bearly Blue 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 5/1 William Hill
3 Chiwara 3/1 11/4 11/4 3/1 open 3.75 11/4 3/1 Bet365
4 Fairy Well 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Grey Tamam 9/2 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 9/2 Bet365
6 Nicely 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Grey Tamam

High conviction

Grey Tamam owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 James Tate Clifford Lee
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Chiwara

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Fairy Well

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Jane Chapple-Hyam
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Grey Tamam
73.4 9/2
2 3. Chiwara
71.5 3/1
3 1. Ash Tree
70.0 9/4
4 2. Bearly Blue
68.2 9/2
5 6. Nicely
64.4 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chiwara
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-2
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 153 combined with competitive 10/3 odds and solid 9-2 weight assignment justifies four-star market confidence.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
3/1
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 155 and solid form figure back a 3/1 market contender carrying 9-2.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 153 and competitive 9/2 odds support her 4-star rating despite unspectacular 72 form figures.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 9/4 market odds at 9-2 weight signal strong winning credentials despite unknown form.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾

Mid-tier Saturday Rating of 146 at 9/1 odds signals market uncertainty, limiting confidence to a moderate 3-star assessment.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

Mid-tier Saturday Rating of 145 and 10/1 odds suggest market scepticism despite competitive weight of 9-2.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chiwara
Confidence: Medium

Chiwara (SR 155, 10/3) is the highest-rated runner in the field and crucially has racecourse experience to draw on — a debut second that demonstrates she handles the track and trip. Richard & Peter Fahey's operation is sharp with improving juveniles, and her SR leads the field by 1 point over the next best. All runners carry identical 9-2, so there is no weight edge to exploit or resist — SR and form evidence become the deciding factors, and Chiwara's single run shows she already knows her job. The 10/3 price offers fair value for the top-rated, race-tested runner against a field largely composed of debutantes. Each-way alternative: Grey Tamam. Main danger: Grey Tamam — Grey Tamam (SR 154, 9/4) is the market's choice and James Tate regularly has well-prepared debut runners — if she steps straight into her rating on first appearance, she has the SR and trainer backing to go close.

Shortlist Chiwara, Grey Tamam, Ash Tree
Each-way: Grey Tamam Danger: Grey Tamam

🗺 The Course Class 3

6f18y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade