Watch Racing TV Irish EBF Lenebane Stakes (Listed) · 1m4f17y
Chally Chute's solid 114 Saturday Rating and consistent 121-2 form justify mid-tier appeal, but 4/1 odds and top weight of 10-0 limit confidence.
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with patchy form (17-516) and a Saturday Rating of 109 limits confidence despite 5/4 odds.
Sent off at 50/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 63, Counting Coup is a rank outsider despite winning form.
Recent form figures of 66 and 11/1 odds suggest market doubts, despite a solid 99 Saturday Rating.
A Saturday Rating of 84, 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form (1-3261) at 9-6 weight signal limited winning prospects here.
Carrying top weight of 9-6 with patchy form (1630-3) and a Saturday Rating of 102, Bosphorus Rose lacks the profile to justify 5/2 market support.
Outsider at 28/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 60 and patchy form of /1873- makes Kalixa a very unlikely contender.
Rated just 79 with poor recent form of 651 and sent off at 18/1, Dreamkeeper lacks market confidence here.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Chally Chute | 6/1 open 5.00 | — | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Starford | 5/6 open 2.25 | — | 4/5 open 2.20 | 4/5 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 2.20 | 5/6 Bet365 |
| 3 Counting Coup | 50/1 | — | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Shaool | 8/1 open 12.00 | — | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Abbey Actress | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Bosphorus Rose | 7/2 open 3.50 | — | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 William Hill |
| 7 Kalixa | 80/1 open 29.00 | — | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Dreamkeeper | 16/1 open 19.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Starford owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarrying top weight of 10-0 with patchy form (17-516) and a Saturday Rating of 109 limits confidence despite 5/4 odds.
Carrying top weight of 9-6 with patchy form (1630-3) and a Saturday Rating of 102, Bosphorus Rose lacks the profile to justify 5/2 market support.
Chally Chute's solid 114 Saturday Rating and consistent 121-2 form justify mid-tier appeal, but 4/1 odds and top weight of 10-0 limit confidence.
Recent form figures of 66 and 11/1 odds suggest market doubts, despite a solid 99 Saturday Rating.
Rated just 79 with poor recent form of 651 and sent off at 18/1, Dreamkeeper lacks market confidence here.
A Saturday Rating of 84, 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form (1-3261) at 9-6 weight signal limited winning prospects here.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Chally Chute (SR 114, 4/1) posts the highest SR in the field and arrives on a /121-2 form line that shows consistent competitiveness at this level — the placed effort last time keeps her in peak condition at age 8 with no soundness concerns flagged. She carries 10-0, level with market-favourite Starford, so there is no weight disadvantage despite the SR edge. Starford (SR 109, 5/4) is the market leader but her form reads 17-516 — a 6th last time and no win since the '7' run in that sequence, suggesting the market may be over-weighting a potential bounce-back that the form line doesn't strongly support. Bosphorus Rose (SR 102, 5/2) is the main threat but her 1630-3 form shows inconsistency and she trails Chally Chute by 12 SR points on lighter weight (9-6), making the SR-plus-weight equation favour the selection. Each-way alternative: Bosphorus Rose. Main danger: Starford — Starford's 5/4 market confidence from a respected stable (Joseph Patrick O'Brien) suggests market intelligence about a potential improvement run that the bare 17-516 form line may understate, and if she reproduces her best she has the youth advantage at 4 to overhaul Chally Chute.