Melissa, Arabella And Oriana Hawthorne Handicap · 1m208y
Keats House rates poorly with a low Saturday Rating of 60, stale form of 42-775, and a burdensome 9-9 weight.
Carries top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 58 and inconsistent form of 664-34 limits confidence.
Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of just 61 and poor recent form of -00517 at 6/1 makes Bay Dream Believer a low-confidence selection.
A Saturday Rating of just 47, weak form of 700804, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects under 9-6.
Perfidia's mixed form (213591) and a Saturday Rating of 65 limit confidence despite attractive 2/1 odds and a manageable 9-3 weight.
A Saturday Rating of 42, poor form of 0-0530, and 14/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in Without Delay.
Form shows a recent win (1) but inconsistent results and a modest Saturday Rating of 56 at 5/1 suggest mid-tier potential.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Keats House | 7/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Mayor Of Maghera | 2/1 open 4.50 | — | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Bay Dream Believer | 8/1 open 7.00 | — | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Second Fiddle | 12/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Perfidia | 2/1 | — | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Without Delay | 25/1 open 15.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Approaching Dawn | 7/1 open 6.00 | — | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Perfidia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarries top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 58 and inconsistent form of 664-34 limits confidence.
Perfidia's mixed form (213591) and a Saturday Rating of 65 limit confidence despite attractive 2/1 odds and a manageable 9-3 weight.
Keats House rates poorly with a low Saturday Rating of 60, stale form of 42-775, and a burdensome 9-9 weight.
Form shows a recent win (1) but inconsistent results and a modest Saturday Rating of 56 at 5/1 suggest mid-tier potential.
Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of just 61 and poor recent form of -00517 at 6/1 makes Bay Dream Believer a low-confidence selection.
A Saturday Rating of just 47, weak form of 700804, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects under 9-6.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Perfidia (SR 65, 2/1, 9-3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and her form string 213591 shows consistent competitiveness with a win last time out — the rightmost '1' is the strongest possible recent signal. At 9-3 she carries a manageable weight and holds a clear SR edge over Mayor Of Maghera (SR 58) and Approaching Dawn (SR 56). Tim Easterby is an established handler at this level and the 3-star AI probability aligns with her SR lead and market confidence, suggesting multiple signals point the same way. The 1m208y trip at Musselburgh on Good ground suits a 4-year-old with consistent recent form rather than the older, more erratic rivals. Each-way alternative: Approaching Dawn. Main danger: Mayor Of Maghera — Mayor Of Maghera (SR 58, 7/2) is the second-best supported horse in the market, carries 9-7 with a 3-star probability rating, and his form string 664-34 shows a recent improvement arc that could see him close the gap on Perfidia if she fails to reproduce her last-time-out win.