Roscommon 19:00 RESULTED
30 Jun 2026

Tuesday 30 June Conor Cassidy Car Sales Handicap

Conor Cassidy Car Sales Handicap · 1m2f63y

Official Result

Conor Cassidy Car Sales Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nermal (IRE) Ben Coen · Andrew Slattery
    5/2F
  2. 5/1
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Iamimmaculate silks
Iamimmaculate
Age 3 · 10-0
012-
80
80
80OR
3
10-0
6/1
Shaped promisingly when a half-length second at Leopardstown off a 4lb lower mark last autumn, and showed a win in him before that, but 255 days off means a fitness question on return. Effective over six to eight furlongs, the current mark is a stiffer ask.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a Saturday Rating of 80 and 6/1 odds, form of 012- shows consistency but not dominance.

2
Adel silks
Adel
Age 3 · 9-10
67-871
76
72
76OR
3
9-10
7/2 4/1 10/3
Landed a 12f handicap at this course last time, getting the better by a half-length, and tops our ratings heading into this. He is well suited by sound ground, though stamina at ten furlongs is the slight unknown coming back in trip.
AI verdict

Adel's Saturday Rating of 72 and inconsistent form figures of 67-871 justify a mid-tier 3/5 rating despite fair 4/1 odds.

3
Honouramongthieves silks
Honouramongthieves
Age 3 · 9-7
2-5667
73
64
73OR
3
9-7
10/1 9/1 10/1
Showed decent form earlier in the season and stays ten furlongs, but his best efforts have come with give in the ground; today's conditions may not be ideal. Well held at Newbury on his most recent start, a change in direction is required.
AI verdict

Carrying 9-7 off a Saturday Rating of 64 with poor form of 2-5667 and drifting at 10/1 leaves Honouramongthieves with little appeal.

4
Nermal silks
Nermal
Age 3 · 9-6
5223
72
78
72OR
3
9-6
10/3 11/4 10/3
Third at Ballinrobe on his latest outing and has placed in three of his last four starts; he looks open to further progress and handles today's trip and ground well. This is his first try in a handicap, which brings an element of the unknown.
AI verdict

Consistent form of 5223 and competitive 3/1 odds are offset by a demanding 9-6 weight against a Saturday Rating of 78.

5
Rapide Vega silks
Rapide Vega
Age 3 · 9-4
04-582
70
71
70OR
3
9-4
7/1 5/1 7/1
Second at Gowran Park on his latest outing, beaten twelve lengths but claiming the runner-up spot, and now fitted with first-time cheekpieces in a bid to improve; effective over today's trip and going. The mark looks workable and he could be competitive if that headgear brings the desired sharpening.
AI verdict

Rated just 71 with uninspiring form figures of 04-582 and carrying 9-4, Rapide Vega offers little value at 11/2.

6
Freedom And Light silks
Freedom And Light
Age 3 · 9-2
9-8467
68
55
68OR
3
9-2
22/1 16/1 22/1
Well held in recent outings and last time was caught flat-footed out of the stalls at Leopardstown, leaving her with too much ground to make up; effective at ten furlongs on yielding ground, a clean break is a prerequisite for any chance here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 55, weak 9-8467 form, and 16/1 odds signal no winning case here.

7
Vantage Code silks
Vantage Code
Age 3 · 9-2
667-07
68
44
68OR
3
9-2
18/1 22/1 16/1
Trailing the field at Down Royal on his most recent outing after failing to land a blow off the pace; five outings without a placing in recent starts and improvement is clearly needed. Some stamina in the breeding at least gives hope over this trip.
AI verdict

Outsider odds of 25/1, a Saturday Rating of 44, and poor recent form of 667-07 highlight Vantage Code's limited winning prospects.

8
Second Line silks
Second Line
Age 3 · 8-13
0-886
65
58
65OR
3
8-13
20/1 12/1 20/1
Struggled when asked to go beyond ten furlongs at Limerick last time; today's drop back in trip looks a positive, and he arrives in first-time blinkers which could help. Winless in recent starts, he remains capable on his best form over this distance on a surface he handles.
AI verdict

Poor recent form (0-886), a low Saturday Rating of 58, and 12/1 odds signal weak market confidence.

9
Dont Get Me Wrong silks
Dont Get Me Wrong
Age 3 · 8-12
0518-9
64
47
64OR
3
8-12
20/1 28/1 14/1
Won at shorter trips earlier but well held since, including a distant last here when unable to make any impression having been held up; the step up to 10f brings a stamina query, and he returns after a short break.
AI verdict

Sent off at 28/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 47 and form reading 0518-9, this 8-12 weighted outsider offers minimal winning prospects.

10
Ella's Gold silks
Ella's Gold
Age 3 · 8-9
022-02
61
75
61OR
3
8-9
4/1 7/2 4/1
Placed at Leopardstown last time, beaten just a half-length off a 2lb lower mark, pointing to a return to her best after a poor run before that; effective on today's going, she makes a strong appeal as a danger despite yet to score in recent starts.
AI verdict

Consistent form of 022-02 and competitive 4/1 odds suggest solid claims, but a Saturday Rating of 75 and 8-9 weight limit upside.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Iamimmaculate 6/1 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
2 Adel 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Honouramongthieves 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Nermal 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 Bet365
5 Rapide Vega 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
6 Freedom And Light 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Coral
7 Vantage Code 18/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Second Line 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Coral
9 Dont Get Me Wrong 20/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 20/1 Bet365
10 Ella's Gold 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nermal

Speculative

Nermal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Andrew Slattery Ben Coen
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ella's Gold

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Matthew J Smith
✓ Value Signal

Freedom And Light

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · J S Bolger
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Nermal
54.9 10/3
2 10. Ella's Gold
53.0 4/1
3 2. Adel
52.7 7/2
4 1. Iamimmaculate
49.6 6/1
5 3. Honouramongthieves
49.1 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Adel
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-6
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

Consistent form of 5223 and competitive 3/1 odds are offset by a demanding 9-6 weight against a Saturday Rating of 78.

2
Age 3 · 9-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

Adel's Saturday Rating of 72 and inconsistent form figures of 67-871 justify a mid-tier 3/5 rating despite fair 4/1 odds.

10
Age 3 · 8-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

Consistent form of 022-02 and competitive 4/1 odds suggest solid claims, but a Saturday Rating of 75 and 8-9 weight limit upside.

1
Age 3 · 10-0
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a Saturday Rating of 80 and 6/1 odds, form of 012- shows consistency but not dominance.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

Rated just 71 with uninspiring form figures of 04-582 and carrying 9-4, Rapide Vega offers little value at 11/2.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

Carrying 9-7 off a Saturday Rating of 64 with poor form of 2-5667 and drifting at 10/1 leaves Honouramongthieves with little appeal.

7
Age 3 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

Outsider odds of 25/1, a Saturday Rating of 44, and poor recent form of 667-07 highlight Vantage Code's limited winning prospects.

8
Age 3 · 8-13
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

Poor recent form (0-886), a low Saturday Rating of 58, and 12/1 odds signal weak market confidence.

9
Age 3 · 8-12
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

Sent off at 28/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 47 and form reading 0518-9, this 8-12 weighted outsider offers minimal winning prospects.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Adel
Confidence: Medium

Adel (SR 72, 4/1, 9-10) arrives on the back of a win — the rightmost digit of the form string '67-871' is a '1', confirming a last-time-out victory — which is the single strongest positive signal in this field. Carrying 9-10 gives a clear weight advantage over top-weight Iamimmaculate (SR 80, 10-0), and the 8lb concession to the SR-leader is a meaningful burden on good ground over 1m2f63y. The market is joint-second-shortest at 4/1, reflecting genuine confidence in the O'Callaghan yard's recent form, not just residual interest. Ella's Gold (SR 75) is the each-way alternative — 8-9 is the lightest weight in the race and the '022-02' form shows consistent placed efforts, but the absence of a win undermines conviction at the top of the market. Each-way alternative: Ella's Gold. Main danger: Nermal — Nermal (SR 78, 3/1, 9-6) is the market favourite and the '5223' form shows a consistently placed horse closing in on a win — a 3lb weight edge over Iamimmaculate and the shortest price in the field suggests the Slattery yard believes this is the right opportunity.

Shortlist Adel, Ella's Gold, Iamimmaculate, Nermal
Each-way: Ella's Gold Danger: Nermal

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f63y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting