EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f1y
Long shot at 28/1 with a single fifth-place form figure and Saturday Rating of 122 signals minimal winning prospects.
Turnstile's weak form figures of 434733 and a low Saturday Rating of 57 undermine confidence despite even-money odds.
Long-shot odds of 50/1 and a weak form figure of 80 signal little market confidence despite a competitive weight of 9-4.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 145 and 15/2 odds suggest mid-tier market confidence, limiting appeal despite manageable 9-4 weight.
Moderate 6/1 odds, a single fourth-place form figure, and a 149 Saturday Rating suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Rated 154 with competitive 11/4 odds and improving form figures of 63 at 9-2 weight suggest strong winning claims.
Mid-range Saturday Rating of 146 and 9/1 odds suggest market sees potential but not enough form to inspire confidence.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Just For Monty | 28/1 | — | 28/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Turnstile | 4/7 open 2.00 | — | 4/7 open 2.00 | 4/7 open 2.00 | 8/13 open 2.00 | 4/7 open 2.00 | 8/13 William Hill |
| 3 Aodhan | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Lexington Boom | 4/1 open 8.50 | — | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 3/1 open 8.50 | 10/3 open 8.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Bear Lee | 6/1 | — | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Heffernan Kingdom | 11/4 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Dadawada | 11/1 open 10.00 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bear Lee owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalTurnstile's weak form figures of 434733 and a low Saturday Rating of 57 undermine confidence despite even-money odds.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 145 and 15/2 odds suggest mid-tier market confidence, limiting appeal despite manageable 9-4 weight.
Moderate 6/1 odds, a single fourth-place form figure, and a 149 Saturday Rating suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Mid-range Saturday Rating of 146 and 9/1 odds suggest market sees potential but not enough form to inspire confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Heffernan Kingdom leads the field with SR 154, the highest rating by 5 points over Bear Lee (SR 149), and carries just 9-2 — not a burdensome weight for the class advantage held. The 11/4 market position reflects genuine confidence, and a form line of 63 in a 2yo maiden context shows racecourse experience and progression, having run competitively enough to establish a meaningful SR. Ben Haslam's yard placing a horse at this level at 11/4 suggests intent. Bear Lee (SR 149, 6/1) is the main danger — a 4-point SR deficit is bridgeable, particularly with a 4lb weight advantage (8-13 vs 9-2 is not applicable here — Bear Lee is 9-2 also), but Heffernan Kingdom's superior rating and market confidence make the case clear. Each-way alternative: Bear Lee. Main danger: Bear Lee — Bear Lee (SR 149, 6/1) sits just 5 points below Heffernan Kingdom in SR, runs 3lbs lighter at 9-2 versus 9-2 — identical weight actually — but at 6/1 offers the value case if Heffernan Kingdom's form of 63 represents a ceiling rather than a springboard.