Castillo De Ibiza EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f70y
Solid 88 Saturday Rating and consistent form (26221-) are offset by top weight 10-4 and non-favourite status at 11/2.
Rated just 56 with poor form (60520-) and a 25/1 outsider carrying 10-4, Ciara Pearl offers minimal winning prospects.
Solid Saturday Rating of 85 and fair 9/2 odds are offset by a top weight of 9-13 and inconsistent form.
Patagonia Girl's solid 81 Saturday Rating and consistent form (30-217) are offset by 9-10 weight and 15/2 market positioning.
Solid 92 Saturday Rating and consistent form (-22131) are offset by a hefty 9-1 weight and 13/8 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
Winged One's solid 85 Saturday Rating and fair 8/1 odds are tempered by inconsistent form (91-582) and a competitive 8-12 weight.
Solid Saturday Rating of 85 and recent win in form back her, but 6/1 odds and 8-6 weight limit confidence.
Bearin Up's recent win in her form (151) and solid Saturday Rating of 82 offset her 11/1 odds and 8-4 weight burden.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Likealot | 7/1 open 6.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Ciara Pearl | 40/1 open 23.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Model Yuko | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Patagonia Girl | 7/1 open 9.50 | — | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 Coral |
| 5 City Queen | 13/8 open 2.75 | — | 7/4 open 2.63 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 Coral |
| 6 Winged One | 9/1 | — | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Hoseki | 4/1 open 6.00 | — | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Bearin Up | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hoseki owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSolid 92 Saturday Rating and consistent form (-22131) are offset by a hefty 9-1 weight and 13/8 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
Solid Saturday Rating of 85 and recent win in form back her, but 6/1 odds and 8-6 weight limit confidence.
Solid Saturday Rating of 85 and fair 9/2 odds are offset by a top weight of 9-13 and inconsistent form.
Solid 88 Saturday Rating and consistent form (26221-) are offset by top weight 10-4 and non-favourite status at 11/2.
Patagonia Girl's solid 81 Saturday Rating and consistent form (30-217) are offset by 9-10 weight and 15/2 market positioning.
Winged One's solid 85 Saturday Rating and fair 8/1 odds are tempered by inconsistent form (91-582) and a competitive 8-12 weight.
Bearin Up's recent win in her form (151) and solid Saturday Rating of 82 offset her 11/1 odds and 8-4 weight burden.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
City Queen (SR 92, 13/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field and her form string -22131 shows a 3yo filly in progressive, peak form — a win last time out followed by two previous placings at a high level confirms she's operating at the top of her game. Despite carrying 9-1, she has a meaningful SR edge of 4+ points over her nearest rivals (Likealot SR 88, Model Yuko SR 85) and the weight-to-SR ratio is favourable; she's not burdened at the top of the handicap. Charlie Appleby's yard operates at high strike rates with progressive 3yo fillies, and the 1m2f70y Chester trip suits a horse with this consistent middle-distance form profile. The market confidence at 13/8 favourite is backed by substance — last-time-out winner, strong SR lead — rather than just sentiment. Each-way alternative: Hoseki. Main danger: Likealot — Likealot (SR 88, 11/2) has a strong form string 26221- showing consistent competitiveness at this level for Ralph Beckett, and while the last run was a blank, the two wins and a second before it suggest she returns to form at any moment — she is the most obvious threat to City Queen.