Reserve Ladies Derby Handicap · 1m2f
Carrying top weight of 10-11 with a patchy form reading of 3038-2 and a Saturday Rating of only 86 limits confidence despite fair 7/2 odds.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 85 and heavy weight of 10-7 offset promising recent form of 0138-2 at 6/1.
A Saturday Rating of 51, 33/1 odds, and deteriorating form reading -74567 expose Musical Act as a rank outsider with no winning case.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 81, a 17/2 outsider carrying 10-1 weight, and inconsistent form of 3-1318 limits confidence.
Carrying top weight 10-1 with inconsistent form 612-27 and a Saturday Rating of 85 makes Fixation poor value at 9/2.
Carrying 10-1 at 18/1 with a Saturday Rating of 59 and form reading 00-048 makes Ob La Di a clear market outsider.
Genoah's 28/1 odds, poor recent form showing a last-place finish, and low Saturday Rating of 59 justify just 1/5 stars.
A Saturday Rating of 56, 20/1 odds, and recent form showing a 9th and 8th make Voice Of Reason uncompetitive at 9-11.
Earthwatch's Saturday Rating of 44, poor recent form (21089-), and 33/1 odds signal a horse the market has dismissed entirely.
Rated 77 with inconsistent form (056632) and carrying 9-10 at 9/2, Great Mover shows mid-tier market confidence warranting three stars.
Poor form (-04305) and a Saturday Rating of 66 make 9/1 odds insufficient compensation for the weak market position.
Carrying 9-0 with weak 22/1 odds, a Saturday Rating of 47, and poor form figures of 29-806 offer little confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 65, inconsistent form of 747-83, and 8-10 weight combine to justify a weak 6/1 market position.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Touch The Moon | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 9/2 Ladbrokes |
| 2 Clear Quartz | 15/2 open 6.50 | — | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 3 Musical Act | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Diamond Exchange | 10/1 open 9.50 | — | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 Coral |
| 5 Fixation | 10/3 open 5.50 | — | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 6 Ob La Di | 16/1 open 19.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Genoah | 33/1 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Voice Of Reason | 22/1 open 21.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Earthwatch | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Great Mover | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 4/1 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Ladbrokes |
| 11 Senna's Girl | 9/1 | — | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Rocket Robyn | 25/1 open 23.00 | — | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 13 Cooley's Mist | 5/1 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Touch The Moon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarrying top weight 10-1 with inconsistent form 612-27 and a Saturday Rating of 85 makes Fixation poor value at 9/2.
Carrying top weight of 10-11 with a patchy form reading of 3038-2 and a Saturday Rating of only 86 limits confidence despite fair 7/2 odds.
Rated 77 with inconsistent form (056632) and carrying 9-10 at 9/2, Great Mover shows mid-tier market confidence warranting three stars.
A Saturday Rating of 65, inconsistent form of 747-83, and 8-10 weight combine to justify a weak 6/1 market position.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 85 and heavy weight of 10-7 offset promising recent form of 0138-2 at 6/1.
Poor form (-04305) and a Saturday Rating of 66 make 9/1 odds insufficient compensation for the weak market position.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 81, a 17/2 outsider carrying 10-1 weight, and inconsistent form of 3-1318 limits confidence.
Carrying 10-1 at 18/1 with a Saturday Rating of 59 and form reading 00-048 makes Ob La Di a clear market outsider.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Clear Quartz (SR 85, 6/1, 10-7) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a form string of 0138-2 that shows genuine consistency at this level — the '1' and '2' finishes confirm she belongs and is running into form. At 10-7 she sits 4lb below top-weight Touch The Moon (SR 86, 10-11) despite being rated only 1 point behind, giving her a meaningful weight-for-SR edge on good to firm ground where lighter weights travel. The 6/1 price represents solid market respect without over-inflation, and trainer Mark Fahey's record with older mares returning to form over middle distances at the Curragh supports the case. The combination of SR, favourable weight-to-ability ratio, and encouraging recent '2' last time out makes her the most compelling multi-signal selection in the field. Each-way alternative: Great Mover. Main danger: Touch The Moon — Touch The Moon (SR 86, 7/2) is the joint-highest rated runner, commands the shortest-priced market confidence in the field, and her '2' last time out on a similar surface shows she is in peak form — the 4lb weight concession to Clear Quartz is the only thing separating them.