Hon. Alderman Malcolm Wood Memorial Nursery · 5f8y
Rated 84 with solid 138 form but carrying 9-9 at 11/4 suggests mid-tier market confidence warranting three stars.
Consistent form of 422142 and a competitive 85 Saturday Rating justify solid mid-tier appeal at 9/2.
Consistent form of 213 and a Saturday Rating of 82 justify consideration, but 10/3 odds and 8-12 weight limit upside.
Rated just 70 with uninspiring form of 472 and drifting at 8/1, Havana Gift lacks the market confidence to compete.
A Saturday Rating of 63, weak 340 form, and 12/1 odds signal limited winning prospects at this weight.
Rated just 65 with uninspiring 763 form and drifting 17/2 odds, Holi Scarlett lacks the market confidence to compete here.
Modest Saturday Rating of 73, middle-market odds of 4/1, and inconsistent 723 form limit Past Passion's appeal at 8-7.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Wait Geordie | 7/2 open 3.75 | — | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Undercover Affair | 15/8 open 5.50 | — | 2/1 open 5.50 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 7/4 open 5.50 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 2/1 Coral |
| 3 Seed Ya Later | 6/1 open 4.33 | — | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Havana Gift | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 On The Queue Tee | 12/1 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Holi Scarlett | 13/2 open 9.50 | — | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Past Passion | 11/2 open 5.00 | — | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 | 13/2 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Undercover Affair owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalConsistent form of 422142 and a competitive 85 Saturday Rating justify solid mid-tier appeal at 9/2.
Rated 84 with solid 138 form but carrying 9-9 at 11/4 suggests mid-tier market confidence warranting three stars.
Modest Saturday Rating of 73, middle-market odds of 4/1, and inconsistent 723 form limit Past Passion's appeal at 8-7.
Consistent form of 213 and a Saturday Rating of 82 justify consideration, but 10/3 odds and 8-12 weight limit upside.
Rated just 65 with uninspiring 763 form and drifting 17/2 odds, Holi Scarlett lacks the market confidence to compete here.
Rated just 70 with uninspiring form of 472 and drifting at 8/1, Havana Gift lacks the market confidence to compete.
A Saturday Rating of 63, weak 340 form, and 12/1 odds signal limited winning prospects at this weight.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Undercover Affair (SR 85, 3/1, 9-7) holds the joint-highest SR in the field and brings the deepest form profile — a six-run sequence showing consistent competitiveness including two wins (form: 422142), with the rightmost '2' indicating a strong last-time-out effort. Carrying 9-7 gives a 2lb weight advantage over joint-top-rated Wait Geordie (SR 84, 9-9), which on Good to Firm ground at 5f8y is a meaningful edge. David Evans is a handler who targets nurseries aggressively with horses who already know how to win, and the 3/1 market reflects genuine confidence rather than blind faith. The combination of highest SR, favourable weight, proven winning form, and market support at a fair price makes this the most compelling case in the field. Each-way alternative: Seed Ya Later. Main danger: Wait Geordie — Wait Geordie (SR 84, 3/1, 9-9) shares the market leadership and his form string of '138' shows a sharp progressive profile — the last-run '8' is the only concern but could reflect inexperience rather than a ceiling, and Hugo Palmer's two-year-old record on Good to Firm 5f tracks is strong.