Sunday 12th July Is Family Day Mares' NH Flat Race (Conditional/Amateurs) (GBB Race) · 2m70y
Redbarn's strong Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 4/5 odds support her consistent form figures of 3-41.
Outsider odds of 40/1 and a single form figure of 6 undermine her 124 Saturday Rating significantly.
Long odds of 22/1 and unknown form make Upton Fern a 128-rated outsider with little market confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 153 and fair 7/2 market odds justify confidence, despite sole form figure of 5.
Frankie's Flame carries a competitive 133 Saturday Rating but drifts to 20/1 in the market, suggesting limited confidence despite fair form potential.
Rated 147 with form showing a single fourth place finish and 8/1 odds suggests mid-tier potential without stronger recent evidence.
A Saturday Rating of 153 and consistent form figures of 5-42 at 5/1 make Thetype Istitle a strong each-way contender at 10-11.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Redbarn | 4/7 open 1.80 | — | 8/15 open 1.62 | 8/15 open 1.62 | 8/13 | 8/13 | 8/13 William Hill |
| 2 Ocean Rose | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Upton Fern | 33/1 open 23.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Cool Million | 17/2 open 4.50 | — | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Frankie's Flame | 28/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Queens Glance | 6/1 open 9.00 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Thetype Istitle | 5/1 | — | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Redbarn owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRedbarn's strong Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 4/5 odds support her consistent form figures of 3-41.
A Saturday Rating of 153 and consistent form figures of 5-42 at 5/1 make Thetype Istitle a strong each-way contender at 10-11.
Rated 147 with form showing a single fourth place finish and 8/1 odds suggests mid-tier potential without stronger recent evidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 153 and fair 7/2 market odds justify confidence, despite sole form figure of 5.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Redbarn (SR 154, 4/5) holds the highest SR in the field and is the only runner showing a genuinely encouraging recent form line — the '41' tail end of '3-41' indicates a win last time out followed by a third, suggesting peak fitness coming into this. Dan Skelton is one of the most reliable trainers in NH flat racing and the 4/5 market confidence is built on tangible evidence: top SR and a recent win, not just reputation. Carrying 11-9 is a weight disadvantage versus Cool Million and Thetype Istitle (both 10-11), but on Good to Firm ground that 12-16lb concession is manageable when the SR gap is meaningful. The 2m70y trip at Stratford on quick ground suits an in-form five-year-old with proven recent racecourse ability over the rest of this lightly-raced or unraced opposition. Each-way alternative: Cool Million. Main danger: Thetype Istitle — Thetype Istitle (SR 153, 5/1) matches Cool Million's weight of 10-11, has a recent form line of '5-42' showing progressive improvement and a second last time out for David Pipe, and carries 12lb less than Redbarn — on Good to Firm ground over 2m that weight concession gives it a genuine chance of overturning the SR deficit.