Fabric First Pass The Post Handicap · 1m5f
A Saturday Rating of 57 and weak 465/18 form make Stage Show's 16/1 odds hard to justify at 9-9.
Carrying top weight of 9-6 at 28/1 with a Saturday Rating of 39 and poor form of /654-7 makes Trooper a weak selection.
Carries top weight of 9-6 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 and inconsistent form of 554-65 limits confidence despite fair 3/1 odds.
Rated 73 with inconsistent form (38-581) and carrying 9-6, Captain Brett offers moderate value at 15/8 without favourite status.
Carries top weight of 9-3 with a modest Saturday Rating of 73, and patchy recent form of 1-2463 limits confidence despite fair 5/4 odds.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Stage Show | 12/1 | — | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Trooper | 28/1 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 3 Kotari | 3/1 open 3.75 | — | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Captain Brett | 2/1 open 2.75 | — | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 Coral |
| 5 Jack Langley | 11/8 open 2.50 | — | 5/4 open 2.10 | 5/4 open 2.10 | 5/4 open 2.10 | 5/4 open 2.10 | 11/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Captain Brett owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarries top weight of 9-3 with a modest Saturday Rating of 73, and patchy recent form of 1-2463 limits confidence despite fair 5/4 odds.
Rated 73 with inconsistent form (38-581) and carrying 9-6, Captain Brett offers moderate value at 15/8 without favourite status.
Carries top weight of 9-6 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 and inconsistent form of 554-65 limits confidence despite fair 3/1 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 57 and weak 465/18 form make Stage Show's 16/1 odds hard to justify at 9-9.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Captain Brett (SR 73, 15/8) shares the top SR with Jack Langley but carries 9-6 versus Jack Langley's 9-3 — a 3lb difference that is partially offset by Captain Brett's vastly superior recent form. His form string '38-581' shows a decisive win last time out, the rightmost '1' confirming he arrives in peak form, whereas Jack Langley's '1-2463' shows a deteriorating sequence with a 3 at last seen effort. David Simcock is a trainer who targets these types of handicaps precisely, and the 1m5f on Good to Firm at Lingfield suits a progressive 4-year-old with a recent win under his belt. The market has Captain Brett at 15/8 against Jack Langley's 5/4, but the form trajectory strongly favours Simcock's runner — a horse coming off a win beats one coming off a third with declining efforts. Each-way alternative: Kotari. Main danger: Jack Langley — Jack Langley (SR 73, 5/4) matches Captain Brett on SR and carries 3lb less at 9-3, and if the market's slight favouritism reflects a piece of work or stable confidence not captured in the declining form string, that weight advantage could prove decisive over 1m5f.