Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
Strong Saturday Rating of 153 and winning form back a 9/4 market chance carrying 9-8.
Metamouse's 84 Saturday Rating and solid 41 form justify the 9/2 market price, but non-favourite status at 9-5 weight limits confidence.
Solid Saturday Rating of 93 and consistent 242 form justify appeal, but 11/4 odds and non-favourite market position limit confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 123 is moderate, but 25/1 odds and a form figure of 9 signal weak market confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 123 is undermined by 66/1 odds, single-figure form, and no market support.
Treasurer's strong Saturday Rating of 148 and competitive 9/2 odds justify 4 stars despite weak 40 form.
Rated 141 but sent off 11/1 at 9-2 weight signals market doubts outweigh form prospects for this non-favourite.
A 50/1 outsider carrying 9-1 with a single form figure of 7 signals little market confidence and poor recent performance.
Long odds of 18/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 134 mark Calendar Boy as a clear outsider with little market support.
A Saturday Rating of 68, outsider odds of 9/1, and uninspiring form figures of 61 highlight Poppy Foxy's limited winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 129 shows ability, but 50/1 odds and weak form figures of 93 undermine confidence significantly.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Flying Pirate | 9/4 | — | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 5/2 William Hill |
| 2 Metamouse | 15/2 open 5.50 | — | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 3 Harry Knows | 9/4 open 3.75 | — | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Herbert Hall | 66/1 open 26.00 | — | 66/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Ten Of Clubs | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Treasurer | 3/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 Coral |
| 7 Keep Grating | 20/1 open 12.00 | — | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Ten Year Stretch | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Calendar Boy | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Poppy Foxy | 11/1 open 10.00 | — | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Martha Brown | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Treasurer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 153 and winning form back a 9/4 market chance carrying 9-8.
Solid Saturday Rating of 93 and consistent 242 form justify appeal, but 11/4 odds and non-favourite market position limit confidence.
Treasurer's strong Saturday Rating of 148 and competitive 9/2 odds justify 4 stars despite weak 40 form.
Metamouse's 84 Saturday Rating and solid 41 form justify the 9/2 market price, but non-favourite status at 9-5 weight limits confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 68, outsider odds of 9/1, and uninspiring form figures of 61 highlight Poppy Foxy's limited winning prospects.
Rated 141 but sent off 11/1 at 9-2 weight signals market doubts outweigh form prospects for this non-favourite.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Flying Pirate (SR 153, 9/4) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next best, Treasurer (SR 148), comes into the race off a deeply concerning '40' form string — a fourth followed by a zero (10th or worse) suggests that last run was poor rather than a blip. Flying Pirate's single run produced a win, earning that SR 153 on good-to-firm-suitable ground, and Eve Johnson Houghton's yard has form with precocious 2yo sprinters over this trip. Carrying 9-8 is 4lb more than most rivals but the SR edge is comfortably large enough to absorb that penalty. The 9/4 market support is consistent with a horse the market knows rather than one being backed speculatively. Each-way alternative: Harry Knows. Main danger: Treasurer — Treasurer (SR 148) is only 5 SR points behind Flying Pirate, carries a favourable 9-4, and Charlie Fellowes is capable of placing a horse to bounce off a poor run — if the '0' was a going or track issue, a reset here at Salisbury on good-to-firm could see the true ability surface.