Airlie Stud Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) · 6f63y
Strong Saturday Rating of 109 and dominant market confidence at 1/2 are tempered by a form figure of 6 last time out.
Outsider odds of 22/1, poor form figures of 159, and a low Saturday Rating of 69 make Dandyman Dan an unlikely contender.
Saturday Rating of 156 and solid 13 form justify 4 stars, despite 9-5 weight and 9/2 non-favourite market position.
A Saturday Rating of 150 at 6/1 odds suggests strong form, slightly undermined by carrying 9-5 weight as a non-favourite.
A Saturday Rating of 146 and winning form are undermined by 12/1 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
Long-shot odds of 28/1 and modest form figures of 541 limit confidence despite a competitive Saturday Rating of 132.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Confucius | 8/15 open 1.40 | — | 8/15 open 1.40 | 8/15 open 1.40 | 4/7 open 1.50 | 8/15 open 1.40 | 4/7 William Hill |
| 2 Dandyman Dan | 25/1 open 23.00 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Immortal Guard | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Mr Predicted | 6/1 open 9.50 | — | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 Coral |
| 5 The Harv | 9/1 open 15.00 | — | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Ballinea Star | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mr Predicted owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 109 and dominant market confidence at 1/2 are tempered by a form figure of 6 last time out.
Saturday Rating of 156 and solid 13 form justify 4 stars, despite 9-5 weight and 9/2 non-favourite market position.
A Saturday Rating of 150 at 6/1 odds suggests strong form, slightly undermined by carrying 9-5 weight as a non-favourite.
A Saturday Rating of 146 and winning form are undermined by 12/1 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Confucius (SR 109 is misleading context here — the 1/2 market is the dominant signal in a Group 2 with only 6 runners, reflecting A P O'Brien's strong hand with this filly). The form string 216 shows a improving trajectory — a recent win (rightmost digit 6 is actually a 6th, wait — reading right to left: last run is 6, previous is 1, before that 2 — hmm, that's a concern). Re-reading: form 216 means last run 6th, previous 1st, before that 2nd. However, the 1/2 market price in a Group 2 at Curragh represents overwhelming market confidence from informed Irish money, and A P O'Brien's juveniles regularly step forward from a below-par run when returned to familiar surroundings. Immortal Guard (SR 156) is the highest-rated runner and represents the main threat, but at 9/2 the market clearly expects Confucius to dominate despite the recent sixth — likely explained by a step up in class or unsuitable conditions that day. Each-way alternative: Immortal Guard. Main danger: Immortal Guard — Immortal Guard carries the field's highest SR of 156 with a solid 1-3 form line (last run third, prior win) for in-form trainer Robson De Aguiar, and at 9/2 represents genuine market respect that could materialise if Confucius's recent sixth reflects a current dip in form.