Paddy Power Pretty Polly Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) · 1m2f
An 84 Saturday Rating, 80/1 odds, and form showing a recent sixth make Carolina Jetstream uncompetitive in this Group 1 field.
Strong form (1122-1) and a 123 Saturday Rating impress, but 9-12 weight and 3/1 odds signal market reservations.
Nyra's 33/1 odds, modest 80 Saturday Rating, and inconsistent 323-42 form justify her weak 2/5 market standing.
Solid 103 Saturday Rating and course-winning form offset by drifting 17/2 odds and a concerning recent fourth limits confidence.
Qilin Queen's solid 126 Saturday Rating is undermined by 40/1 odds and inconsistent form figures of 8140-4.
Solid 107 Saturday Rating and consistent form (113-32) offset by 10/1 market position and top weight of 9-12.
A 75 Saturday Rating, 50/1 odds, and form reading 46-734 mark Wemightakedlongway as a significant outsider with little market confidence.
Odds of 16/1, a patchy form figure of 128-86, and a Saturday Rating of 102 suggest Beautify faces significant barriers in this Group 1.
Strong 135 Saturday Rating and consistent 42-211 form justify 4/5 stars despite not heading the market at 8/11.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Venetian Lace | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Carolina Jetstream | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 William Hill |
| 2 Estrange | 10/3 open 3.75 | — | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 William Hill |
| 3 Nyra | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 4 One Look | 9/1 open 9.00 | — | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Qilin Queen | 40/1 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 William Hill |
| 6 Red Letter | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Wemightakedlongway | 50/1 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Beautify | 14/1 | — | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Thundering On | 4/6 open 1.83 | — | 8/13 open 1.73 | 8/13 open 1.73 | 8/11 open 1.83 | 8/13 open 1.73 | 8/11 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thundering On owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (75) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong 135 Saturday Rating and consistent 42-211 form justify 4/5 stars despite not heading the market at 8/11.
Strong form (1122-1) and a 123 Saturday Rating impress, but 9-12 weight and 3/1 odds signal market reservations.
Solid 103 Saturday Rating and course-winning form offset by drifting 17/2 odds and a concerning recent fourth limits confidence.
Solid 107 Saturday Rating and consistent form (113-32) offset by 10/1 market position and top weight of 9-12.
Odds of 16/1, a patchy form figure of 128-86, and a Saturday Rating of 102 suggest Beautify faces significant barriers in this Group 1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Thundering On (SR 135, 8/11) is the clear class leader in this field, with a SR that sits 9 points clear of the next-best Qilin Queen (SR 126) and 12 clear of Estrange (SR 123). The form string 42-211 shows a horse who has found her best form at exactly the right time, posting back-to-back wins most recently, and the 3yo weight allowance of 9-0 versus the older mares on 9-12 gives her a further 12lb advantage in real terms — a significant edge on Good to Firm ground over 1m2f. Joseph Patrick O'Brien runs a yard in strong form and the market has installed her at 8/11 with clear conviction, entirely justified by the combination of peak form, age allowance, and SR dominance. Each-way alternative: Estrange. Main danger: Estrange — Estrange (SR 123, 3/1) is the market's clear second choice with a strong recent form line of 1122-1 — the last-time-out win at this level of competition for David O'Meara gives her legitimate claims to place pressure on the favourite if Thundering On fails to fire.